The World is Changing… again… The only constant is change Over the past six years business demands for productivity, increasing globalization and the consumerization of IT have changed dramatically There has been a rapid evolution in the technology responses implemented to meet business demands. And all these changes can be summed up in five major technology transitions (Mobility with Video, Cloud, all leading to a new breed of applications, and the Internet of Things with machine to machine connections and automated contextual decision making, Big Data & Analytics What does this all mean? And how does it affect business today? For organizations of all sizes, this means new growth opportunities with advances in productivity Companies and organizations are being faced with the demand for technology as a service inside the Enterprise. Employees want the ability to access any application, any time, anywhere – from the device of their choice. It means employees are demanding the same technology experience expectations in their workplace that they have in their personal lives (Amazon.com, Online banking, etc.) And the emergence of new business models Increasing expectations from users around the world with security, regulation and compliance requirements Technology responses start with Technology Architectures that enable security, flexibility, speed and scale for the business Together, this changing world results in increasing expectations of IT to accommodate the technology transitions while dealing with the business implications that we are all faced with
7.1B People, 5B cell phones, 2B broadband connections, 1B Facebook users; 500M on Twitter 50B devices by 2020 (15B today and 1,000 in 1984) 15,000 iPads and 45,000 Smartphones at Cisco 20B mobile app downloads in 2012; 40B since 2008 400,000 enterprise mobile app downloads at Cisco in 2012 Average enterprise user downloads 7 "enterprise" apps – at a medium size company with 5,000 people they have 21,000 app downloads
More than 160 million lines of code in Cisco network operating systems, 710 APIs More than 6,800 unique software features (1,000+ new features every year) 7,000 of 9,300 patents are software-related 13 out of 14 recent corporate acquisitions have been software companies 80% of Cisco R&D engineers focus on software
With each iteration of our forecast, there are literally volumes data and factoids that can be extracted from our research. There’s definitely a lot of information, but here are some of the key takeaways from our discussion today:
From a top-line growth perspective, by 2017, annual global mobile data traffic will reach 11.2 exabytes per month (or a run rate of 134 exabytes annually).
In terms of year-over year growth, global mobile data traffic grew 70% in 2012.
Global mobile network speed is a key traffic driver―it doubled in 2012 and will increase 7-fold by 2017.
Mobile video is still the top mobile application―by 2017, more than 66% of the world’s mobile data traffic will be video.
The introduction and adoption of mobile devices is outpacing new mobile subscriber and even global population growth. By 2017, there will be more than one mobile connected device (10.3B) for nearly every member of the world’s population (7.6B).
Important to step back and define the Internet of Everything People + Process + Data (the “Internet” as we know it today) + Things (the “Internet of Things”) all joining the Internet creating Intelligent Connections
Cisco definition: “The Internet of Everything” brings together people, processes, data, and things to make networked connections more relevant and valuable than ever before – turning information into actions that create new capabilities, richer experiences, and unprecedented economic opportunity for businesses, individuals, and countries.”
And it’s really the value of these connections that are more important than the number of “things” that are connected
IoT vs. IoE?: IoT = now / IoE = future IoT = things only… big current opportunity… one component of IoE / IoE = people + processes + data + things IoE = connections… connections matter most… focusing on exact number of “things” misses big picture… how many things matters less… potential connections between everything matter more… outcomes of connections matter most (better decisions, new opportunities, richer experiences, improved quality of life) IoE builds on foundation of IoT, adding network intelligence … allows convergence, orchestration, visibility across previously disparate systems.
Sources: Gartner, Cisco VNI, Cisco IBSG
As these major trends occur, and IT budgets move into different lines of business, we’re seeing resulting differentials that need to be addressed Enterprise IT spend is increasing; not by much, but if you look at the distributed spend, companies have consistently been spending more but trying to manage increasing user demands and customized needs and applications for lines of business By 2016, global IP traffic will reach 1.3 zettabytes annually (110 exabytes per month); growing 4-fold from 2011 to 2016 And user expectations continue to grow as well with the proliferation of devices in the workplace and the “anywhere, anytime” demand This creates a differential that results in an experience differential – people are looking for the same experience in the workplace that they are achieving at home or in their personal lives Add to the complexity of the matter, the emergence of cloud – public, private – all providing your users and companies with the applications and services they need to keep your business competitive And all the As A Service demands are resulting in a velocity differential – new companies can go to market faster because they aren’t dealing with a legacy infra, they can just procure their infrastructure as they need it And when you bring the consumerization of technology together with the industrialization effect that Cloud is having on IT, all of a sudden we are looking at a world where people are connected to people, to machines, machines are connected to other machines and all these connections are leading to decisions made and actions taken – by people and machines It’s a multiplying effect on the differentials that creates a greater one where information technology needs to enable businesses/companies to act quickly with agility to changing user and business challenges