Presentation by Dennis Meadows at the Conference Sevilla 2007, the 5th Conference of Sustainable Cities and Town Campaign

1. Resource Efficiency is the Key to Resilient Local Governments Presentation for ICLEI Dennis Meadows Seville 21 March 2007

3. World Population

4. Industrial Production

5. Index of World Metals Use

6. CO 2 Concentration

7. Wackernagel’s Indicator of Overshoot

8. Overshoot and Decline Resources Population Pollution Industrial Output Food

9. Sustainable Development Resources Population Pollution Industrial Output Food

10. “ Sind die Menschen noch zu retten?” Die Zeit, 16.11.06 If current trends of overfishing and pollution continue, .. all seafood faces collapse by 2048. By the middle of the century … no fewer than 7 billion people in 60 countries may be faced with water scarcity . Human beings and the natural world are on a collision course. .. Fundamental changes are urgent…. - more than 1,600 scientists, including 102 Nobel laureates, from 70 countries (Ignoring climate change) “could create risks of major Disruption to economic and social activity… on a scale Similar to those associated with the great wars.” Stern Review October 2006

11. Resources & Energy Per Year # of people * * Satisfaction Person - Year Resources & Energy Satisfaction Resource Efficiency Policies Demography Culture Technology

14. Gap between Discovery and Use

15. Global Oil Production will Peak Soon

17. Easy Problems Now Future Better -------> Next Evaluation Action #1 Actual Desired Action #2

18. Difficult Problems Now Future Better -------> Next Evaluation Action #1 Action #2 Actual Desired

19. Difficult Problems Become Easy with Greater Time Horizon Now Future Better -------> Next Evaluation Action #1 Action #2 Actual Desired

23. Clock-wise Direction Counter Clock-wise Direction