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5th world part2_april2006_p16_v1.2

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5th world part2_april2006_p16_v1.2

  1. 1. 5th World and Texas Clusters Michael Bettersworth & Jim Brazell
  2. 2. Ray Kurzweil & The Singularity Go to www.singularity.com for more info.
  3. 3. Ray Kurzweil Source: Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near Exponentially more Power over Time.
  4. 4. Ray Kurzweil Exponentially less Cost over Time. Source: Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near
  5. 5. Ray Kurzweil Source: Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near Did your regional college have a web program in 1995? Does your regional college have a web curriculum today?
  6. 6. Ray Kurzweil An analysis of the history of technology shows that technological change is exponential, contrary to the common- sense "intuitive linear" view. 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 10 5020 100 Time 30 40 60 70 80 90 Linear View 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% 0 10 5020 100 Time 30 40 60 70 80 90 Exponential View
  7. 7. “So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today's rate)… because we're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25 calendar years.” Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001
  8. 8. “So we won't experience 100 years of progress in the 21st century -- it will be more like 20,000 years of progress (at today's rate)… because we're doubling the rate of progress every decade, we'll see a century of progress--at today's rate--in only 25 calendar years.” Kurzweil, KurzweilAI.net, March 7, 2001
  9. 9. Preview • Workforce • Education • Learning Strategies
  10. 10. Workforce Context
  11. 11. The number of jobs requiring technical training is growing at five times the rate of other occupations. Innovate America, U.S. Council on Competitiveness Workforce Context
  12. 12. Texas Cluster Initiative - Workforce “60% of the jobs in the Texas biotechnology cluster require only an associates degree or certificate.” The reality is many of the Texas Cluster’s high-tech jobs are split between requirements for community and technical college degrees and 4-year degrees. Skilled technical jobs are attainable and critically needed by industry. Dr. Mae Jemison, Chair, Biotechnology Cluster
  13. 13. Workforce Context
  14. 14. Samuel Palmisano (CEO, IBM): Business Week: 10.11.2004 100 million jobs are going to be created in a lot of these cross-disciplinary fields Council on Competitiveness: National Innovation Initiative Workforce Context
  15. 15. Navy Job Mergers
  16. 16. Job Mergers - HTI Source: Internet Home Alliance, Net Gain: Advancing the Market for Home Technology Integrators, 2004 “the convergence or merging of previously separate technologies and systems in the home, including integrated home control, computer/home network, communications, lighting and energy management, entertainment and security, health and safety.”
  17. 17. Job Mergers – Wind Turbine Lineman Oil Field Farm Mechanic Wind Turbine Tech
  18. 18. Partnerships between public education and the private sector are imperative and must be focused on identifying and developing resources to prepare students for advancing skill requirements. Texas Cluster Initiative - Workforce
  19. 19. TEXASINDUSTRYPROFILES.com
  20. 20. Texas Cluster GIS
  21. 21. Kaki Leyens in the Office of Employer Initiatives at the Texas Workforce Commission is the primary liaison to education. If you are interested in forming partnerships with industries to support your students, please leave a card, and I will pass them on to Kaki.
  22. 22. Preview • Workforce • Education • Learning Strategies
  23. 23. Indicators of New Curriculum Future Workforce Trends Technology Trends Futurist Predictions Anticipated New Programs Applied/Basic Research Economic Development Efforts New Programs/Courses Program Revisions Expressed Need Associate Degrees Local Needs Advanced Technology Certificates Special Topics Certificates
  24. 24. Future Workforce Trends Technology Trends Futurist Predictions Anticipated New Programs Applied/Basic Research Economic Development Efforts New Programs/Courses Program Revisions Expressed Need Associate Degrees Local Needs Advanced Technology Certificates Special Topics Certificates t Indicators of New Curriculum
  25. 25. The Texas Industry Cluster Initiative leaders emphasize that curricula must be increasingly responsive and adaptable to advances in technology. Texas Cluster Initiative - Education
  26. 26. Texas Emerging Technology Workforce Curriculum Forecasting Detailed Analysis Potential Emerging Technology Topics Preliminary Emerging Technology Topics Enviro Scanning Industry Surveys CTC Surveys Texas Economic Clusters •Criteria for Determining to Target a Particular Topic •Is it a high skill/high wage industry environment? •Can existing curricula be leveraged? •What is the CTC curriculum history in this area? •What is the Industry lifecycle point (growth industry)? •Does the topic indicate a potential industry shift? •“Wildcards” Outcome: Topic recommendations for consideration. Criteria for Selection for Detailed Analysis •Jobs. Positive strategic employment growth projections. •Trends. Promisingly competitive environment for industry. •Timing. Timing of workforce demand justifies development. •CTC Relevance. Appropriate level of education. •Utility. Cross-functional nature of knowledge, skills, and abilities. •Significant structural change within industry. Outcome: TechBriefs. Topics selected for further analysis or marked for continued tracking. Criteria for Outputs of Detailed Studies •Further strategic employment projections. •Drivers and constraints affecting the industry. •Size and location of market. •Connection(s) to existing CTC awards. •Ability and ease of replication. •Physical and capital costs. •Industry and education partnerships to be leveraged. •Anticipated longevity of curriculum. •Linkages to previous CD products •National Best Practices Outcome: Detail Study. Detailed recommendations and specifications for funding. 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 4th Quarter R E S E A R C H R E S E A R C H
  27. 27. The Texas Industry Cluster Initiative leaders emphasize the alignment of workforce skill requirements and through all levels of P16 education. Texas Cluster Initiative - Education
  28. 28. 1. Advanced Technologies and Manufacturing a) Nanotechnology and Materials b) Micro-electromechanical Systems c) Semiconductor Manufacturing d) Automotive Manufacturing 2. Aerospace and Defense 3. Biotechnology and Life Sciences(Excluding Medical Services) 4. Information and Computer Technology a) Communications Equipment b) Computing Equipment Semiconductors c) Information Technology 5. Petroleum Refining and Chemical Products 6. Energy a) Oil and Gas Production b) Power Generation and Transmission c) Manufactured Energy Systems Texas Cluster Initiative
  29. 29. 1. Advanced Technologies and Manufacturing a) Nanotechnology and Materials b) Micro-electromechanical Systems c) Semiconductor Manufacturing d) Automotive Manufacturing 2. Aerospace and Defense 3. Biotechnology and Life Sciences(Excluding Medical Services) 4. Information and Computer Technology a) Communications Equipment b) Computing Equipment Semiconductors c) Information Technology 5. Petroleum Refining and Chemical Products 6. Energy a) Oil and Gas Production b) Power Generation and Transmission c) Manufactured Energy Systems Texas Cluster Initiative
  30. 30. U.S. Hybrid Vehicle Releases • Honda Accord • Honda Civic • Honda Insight • Toyota Prius • Ford Escape SUV • Lexus RX 400h SUV • Toyota Highlander SUV • Mercury Mariner SUV • GM Silverado & Sierra Technologies & Skills • Combustion Engine • Transmission • Electric Motor • Generator • Batteries • High Voltage Circuitry • Energy Management Sys Hybrid Vehicles 9 Today 21 In 2 years Hybrid Tech
  31. 31. Home Technology Integration Source: Internet Home Alliance, Net Gain: Advancing the Market for Home Technology Integrators, 2004 “the convergence or merging of previously separate technologies and systems in the home, including integrated home control, computer/home network, communications, lighting and energy management, entertainment and security, health and safety.” HT Integrator
  32. 32. Technologies & Skills • Computer Security • Computer Maintenance • Computer Systems Administratio • Computer Forensics • Following Rules of Evidence • Expert Interpretation Applications • Law Enforcement • Corporate Sector • Data Recovery • Consulting/Private Investigations Digital Forensics Digital Forensics Specialist
  33. 33. Wind Turbines • Instrumentation • Hydraulic Systems • Electronics Systems • Mechanical Systems • Airfoils & Composites • Data Communications Wind Turbine Technician
  34. 34. Fuel Cells • Math • Physics • Chemistry • Instrumentation • Electrical Theory & Devices • Industrial Automatic Control • Programmable Logic Controllers Fuel Cell Systems Technician
  35. 35. Mechatronics The synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers. Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear Engineering Departments at RPI All Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI From: Jim Brazell, 5th World
  36. 36. Nanotechnology Fuel Cells Digital Games Homeland Security ADM, Hybrid, MEMS, Computer Forensics Wireless: M2M Resulting Emerging Technology Studies
  37. 37. www.forecasting.system.tstc.edu • Download complete emerging technology studies for free • Register with the site for future publications • Participate in emerging technology topic surveys
  38. 38. Resulting Emerging Technology Briefs • Artificial Intelligence • Crime Scene Technician • Home Technology Integration • Liquefied Natural Gas • Mechatronics • Nuclear Power Technician • Photovoltaic Technician • Polysomnography • Retinal Angiographer • Wind Turbines
  39. 39. www.tslccd.org • Curriculum • Lesson Plans • Syllabi • Contacts • Partners • Examples
  40. 40. www.thecb.state.tx.us/OS/Grants/Perkins/ • Get paid to develop new curriculum! • $150,000 towards DACUM, PCAL, travel, advisory committees, contracting, materials, research, etc.
  41. 41. Preview • Workforce • Education • Learning Strategies
  42. 42. 1
  43. 43. Adapted from Charles Ostman Senior Fellow Institute for Global Futures NEURO NANO BIOINFO S&T Convergence
  44. 44. Transdisciplinarity
  45. 45. Source: Brazell, IC2 Institute, 2004 Yang Cai, Ingo Snel, Betty Chenga, Suman Bharathi, Clementine Klein d, Judith Klein- Seetharaman; Carnegie Mellon University, University of Frankfurt, Research Institute, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine. www.andrew.cmu.edu/~ycai/biogame.pdf BIOSIM 1.0
  46. 46. Chemistry Engineering BiologyPhysics Educational Convergence Informatics
  47. 47. 2
  48. 48. Math Engineering TechScience STEM
  49. 49. Math Engineering TechScience ARTS
  50. 50. Math Engineering TechScience TEAMS
  51. 51. GAME TEAMS Games have captured millennials imagination and time. Leverage the attention economy of games to develop next generation workforce. We need to pierce the veil of play and support game-based constructivist learning. Transdisciplinarity is the common denominator. Games NANO BIO INFO NEURO Game Builder = System Builder TEAMS Educational Pull
  52. 52. Population: 1.4MM Growth: 1200/day Educational Sites 3 - 5 minutes EA online games 9 minutes AOL Entertainment 10 minutes Whyville.net 59 minutes Yahoo! Games 78 minutes MEAN TIME PER USER LOGIN Discovery.com: 96 million Whyville.net: 58.4 million BigChalk: 11 million Time for Kids: 8 million New York Times Learning Net: 1.2 million Cosmogirl: 425,000 PAGE VIEWS ©numedeon,inc.2003 The average time per log in July was 3.8 hours making it second to Neopets.
  53. 53. 3
  54. 54. Mechatronics The synergistic combination of mechanical engineering, electronics, control systems and computers. Mechanical, Aerospace, and Nuclear Engineering Departments at RPI All Contents Copyright(C) 2001 Mechatronics Lab at RPI
  55. 55. Preview • Workforce • Education • Learning Strategies
  56. 56. Ray Kurzweil & The Singularity Go to www.singularity.com for more info.
  57. 57. What is driving these advances? Innovation & Competitiveness “Innovation is the key to driving growth and prosperity. Economists calculate that approximately 50% of U.S. annual GDP growth is attributed to increases in innovation.” Council on Competitiveness
  58. 58. Changing Nature of Innovation 1. Faster 2. Multidisciplinary 3. Collaborative 4. Democratized 5. Global From: Measuring Regional Innovation, Council on Competitiveness http://www.compete.org/
  59. 59. Technology curriculum is increasingly multidisciplinary, comprising knowledge, skills and abilities from traditionally desperate academic and occupational domains. Changing Nature of Innovation
  60. 60. “…the changing nature of innovation and accelerating global competition means that the U.S. can no longer rest on its past success. Our innovation leadership is not guaranteed and neither is our history of a rising living standard. To sustain our growth, we must innovate more, innovate better, and innovate faster.” Measuring Regional Innovation Council on Competitiveness
  61. 61. “…the changing nature of innovation and accelerating global competition means that the U.S. can no longer rest on its past success. Our innovation leadership is not guaranteed and neither is our history of a rising living standard. To sustain our growth, we must innovate more, innovate better, and innovate faster.” Measuring Regional Innovation Council on Competitiveness
  62. 62. “…the changing nature of innovation and accelerating global competition means that the U.S. can no longer rest on its past success. Our innovation leadership is not guaranteed and neither is our history of a rising living standard. To sustain our growth, we must innovate more, innovate better, and innovate faster.” Measuring Regional Innovation Council on Competitiveness
  63. 63. “…the changing nature of innovation and accelerating global competition means that the U.S. can no longer rest on its past success. Our innovation leadership is not guaranteed and neither is our history of a rising living standard. To sustain our growth, we must innovate more, innovate better, and innovate faster.” Measuring Regional Innovation Council on Competitiveness
  64. 64. “The future will always surprise us… …but it shouldn’t dumbfound us.” Buckminster Fuller
  65. 65. JimBrazell Consulting Analyst Digital Media Collaboratory UT Austin jim@ventureramp.com 210-381-6476 www.ventureramp.com Michael A Bettersworth Associate Vice ChancellorforTechnology Advancement Texas State Technical College michael.bettersworth@tstc.edu 512.391.1705 www.system.tstc.edu/forecasting

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