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Andy Rossmeissl - Learning from Climategate: New Strategies for a Skeptical World

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Andy Rossmeissl - Learning from Climategate: New Strategies for a Skeptical World

  1. 1. slide 1Learning from Climategate Andy RossmeisslNew st ategies for a skeptical world Brighter Planet
  2. 2. Science as a se icePOST http://impact.brighterplanet.com/flights.json { origin_airport: “JFK”, destination_airport: “LAX” } slide 2 => { … carbon: { object: { value: 1234.5, units: “kg” } … } … }
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  5. 5. Report of the International Panel set up by the University of East Anglia to examine the research of the Climatic Research Unit. Introduction 1. The Panel was set up by the University in consultation with the Royal Society to assess the integrity of the research published by the Climatic Research Unit in the light of various external assertions. The Unit is a very small academic entity within the School of Environmental Sciences. It has three full time and one part time academic staff members and about a dozen research associates, PhD students and support staff. The essence of the criticism that the Panel was asked to address was that climatic data had been dishonestly selected, manipulated and/or presented to arrive at pre-determined conclusions that were not compatible with a fair interpretation of the original data. The members of the Panel are listed in Appendix A at the end of this report. The Indepen dent 2. The Panel was not concerned with the question of whether the conclusions of the published research were correct. Rather it was asked to come to a view on monsHouse of Com the integrity of the Unit’s research and whether as far as could be determined echnology the conclusions represented an honest and scientifically justified interpretation Climate Chan ge of the data. The Panel worked by examining representative publications byScience and T members of the Unit and subsequently by making two visits to the University and interviewing and questioning members of the Unit. Not all the panel wereCommittee present on both occasions but two members were present on both occasions to E -mail s Revi ew maintain continuity. About fifteen person/days were spent at the University discussing the Unit’s work. e of The disclosur 3. The eleven representative publications that the Panel considered in detail are July 2010 m the listed in Appendix B. The papers cover a period of more than twenty years and mate data fro Unit were selected on the advice of the Royal Society. All had been published in cli international scientific journals and had been through a process of peer review. arch slide 5 CRU agreed that they were a fair sample of the work of the Unit. The Panel Climatic Rese was also free to ask for any other material that it wished and did so. Individuals on the panel asked for and reviewed other CRU research materials. sity of at the Univer 4. The Panel’s work began with a detailed reading of the published work. Every paper was read by a minimum of three Panel members at least one of whom Chair : Sir Muir Russell East Anglia was familiar with the general area to which the paper related. At least one of the other two was a generalist with no special climate science expertise but with experience of some of the general techniques and methods employed in the work. Most of the members of the Panel read all the publications. The Review team 10 : ession 2009– publications provided a platform from which to gain a deeper understanding of of S Professor Ge Eighth Report the Unit’s research and enabled the Panel to probe particular questions in more detail. o rey Boulto Professor Pete n inutes r Clarke her with formal m David Eyton Report, toget Professor Jam e House of Co mmons es Norton Ordered by th 2010 24 March to be printed 1 HC 387-I 31 March 2010 Published on mmons th e House of Co by authority of Limited Sta tionery O ce London: The £0.00
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  8. 8. Extremely sure Very sure Somewhat sure Not at all sure75 3 17 3 21 26 20 slide 8 1 25 1 7 19 23 14 4 6 3 0 3 5 2008 2010 2008 2010 2008 2010 Global Warming Is Dont Know Global Warming Is Not Happening Happening Yale study
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  10. 10. Trust is sca slide 10
  11. 11. Client input Brighter Planet CM platformComputations Reference data slide 11 Impact
  12. 12. POST http://impact.brighterplanet.com/automobile_trips.json { make: “Nissaaan”, model: “Ultima” } slide 12
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  19. 19. Science is unce tain.Trust isslide 18tainer. unce
  20. 20. Trustansparency slide 19 BRIGHTER PLANET

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