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By The Numbers: James Cormier-Chisholm


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Numbers showing post peak oil and natural gas impacts on U.S. Economy.

I will update this later to show impacts on mortgage markets.

Published in: Business, Economy & Finance
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By The Numbers: James Cormier-Chisholm

  1. 1. James Cormier-Chisholm President Subterranetech Inc. Ph: 1 (403) 521-5207
  2. 2. <ul><li>Since 1969, The U.S. has been in oil and natural gas decline. </li></ul>
  3. 3. <ul><li>The business cycle in the U.S. is driven by post peak oil and natural gas supplies. This is shown as U.S. Federal surplus and deficit number, which represent a proxy to how well, or bad, the U.S. economy does. </li></ul><ul><li>Overall, there is increasing deficits in the budget in line with “increasing domestic U.S. debt for foreign oil” </li></ul>
  4. 4. Population Connection to Energy in the U.S. <ul><li>That there is a link between population and oil/natural gas supplies is not a new thought: </li></ul><ul><li>M. King Hubbert, the geologist who first discussed peak oil and post peak oil effects, basically was using a population and constraint argument, i.e. energy supports the foundations of society, without a fundamental support, population will decline to meet a lower support level. </li></ul>
  5. 5. Population Project vs Oil/Gas Supply <ul><li>Using the relationship between people and oil / gas supply, we use that relationship to predict by 2016 there will be a long term, potentially permanent population decline in the U.S. With a correlative and causative relationship present here, we need to get off oil/gas economics onto renewable energy as soon as possible. </li></ul>
  6. 6. Not all Curves are the Same <ul><li>With renewable energy, if we wish to maintain population and lifestyle, we have to go after renewable energy that has exponential growth to steadily increasing growth curves to reduce impacts of oil/natural gas supply decline. </li></ul>
  7. 7. Recap: <ul><li>We have to get off oil/natural gas supply as we are seeing now the impacts of declining oil/nat. gas supplies on our economy. </li></ul><ul><li>Renewable energy that provides exponential energy growth curves are the best bet to reduce the impacts of post peak oil/natural gas declines on population and lifestyle. </li></ul><ul><li>Thank you, James Cormier-Chisholm </li></ul>