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Demystifying VC Business
Joshua Agusta - Head of Indigo Accelerator
ABOUT MDI
• Established in 2015, as a corporate venture initiative of Telkom
Indonesia, with mandate to invest in growth stage companies
globally.
• MDI combines a VC model with services in providing companies with
access to operational and go-to-market assistance after making a
financial investment.
• Focus investment: high growth verticals to enhance the digital
experience and provide excellent services that ultimately lead to the
more demanding customer expectation.
• Co-manage and oversee the Indigo Incubator Program since 2015
and had incubated more than 20+ startups with Indigo Incubator.
MDI IS FORGING STRATEGIC ALLIANCES WITH MAJOR CORPORATES
Investment

Management
Incubation &
Acceleration
Objectives Initiatives Partners
Strategic

Advisory
Key Activities
Build startup ecosystem
by supporting early stage
companies
Indigo Incubator
Mandiri Inkubator 

Bisnis
- Corporate venturing

- Corporate innovation
seminars/workshops

- Ad-hoc advisory
Venture 

capital 

fund
Collaborative
investment
activities
• Perform strategic
investments in line with
corporate innovation
agenda

• Maximize financial
returns for corporate
principal
Leverage MDI’s unique
resources to create value
in areas uncovered by
investment and incubation
activities
SILICON VALLEY - SOUTHEAST ASIA
60+ INCUBATED IN 3 INDONESIA CITIES
• Started in 2013, operating in 3
cities in Indonesia.
• Maintains at least 40% Follow on
Funding in every batch of
graduates since 2015.
• Assist launched 20+ startups go to
market.
• Dual track immersion program to
Silicon Valley in partnership with
Plug & Play.
• Formed the largest angel network
in Indonesia (150+ angel investors
attending Indigo Demo Day in the
past 2 years).
COMPANIES
Singapore & Indonesia
Series A
Indonesia & Philippines
Series A
Indonesia & India
Series B
Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia
Series B
Singapore & Indonesia
Series B
Japan
Pre IPO
Singapore & Indonesia
Series B
Philippines & Indonesia
Series B
BATCH 2015 & 2016
45%FOLLOW ON 

FUNDING
MM
4.5X
WEIGHTED 

AVERAGE
Total of 35 startups
incubated, chosen from
2,000+ entries
Now New Next
Revenue Enhancement &
Cost Savings
New Growth and Revenue
Opportunity
New Technologies beyond
Telco sector
Investment Thesis
- Future-shaping technologies
relevant to Telkom ecosystem 

(A.I., robotics, space
technology, 3D printing,
Internet of Things)
- Technologies ready for early
adoption in 

the Indonesian market
(Blockchain, big data, cyber
security, healthcare)
- Technologies ready for use to
solve current problems
(Logistics, e-commerce
enablers, advertising, cloud
computing, payment
solution, SaaS, education)
• Access to large established customer base
• Network of partner companies and advisors
• Access to later round financing/exit opportunity
• Access to ICT infrastructure
• Insights into new markets and technology
• Next gen products and services
• Domain expertise
• New business models for the future
• Cost savings
Access to Telkom’s Infrastructure
VC: 2-Sided Business
DemandSupply
VC: 2-Sided Business
Demand
1. Things you need to know
before VC pitch
2. How VC Valuations Work
3. Some Investment Trends
VC: 2-Sided Business
Demand
1. Things you need to know
before VC pitch
2. How VC Valuations Work
3. Some Investment Trends
3 Things to Find Out Before VC Pitch
1. VC’s Investment Thesis
2. Preferred Ticket Size
3. Preferred Investment Stage
Different VCs Have Different Investment Thesis
Now New Next
Revenue Enhancement &
Cost Savings
New Growth and Revenue
Opportunity
New Technologies beyond
Telco sector
Investment Thesis
- Future-shaping technologies
relevant to Telkom ecosystem 

(A.I., robotics, space
technology, 3D printing,
Internet of Things)
- Technologies ready for early
adoption in 

the Indonesian market
(Blockchain, big data, cyber
security, healthcare)
- Technologies ready for use to
solve current problems
(Logistics, e-commerce
enablers, advertising, cloud
computing, payment
solution, SaaS, education)
Telkom Synergy Value
Business Process
Outsourcing
IT Managed Service
E-Payment
Third Party Administrator Digital Entertainment Mobile Subscription
User Base Support (Corporate & Consumer)
Media Services
We Need Our “Users” to Justify Our Investments
Each VC’s Ticket Size is Also Different
Source: mapofthemoney.com
Revenue
TimeValley Of The Death
Break Even
Seed Capital
A
B
C & above
Venture Capitals, Strategic Alliances,
Mergers & Acquisitions
Early Stage Later Stage
Angel Investors, Seed VCs
IPO
As Well As Investment Stages Preference
Revenue
TimeValley Of The Death
Seed Capital
Venture Capitals, Strategic Alliances,
Mergers & Acquisitions
Early Stage Later Stage
Angel Investors, Seed VCs
IPO
As Well As Investment Stages Preference
A
B
C & above
VC: 2-Sided Business
Demand
1. Things you need to know
before VC pitch
2. How VC Valuations Work
3. Some Investment Trends
Startup Financing Stage
Pre-Seed / Bootstrap Seed Series A, B, Etc.STAGES
PURPOSE
AMOUNT*
Hypothesis Validation
$10-50K
INVESTORS FFF, Angel Investors
Figuring out the
product and Getting
to user/Product Fit
$100-500K
Angel Investors,
Micro VC, Seed VC
Scaling the product and
getting to a true product
market fit. The rest of the
funding series is about
scaling
VC, Institutions, PE
$1-5 Mio
These are the 3 common rounds of financing. Sometimes it requires a bridge round between these stages
(Pre-Series A, or a Bridge Loan)
Basic Truth for Early Stage Fund Raising
In short, startup investors would see these 3 Ps before investing :
PEOPLE (50%)
track record and sectoral experience is important, if the team is weak, idea is
irrelevant
POTENTIAL MARKET (25%)
funding for a $10 million market and $100 million market will be different. (for VCs, if
it’s not at least a $100 million market, why bother starting?)
PRODUCT (25%)
pivoting in early stage is common, but a sound product and solid business model
should be designed.
– Aswath Damodaran
“VCs Price Businesses, Not Value Them”
HOW DO WE WORK - STARTUP VALUATION
Startupinvestment
opportunities
Angel
investors/VCs
(Deals) experience and
points of referencefor
valuation
Industry knowledge
Angel network
Supply Demand
Startup Valuation, especially for early stage companies, is more like an art. Supply and Demand
drives the valuation (willingness of each parties determines).
BASELINE STANDARD - PUBLIC REVENUE MULTIPLES
Formula:
Price = Forward Multiple x ARR - Private
Discount Rate
E.g:
SaaS Company A is growing at 80% YoY
rate
Current ARR = $2 Mio
Implied EV = 7.6 x $2 Mio = $15.2 Mio
Price = $15.2 Mio - 20% = ~$12 Mio
Source: https://goo.gl/XE5e6T
– Reid Hoffman
“VCs are ‘Creatures of Herd’”
INVESTOR HERD IN RIDE-SHARING STARTUPS
Source: theinformation.com
Tips: Find multiple investors to invest in 1 investment round
VC: 2-Sided Business
Demand
1. Things you need to know
before VC pitch
2. How VC Valuations Work
3. Some Investment Trends
Conglomerate Family
Backed VC
Foreign VC
Local & JV VC
Corporate Backed VC
(Foreign & Local )
VCs OPERATING IN SEA (ACTIVE)
+/- US$ 4.5 Bn of capital is ready to be deployed
Source: mapofthemoney.com
Source: CB Insights & KPMG 2015 Report - Global Analysis of Venture Funding
Center of Gravity is Shifting Towards Asia
0
35
70
105
140
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
North America
Europe
Asia
Asia % of Total
Investments in VC-backed Companies
13% 11% 13% 24% 31%
Asian Deals are Getting Bigger
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
# of deals Investments ($B)
$39.70$20.60$6.40$4.70$6.20
445
566
826
1,143
1,446
Quarterly Tech Exit Volume: Asia
0
40
80
120
160
Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16
4
34
6
11
90
8383
101
135
M&A IPO
ASIAN EXITS IN H1 2016
Asian exits increased slightly in Q2’16 with 90 acquisitions and 4 IPOs. Activity is still down from
Q2’15 highs, but is on an upward trend over the last two quarters.
Source: CB Insights - Tech Exits Report H1 2016
● SEA tech funding still growing in Q2
2016, albeit slower pace
● SEA has not seen many Series B
investors to go for companies invested in
the recent seed boom
● Anticipating Series B readiness, SEA
startups are shifting towards business
model with clear path to profitability
• B2B business models
• Vertical integration trend for e-
commerce companies
● Large series B investors are gearing up
to invest in the market
• Alibaba gets aggressive in SE Asia,
plans to both invest and acquire,
other Chinese companies follow
Source: Techinasia, e27
SEA Tech Funding Q1 2015 - Q2 2016
0
15
30
45
60
Seed Series A & Above
43
53
3
19
2014 2015
Source: Tech in Asia (https://www.techinasia.com/breakthrough-year-indonesias-startup-landscape-2015-infographic)
VC Investments in 2015 shows a significant rate of growth compared to 2014
Indonesia Startup Funding 2014 & 2015
“How VCs Make Money Out of Their
Business?”
VC: 2-Sided Business
Supply
1. VC’s Business Model
2. Investment Returns in VCs
VC: 2-Sided Business
Supply
1. VC’s Business Model
2. Investment Returns in VCs
VC Fund Structure
• Most VCs are fund managers - they’re doing their investment activities
using money they raised from their LPs for a certain investment period
• LPs are usually expecting their VC funds to have 3x-5x return rate
So Far, VCs Have Yielded Better Returns
VCs have shown better returns to investors, particularly after 2011
Source: Cambridge Associates
12.90%
21.20%
16.20%
10.90%
4.20%
5.90%
13.30% 13.00%
11.20% 10.90%
1.40%
15.10%
12.60%
7.30%
5.00%
2015 2013-2015 2011-2015 2006-2015 2001-2015
Annualized	Returns	on	US	VC,	PE,	and	Public	Market	Investments
VC	Funds PE	Funds S&P	500
VC’s Business Model
1. Management Fee
2. Carried Interest
Management Fee
“A fee charged by VCs to their LPs as a compensation to
manage their fund - usually the fee is utilized to cover
operational expenses, taking 2%-3% out of the total fund
size”
E.g:
• VC Firm A raised a $300 Mio, 5-year fund
• Management fee = 3%
• Total management fee = 3% x $300 Mio = $9 Mio
• Annual opex = $9 Mio / 5 = $1.8 Mio
Carried Interest
“A fee charged by VCs to their LPs from the earned capital
gains out of their investments - usually the fee is taking
20%-30% out of the capital gains received”
E.g:
• VC Firm A invested $10 Mio to startup X with $50 Mio
post-money valuation —> Ownership = 20%
• 5 years later, the company is acquired for $200 Mio
• Ownership value at exit = 20% x $200 Mio = $40 Mio
• Capital gain = $40 Mio - $10 Mio = $30 Mio
• Carried interest = 20% —> 20% x $30 Mio = $6 Mio
VC: 2-Sided Business
Supply
1. VC’s Business Model
2. Investment Returns in VCs
This is THE Real Sh*t
• VC Firm A raised $200 Mio fund - invested $1 Mio for 20% of
Startup X with $5 Mio post-money valuation
• Startup X is acquired for $1 Bn (Unicorn!!)
• Ownership at exit +/- 15% (dilution) —> $150 Mio
• LP’s return expectation of funds = 3x —> 3 x $200 Mio = $600
Mio
• $150 Mio / $600 Mio = 25%??
Conclusion: The fund needs 3 more unicorns
It’s a Tough Market for Venture Returns
Source: Mattermark
Most startups experienced really tough time in raising their follow-on investment round
Power Law
6% of deals produce 60% of returns
Source: Horsley Bridge
Returns are Incredibly Skewed
Source: Horsley Bridge
“Babe Ruth Effect”: Hit big or miss big
The home runs for good funds are around 20x, but the home runs for great
funds are almost 70x.
Most Investments Lose Money
Source: Horsley Bridge
Venture capital is a risky business
Surprisingly, great funds lose money more often than good funds do
TVPI = Total Value Paid-In Ratio
VC’s Return Metric
This ratio usually reflects the minimum level of return that investors would expect
from their investments in a fund.
TVPI =
VC’s Return Metric
CFR
+ NAVT
CFP
CFR = Total Cash Flow received (capital gains from
previous investments)
NAVT = Net Asset Value at the time of calculation
CFP = Total Cash Flow paid in to the fund (incl.
management fee & carry interest)
Conclusions
1. Find out about VC’s Investment Thesis, Preferred
Ticket Size, and Preferred Investment Stage before
meeting them.
2. VCs price businesses, not value them
3. VCs are “Creatures of Herd”
4. VC is a super competitive business - power law
distribution is imminent.
5. VC is a game of outliers - finding the “grand slam” is
the key
Recommended Readings
Mastering the VC Game
Jeffrey Bussgang (2010)
Venture Deals
Feld & Mendelson (2011)
Q&A
Thank You

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Demystifying the Business of VC Funding

  • 1. Demystifying VC Business Joshua Agusta - Head of Indigo Accelerator
  • 2. ABOUT MDI • Established in 2015, as a corporate venture initiative of Telkom Indonesia, with mandate to invest in growth stage companies globally. • MDI combines a VC model with services in providing companies with access to operational and go-to-market assistance after making a financial investment. • Focus investment: high growth verticals to enhance the digital experience and provide excellent services that ultimately lead to the more demanding customer expectation. • Co-manage and oversee the Indigo Incubator Program since 2015 and had incubated more than 20+ startups with Indigo Incubator.
  • 3. MDI IS FORGING STRATEGIC ALLIANCES WITH MAJOR CORPORATES Investment
 Management Incubation & Acceleration Objectives Initiatives Partners Strategic
 Advisory Key Activities Build startup ecosystem by supporting early stage companies Indigo Incubator Mandiri Inkubator 
 Bisnis - Corporate venturing - Corporate innovation seminars/workshops - Ad-hoc advisory Venture capital fund Collaborative investment activities • Perform strategic investments in line with corporate innovation agenda • Maximize financial returns for corporate principal Leverage MDI’s unique resources to create value in areas uncovered by investment and incubation activities
  • 4. SILICON VALLEY - SOUTHEAST ASIA
  • 5. 60+ INCUBATED IN 3 INDONESIA CITIES • Started in 2013, operating in 3 cities in Indonesia. • Maintains at least 40% Follow on Funding in every batch of graduates since 2015. • Assist launched 20+ startups go to market. • Dual track immersion program to Silicon Valley in partnership with Plug & Play. • Formed the largest angel network in Indonesia (150+ angel investors attending Indigo Demo Day in the past 2 years).
  • 6. COMPANIES Singapore & Indonesia Series A Indonesia & Philippines Series A Indonesia & India Series B Thailand, Malaysia, Philippines, Indonesia Series B Singapore & Indonesia Series B Japan Pre IPO Singapore & Indonesia Series B Philippines & Indonesia Series B
  • 7. BATCH 2015 & 2016 45%FOLLOW ON FUNDING MM 4.5X WEIGHTED AVERAGE Total of 35 startups incubated, chosen from 2,000+ entries
  • 8. Now New Next Revenue Enhancement & Cost Savings New Growth and Revenue Opportunity New Technologies beyond Telco sector Investment Thesis - Future-shaping technologies relevant to Telkom ecosystem 
 (A.I., robotics, space technology, 3D printing, Internet of Things) - Technologies ready for early adoption in 
 the Indonesian market (Blockchain, big data, cyber security, healthcare) - Technologies ready for use to solve current problems (Logistics, e-commerce enablers, advertising, cloud computing, payment solution, SaaS, education)
  • 9. • Access to large established customer base • Network of partner companies and advisors • Access to later round financing/exit opportunity • Access to ICT infrastructure • Insights into new markets and technology • Next gen products and services • Domain expertise • New business models for the future • Cost savings Access to Telkom’s Infrastructure
  • 11. VC: 2-Sided Business Demand 1. Things you need to know before VC pitch 2. How VC Valuations Work 3. Some Investment Trends
  • 12. VC: 2-Sided Business Demand 1. Things you need to know before VC pitch 2. How VC Valuations Work 3. Some Investment Trends
  • 13. 3 Things to Find Out Before VC Pitch 1. VC’s Investment Thesis 2. Preferred Ticket Size 3. Preferred Investment Stage
  • 14. Different VCs Have Different Investment Thesis
  • 15. Now New Next Revenue Enhancement & Cost Savings New Growth and Revenue Opportunity New Technologies beyond Telco sector Investment Thesis - Future-shaping technologies relevant to Telkom ecosystem 
 (A.I., robotics, space technology, 3D printing, Internet of Things) - Technologies ready for early adoption in 
 the Indonesian market (Blockchain, big data, cyber security, healthcare) - Technologies ready for use to solve current problems (Logistics, e-commerce enablers, advertising, cloud computing, payment solution, SaaS, education)
  • 16. Telkom Synergy Value Business Process Outsourcing IT Managed Service E-Payment Third Party Administrator Digital Entertainment Mobile Subscription User Base Support (Corporate & Consumer) Media Services We Need Our “Users” to Justify Our Investments
  • 17. Each VC’s Ticket Size is Also Different Source: mapofthemoney.com
  • 18. Revenue TimeValley Of The Death Break Even Seed Capital A B C & above Venture Capitals, Strategic Alliances, Mergers & Acquisitions Early Stage Later Stage Angel Investors, Seed VCs IPO As Well As Investment Stages Preference
  • 19. Revenue TimeValley Of The Death Seed Capital Venture Capitals, Strategic Alliances, Mergers & Acquisitions Early Stage Later Stage Angel Investors, Seed VCs IPO As Well As Investment Stages Preference A B C & above
  • 20. VC: 2-Sided Business Demand 1. Things you need to know before VC pitch 2. How VC Valuations Work 3. Some Investment Trends
  • 21. Startup Financing Stage Pre-Seed / Bootstrap Seed Series A, B, Etc.STAGES PURPOSE AMOUNT* Hypothesis Validation $10-50K INVESTORS FFF, Angel Investors Figuring out the product and Getting to user/Product Fit $100-500K Angel Investors, Micro VC, Seed VC Scaling the product and getting to a true product market fit. The rest of the funding series is about scaling VC, Institutions, PE $1-5 Mio These are the 3 common rounds of financing. Sometimes it requires a bridge round between these stages (Pre-Series A, or a Bridge Loan)
  • 22. Basic Truth for Early Stage Fund Raising In short, startup investors would see these 3 Ps before investing : PEOPLE (50%) track record and sectoral experience is important, if the team is weak, idea is irrelevant POTENTIAL MARKET (25%) funding for a $10 million market and $100 million market will be different. (for VCs, if it’s not at least a $100 million market, why bother starting?) PRODUCT (25%) pivoting in early stage is common, but a sound product and solid business model should be designed.
  • 23. – Aswath Damodaran “VCs Price Businesses, Not Value Them”
  • 24. HOW DO WE WORK - STARTUP VALUATION Startupinvestment opportunities Angel investors/VCs (Deals) experience and points of referencefor valuation Industry knowledge Angel network Supply Demand Startup Valuation, especially for early stage companies, is more like an art. Supply and Demand drives the valuation (willingness of each parties determines).
  • 25. BASELINE STANDARD - PUBLIC REVENUE MULTIPLES Formula: Price = Forward Multiple x ARR - Private Discount Rate E.g: SaaS Company A is growing at 80% YoY rate Current ARR = $2 Mio Implied EV = 7.6 x $2 Mio = $15.2 Mio Price = $15.2 Mio - 20% = ~$12 Mio Source: https://goo.gl/XE5e6T
  • 26. – Reid Hoffman “VCs are ‘Creatures of Herd’”
  • 27. INVESTOR HERD IN RIDE-SHARING STARTUPS Source: theinformation.com Tips: Find multiple investors to invest in 1 investment round
  • 28. VC: 2-Sided Business Demand 1. Things you need to know before VC pitch 2. How VC Valuations Work 3. Some Investment Trends
  • 29. Conglomerate Family Backed VC Foreign VC Local & JV VC Corporate Backed VC (Foreign & Local ) VCs OPERATING IN SEA (ACTIVE) +/- US$ 4.5 Bn of capital is ready to be deployed Source: mapofthemoney.com
  • 30. Source: CB Insights & KPMG 2015 Report - Global Analysis of Venture Funding Center of Gravity is Shifting Towards Asia 0 35 70 105 140 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 North America Europe Asia Asia % of Total Investments in VC-backed Companies 13% 11% 13% 24% 31%
  • 31. Asian Deals are Getting Bigger 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 # of deals Investments ($B) $39.70$20.60$6.40$4.70$6.20 445 566 826 1,143 1,446
  • 32. Quarterly Tech Exit Volume: Asia 0 40 80 120 160 Q2'15 Q3'15 Q4'15 Q1'16 Q2'16 4 34 6 11 90 8383 101 135 M&A IPO ASIAN EXITS IN H1 2016 Asian exits increased slightly in Q2’16 with 90 acquisitions and 4 IPOs. Activity is still down from Q2’15 highs, but is on an upward trend over the last two quarters. Source: CB Insights - Tech Exits Report H1 2016
  • 33. ● SEA tech funding still growing in Q2 2016, albeit slower pace ● SEA has not seen many Series B investors to go for companies invested in the recent seed boom ● Anticipating Series B readiness, SEA startups are shifting towards business model with clear path to profitability • B2B business models • Vertical integration trend for e- commerce companies ● Large series B investors are gearing up to invest in the market • Alibaba gets aggressive in SE Asia, plans to both invest and acquire, other Chinese companies follow Source: Techinasia, e27 SEA Tech Funding Q1 2015 - Q2 2016
  • 34. 0 15 30 45 60 Seed Series A & Above 43 53 3 19 2014 2015 Source: Tech in Asia (https://www.techinasia.com/breakthrough-year-indonesias-startup-landscape-2015-infographic) VC Investments in 2015 shows a significant rate of growth compared to 2014 Indonesia Startup Funding 2014 & 2015
  • 35.
  • 36. “How VCs Make Money Out of Their Business?”
  • 37. VC: 2-Sided Business Supply 1. VC’s Business Model 2. Investment Returns in VCs
  • 38. VC: 2-Sided Business Supply 1. VC’s Business Model 2. Investment Returns in VCs
  • 39. VC Fund Structure • Most VCs are fund managers - they’re doing their investment activities using money they raised from their LPs for a certain investment period • LPs are usually expecting their VC funds to have 3x-5x return rate
  • 40. So Far, VCs Have Yielded Better Returns VCs have shown better returns to investors, particularly after 2011 Source: Cambridge Associates 12.90% 21.20% 16.20% 10.90% 4.20% 5.90% 13.30% 13.00% 11.20% 10.90% 1.40% 15.10% 12.60% 7.30% 5.00% 2015 2013-2015 2011-2015 2006-2015 2001-2015 Annualized Returns on US VC, PE, and Public Market Investments VC Funds PE Funds S&P 500
  • 41. VC’s Business Model 1. Management Fee 2. Carried Interest
  • 42. Management Fee “A fee charged by VCs to their LPs as a compensation to manage their fund - usually the fee is utilized to cover operational expenses, taking 2%-3% out of the total fund size” E.g: • VC Firm A raised a $300 Mio, 5-year fund • Management fee = 3% • Total management fee = 3% x $300 Mio = $9 Mio • Annual opex = $9 Mio / 5 = $1.8 Mio
  • 43. Carried Interest “A fee charged by VCs to their LPs from the earned capital gains out of their investments - usually the fee is taking 20%-30% out of the capital gains received” E.g: • VC Firm A invested $10 Mio to startup X with $50 Mio post-money valuation —> Ownership = 20% • 5 years later, the company is acquired for $200 Mio • Ownership value at exit = 20% x $200 Mio = $40 Mio • Capital gain = $40 Mio - $10 Mio = $30 Mio • Carried interest = 20% —> 20% x $30 Mio = $6 Mio
  • 44. VC: 2-Sided Business Supply 1. VC’s Business Model 2. Investment Returns in VCs
  • 45. This is THE Real Sh*t • VC Firm A raised $200 Mio fund - invested $1 Mio for 20% of Startup X with $5 Mio post-money valuation • Startup X is acquired for $1 Bn (Unicorn!!) • Ownership at exit +/- 15% (dilution) —> $150 Mio • LP’s return expectation of funds = 3x —> 3 x $200 Mio = $600 Mio • $150 Mio / $600 Mio = 25%?? Conclusion: The fund needs 3 more unicorns
  • 46. It’s a Tough Market for Venture Returns Source: Mattermark Most startups experienced really tough time in raising their follow-on investment round
  • 47. Power Law 6% of deals produce 60% of returns Source: Horsley Bridge
  • 48. Returns are Incredibly Skewed Source: Horsley Bridge “Babe Ruth Effect”: Hit big or miss big The home runs for good funds are around 20x, but the home runs for great funds are almost 70x.
  • 49. Most Investments Lose Money Source: Horsley Bridge Venture capital is a risky business Surprisingly, great funds lose money more often than good funds do
  • 50. TVPI = Total Value Paid-In Ratio VC’s Return Metric This ratio usually reflects the minimum level of return that investors would expect from their investments in a fund.
  • 51. TVPI = VC’s Return Metric CFR + NAVT CFP CFR = Total Cash Flow received (capital gains from previous investments) NAVT = Net Asset Value at the time of calculation CFP = Total Cash Flow paid in to the fund (incl. management fee & carry interest)
  • 52. Conclusions 1. Find out about VC’s Investment Thesis, Preferred Ticket Size, and Preferred Investment Stage before meeting them. 2. VCs price businesses, not value them 3. VCs are “Creatures of Herd” 4. VC is a super competitive business - power law distribution is imminent. 5. VC is a game of outliers - finding the “grand slam” is the key
  • 53. Recommended Readings Mastering the VC Game Jeffrey Bussgang (2010) Venture Deals Feld & Mendelson (2011)
  • 54. Q&A