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www.GrabtheCashandDash.com
Jay A. Leavitt, PhD
<ul><li>Portfolio Builder was developed from years of experience trading market timer systems. The Portfolio Builder timer...
ETF Machine Market Timer
S&P 500 Daily Prices S&P 500 Weekly Prices Market Sentiment The timer tells if the market will be Bullish, Bearish or inde...
<ul><li>Market Timer [Bull, Bear, Neutral] </li></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Conservative Entries </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul>...
ETF Machine The ETFs machine has 3 inputs, the timer [Bull, Bear or ?], the ETF’s data and market sentiment. It decides  i...
<ul><li>ETFs from Five Sectors </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Big Caps </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Mid Caps </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><...
<ul><li>Goals </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Capture profits aggressively as they are generated </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Reduce t...
<ul><li>Never add to a position </li></ul><ul><li>Skim profits as they develop </li></ul><ul><li>Close position based on p...
Note: These ETFs introduced in 2009. Data for prior years derived from their indices. SYMBOL DESC. LEVER-AGE % WINS PROFIT...
<ul><li>The Portfolio Builder strategy determines which ETF to choose </li></ul><ul><li>Bullish ETFs are selected when the...
ETF Pair Trades Time in Market Average # Days in Trade BGU / BGZ 25 12.16% 6.20 EDC / EDZ 25 13.17% 5.88 ERX / ERY 40 13.1...
 
 
 
 
<ul><li>Annual Rate of Return </li></ul><ul><li>142.83% </li></ul><ul><li>Maximum Draw-Down </li></ul><ul><li>8.32% </li><...
 
Annual returns > 200%, 100%, 50%  Are Unrealistic
 
Especially the  Grab the Cash and Dash  Money Management
 
<ul><li>Each time there is a trade signal for the next day, notification is sent out in our newsletter between the close a...
 
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Portfolio Builder Update

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Portfolio Builder Update

  1. 1. www.GrabtheCashandDash.com
  2. 2. Jay A. Leavitt, PhD
  3. 3. <ul><li>Portfolio Builder was developed from years of experience trading market timer systems. The Portfolio Builder timer generates signals of three market conditions: </li></ul><ul><li>Bull, Bear and Neutral. </li></ul><ul><li>Central to the Portfolio Builder system is a </li></ul><ul><li>Grab the Cash and Dash </li></ul><ul><li>approach for capturing profits and minimizing exposure to risk. </li></ul><ul><li>Portfolio Builder also has an integrated strategy for trading in Neutral markets. </li></ul><ul><li>The Portfolio Builder system employs diverse market index ETFs as a strategic component of its trading system. </li></ul>
  4. 4. ETF Machine Market Timer
  5. 5. S&P 500 Daily Prices S&P 500 Weekly Prices Market Sentiment The timer tells if the market will be Bullish, Bearish or indecisive.
  6. 6. <ul><li>Market Timer [Bull, Bear, Neutral] </li></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Conservative Entries </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>High probability of Success </li></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Quick Exits </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Exits based on profits </li></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Exits based on Sentiment </li></ul></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Exits use sound Money Management </li></ul></ul></ul><ul><ul><ul><ul><li>Grab the Cash and Dash </li></ul></ul></ul></ul>
  7. 7. ETF Machine The ETFs machine has 3 inputs, the timer [Bull, Bear or ?], the ETF’s data and market sentiment. It decides if an entry is recommended, whether profits should be skimmed or if the position should be closed.
  8. 8. <ul><li>ETFs from Five Sectors </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Big Caps </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Mid Caps </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Small Caps </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Emerging Markets </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Energy </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Comprehensive ETF Selections </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Directional choice of ETF in directional markets </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Bi-directional choice of ETF in Neutral markets </li></ul></ul>
  9. 9. <ul><li>Goals </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Capture profits aggressively as they are generated </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Reduce the funds at risk while maintaining a profit potential </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Address the increasing risk of a pull-back the more the market rises </li></ul></ul>
  10. 10. <ul><li>Never add to a position </li></ul><ul><li>Skim profits as they develop </li></ul><ul><li>Close position based on profit draw-down </li></ul><ul><li>Close position if Market Timer changes </li></ul>
  11. 11. Note: These ETFs introduced in 2009. Data for prior years derived from their indices. SYMBOL DESC. LEVER-AGE % WINS PROFIT FACTOR LARGEST LOSING TRADE FIRST TRADE LAST TRADE YEARS NET PROFIT ANNUAL RATE OF RETURN Bullish ETFs BGU Big Caps 3X 83.33 5.76 4.38% 5/1/09 12/13/11 2.62 $55,084 21.05% ERX Energy 3X 74.07 3.20 14.75% 4/4/08 12/2/11 3.66 $92,091 25.16% TNA Small Caps 3X 68.75 4.18 6.60% 12/18/08 12/7/11 2.97 $67,055 22.59% EDC Emerging Markets 3X 80.00 7.98 18.20% 1/6/09 10/14/11 2.77 $213,191 77.02% MWJ Mid Caps 3X 80.00 36.58 1.34% 4/4/08 10/26/11 3.56 $76,981 21.63% Bearish ETFs BGZ Big Caps -3X 76.92 6.91 7.98% 1/4/08 11/29/11 3.90 $149,410 38.30% ERY Energy -3X 69.23 3.78 17.87% 1/7/08 11/29/11 3.89 $419,433 107.73% TZA Small Caps -3X 65.22 2.38 10.92% 1/3/08 11/29/11 3.90 $287,773 73.71% EDZ Emerging Markets -3X 60.00 3.35 7.32% 2/27/09 8/29/11 2.50 $36,660 14.67% MWN Mid Caps -3X 55.56 2.49 12.36% 1/3/08 11/29/11 3.90 $98,094 25.13%
  12. 12. <ul><li>The Portfolio Builder strategy determines which ETF to choose </li></ul><ul><li>Bullish ETFs are selected when the market is going Up and Bearish ETFs when the market is going Down. </li></ul><ul><li>Trading both Bullish and Bearish ETFs results in profits exponentially greater than only trading one or the other </li></ul>
  13. 13. ETF Pair Trades Time in Market Average # Days in Trade BGU / BGZ 25 12.16% 6.20 EDC / EDZ 25 13.17% 5.88 ERX / ERY 40 13.14% 5.93 TNA / TZA 39 17.30% 5.97 MWJ /MWN 33 9.80% 6.23
  14. 18. <ul><li>Annual Rate of Return </li></ul><ul><li>142.83% </li></ul><ul><li>Maximum Draw-Down </li></ul><ul><li>8.32% </li></ul>
  15. 20. Annual returns > 200%, 100%, 50% Are Unrealistic
  16. 22. Especially the Grab the Cash and Dash Money Management
  17. 24. <ul><li>Each time there is a trade signal for the next day, notification is sent out in our newsletter between the close and before the following open. </li></ul><ul><li>The notice contains instructions such as ETF symbol, entry price, percent of holding to skim or close condition. </li></ul>

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