Reflecting on the future

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  • 2013
  • ALA 2011
  • Reflecting on the future

    1. 1. Reflecting on the Future Joe Matthews November 2013
    2. 2. Shameless Commerce Section
    3. 3. My Road Map • Rules of the Game • Scenario Planning • Library Scenarios • Re-imagining • Planning Horizon
    4. 4. Our Age of Anxiety is, in great part, the result of trying to do today’s job with yesterday’s tools and yesterday’s concepts. Marshall McLuhan
    5. 5. It’s not linear Alternate futures Now
    6. 6. Strategic planning is not only looking down the road, it is …
    7. 7. … not just a map
    8. 8. … it is a plan to arrive at a specific destination!
    9. 9. Scenario Planning • Process of imagining alternative futures – and identify their implications • Recognizing that we do not have one future, but many • Allows ‘options’ to remain in ‘play’ • Seeks to consider new and different options • Liberates us from past thinking • Helps us move to a “preferred future”
    10. 10. Scenarios • Helps us to bring new ideas into our thinking and planning • Helps us to think more broadly about the forces that are impacting libraries • Are a great tool for engaging others so that many views and insights are explored • Nothing is right or wrong. Scenarios encourage us to think about things we normally don’t think about.
    11. 11. Disruption is a reality
    12. 12. Building Scenarios Experience LEARNING SPACE INSPIRATION SPACE Explore Excite Empowerment Innovation MEETING PLACE PERFORMANCE SPACE Participate Create Involvement
    13. 13. Possible Dimensions • Technology (Hi & Lo); Touch (Hi & Lo) • Eco-framework; Values retention • Institution-driven vs. Customer-led; Structure (Inflexible vs. Flexible) • State supported vs. market driven; closed (traditional) vs. open (MOOC) • Funding climate; adaptability
    14. 14. Library Scenarios
    15. 15. Confronting the Future
    16. 16. Its all about building stories & ideas around a framework as a means to an ongoing conversation. It’s about what could happen, not what will happen. It’s about developing a preferred future!
    17. 17. Re-imagining Libraries
    18. 18. Re-imagining Services • Search • Discovery • Content • Shelving • Librarians
    19. 19. Planning Horizon • Focus on 3 to 5 years hence • Use scenarios to explore the future with a variety of stakeholders • Focus on a Preferred Future that will really respond to your customer’s needs • Recognize that a plan does not survive the first encounter with “reality” - adjust
    20. 20. Possibilities abound … Just do not dismiss opportunities
    21. 21. An Important Question Regardless of the scenarios used in the planning process and your choice of a Preferred Future, how will the library add value in the life of each customer?
    22. 22. Joe@JoeMatthews.Org
    23. 23. Joe Matthews Joe@JoeMatthews.Org

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