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The Iraq Model
               
 The Bush Administration thought of politics as the
  relationship between individuals and the state.
 In the Middle East people see politics as the balance
  of power between communities.
 There are no politics in the authoritarian regimes –
  it’s the regimes way or the highway.
Remember
                  
 Part of the US Foreign Policy in the Middle East
  was/is to make Iraq a model of democracy for the
  Middle East.
 The hope is that democracy will allow the diverse
  populations of the Middle East to finally get along …
Is there a rivalry?
               
 As of right now a little– but the rivalry between
  Sunni and Shiite is growing quickly.
 Most Islamists are Shiite (as a minority group
  throughout much of the Middle East - democracy is
  the only way Shittes can have any voice).
 Most of the ruling classes of the Middle East are
  Sunni.
 Creates an immediate conflict of interest.
Iran
                        
 Iran is considered the leader of the Shitte world, and
  their influence has been growing since 2003.
Iraq and Iran
                   
 Since US occupation of Iraq, Iran has built an
  extensive support network amongst Iraqis.
 This closeness between Iraq and Iran has caught the
  US off guard.
 Since they fought each other in a war for most of the
  80’s we assumed they would continue to be cold
  towards each other.
 The hole Sunni/Shiite thing was not considered?
Iraq and Iran continued
            …
            
 Saddam’s Baath party was Sunni and they did
  everything they could to drive Shiites out of Iraq.
 Less diversity would equal more control of Iraq.
 Even resorted to pogroms to get the job done.
 Many Shiites who left Iraq in the 80’s and 90’s are
  now going back home.
 These returning Iraqis have strong connections with
  their Shiite neighbors now …
Sharia Law
                   
 Sharia Law is the religious code and religious law of
  Islam.
 Sharia deals with many topics addressed by secular
  law, including crime, politics, and economics, as well
  as personal matters such as sexual intercourse,
  hygiene, diet, prayer, and fasting.
 Interpretations of sharia vary between cultures.
 Its source is from the Koran and Muslim religious
  scholars.
Concerns of Sharia Law
      in the USA
           
 Woman’s rights
 Some punishments are seen as Medieval
 Separation of church and state to promote life, liberty,
  and pursuit of happiness.
 Freedom of religion, of expression, of thought …
 No room for debate, Sharia Law comes from God and is
  infallible .
 What if Muslim Americans want this stuff here?


 Sharia Law has been the corner stone of the Islamist
  movement, especially among Shiites.
Muslim Brotherhood
            
 The Brotherhood's credo was and is, "Allah is our
  objective; the Quran is our law, the Prophet is our
  leader; Jihad is our way; and death for the sake of
  Allah is the highest of our aspirations.“
Continued …
                  
 The Brotherhood's stated goal is to instill the Qur'an
  as the "sole reference point for ...ordering the life of
  the Muslim family, individual, community ... and
  state".
 The movement officially opposes violent means to
  achieve its goals, although it at one time
  encompassed a paramilitary wing and its members
  were involved in massacres, bombings and
  assassinations of political opponents.
Why these guys worry
        the USA
           
 Their language in their charters make us nervous.
 It’s a group that has membership across this Middle
  East.
 They have potential to unify the Middle East into an
  a new Caliph, or Muslim Empire.
 It’s unlikely, given the numerous rivalries in the
  Middle East, but it’s a possibility nonetheless.

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Shiites Rise

  • 1.
  • 2. The Iraq Model   The Bush Administration thought of politics as the relationship between individuals and the state.  In the Middle East people see politics as the balance of power between communities.  There are no politics in the authoritarian regimes – it’s the regimes way or the highway.
  • 3. Remember   Part of the US Foreign Policy in the Middle East was/is to make Iraq a model of democracy for the Middle East.  The hope is that democracy will allow the diverse populations of the Middle East to finally get along …
  • 4. Is there a rivalry?   As of right now a little– but the rivalry between Sunni and Shiite is growing quickly.  Most Islamists are Shiite (as a minority group throughout much of the Middle East - democracy is the only way Shittes can have any voice).  Most of the ruling classes of the Middle East are Sunni.  Creates an immediate conflict of interest.
  • 5. Iran   Iran is considered the leader of the Shitte world, and their influence has been growing since 2003.
  • 6. Iraq and Iran   Since US occupation of Iraq, Iran has built an extensive support network amongst Iraqis.  This closeness between Iraq and Iran has caught the US off guard.  Since they fought each other in a war for most of the 80’s we assumed they would continue to be cold towards each other.  The hole Sunni/Shiite thing was not considered?
  • 7. Iraq and Iran continued …   Saddam’s Baath party was Sunni and they did everything they could to drive Shiites out of Iraq.  Less diversity would equal more control of Iraq.  Even resorted to pogroms to get the job done.  Many Shiites who left Iraq in the 80’s and 90’s are now going back home.  These returning Iraqis have strong connections with their Shiite neighbors now …
  • 8. Sharia Law   Sharia Law is the religious code and religious law of Islam.  Sharia deals with many topics addressed by secular law, including crime, politics, and economics, as well as personal matters such as sexual intercourse, hygiene, diet, prayer, and fasting.  Interpretations of sharia vary between cultures.  Its source is from the Koran and Muslim religious scholars.
  • 9. Concerns of Sharia Law in the USA   Woman’s rights  Some punishments are seen as Medieval  Separation of church and state to promote life, liberty, and pursuit of happiness.  Freedom of religion, of expression, of thought …  No room for debate, Sharia Law comes from God and is infallible .  What if Muslim Americans want this stuff here?  Sharia Law has been the corner stone of the Islamist movement, especially among Shiites.
  • 10. Muslim Brotherhood   The Brotherhood's credo was and is, "Allah is our objective; the Quran is our law, the Prophet is our leader; Jihad is our way; and death for the sake of Allah is the highest of our aspirations.“
  • 11. Continued …   The Brotherhood's stated goal is to instill the Qur'an as the "sole reference point for ...ordering the life of the Muslim family, individual, community ... and state".  The movement officially opposes violent means to achieve its goals, although it at one time encompassed a paramilitary wing and its members were involved in massacres, bombings and assassinations of political opponents.
  • 12. Why these guys worry the USA   Their language in their charters make us nervous.  It’s a group that has membership across this Middle East.  They have potential to unify the Middle East into an a new Caliph, or Muslim Empire.  It’s unlikely, given the numerous rivalries in the Middle East, but it’s a possibility nonetheless.