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CES2018 Tech Trends by Steve Koenig

Published in: Technology
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  1. 1. CES 2018 Tech Trends Steve Koenig Sr. Director, Market Research @KoenigSteve
  2. 2. CES 2018 Technology Trends In Three Parts Ingredient Technologies 5G A.I. Robotics In The Market Consumer Behavior Digital Detoxing Digital Privacy/Security Future of Work Native Interfaces and Digital Senses Realism Redefined Smart Cities
  3. 3. 5G Connectivity: Coming Soon • Higher speed, greater capacity, lower latency • Potentially 40 times faster • Lots happening already: 5G New Radio (NR) Smart Cities Wireless VRSelf-Driving Cars
  4. 4. 5G Industry Roadmap Technology Marketplace Standardization Regulatory 5G will co-exist with LTE Release 16 by 2020 mmWave spectrum Carriers deploy LTE-Advanced/Pro Small /pico and metro cells Field trials 5G New Radio (NR) development Finding spectrum Short-term development Longer-term development 2016 2018 2020 Enhanced Mobile Broadband New business models Initiatives
  5. 5. Solutions Enabled by 5G Robust and secure network. Extremely high data rate and very low latency Real-time networks; streaming 8K video Enhanced Mobile Broadband (EMBB) High data rates revolutionize customer experience Industrial Automotive Telecommunications Health Care AR/VR
  6. 6. 5G: How fast is it?
  7. 7. Artificial Intelligence •Deep / Machine Learning • Software learns from data (i.e., experience) •Neural Networks • Processing devices from algorithms to hardware •Narrow vs. General AIs Systems that learn to do things we can’t program them to do Use Cases: Doing Things We … Don’t Care to Do Can’t Do Need all the help we can get Greater A.I. integration will generate societal impacts
  8. 8. CALORIE MAMA Deep learning and image classification technology to quickly and accurately identify food items. AI searches retinal images and detects signs of diabetic retinopathy — like a highly trained ophthalmologist. GOOGLE DEEP MIND HEALTH
  9. 9. AI Applications in Auto: NVIDIA DRIVE PX2 NVIDIA PILOTNET Sensory Perception | Data Processing | Action FORD | ALEXA
  10. 10. Intel’s Nervana NNP Source: Intel
  11. 11. What’s Next for A.I.? Conversation With Context “One of the major groundbreakers is going to be our ability to truly converse with artificial intelligence embedded in the fabric around us—this will be far bigger than people realize right now.” Arvind Krishna, Senior Vice President of Hybrid Cloud and Director of IBM Research Source: IBM
  12. 12. What’s Next for A.I.? Building Trust and Reducing Bias “We will get to a point, likely within the next five years, when an AI system can better explain why it's telling you to do what it's recommending.” Rachel Bellamy, IBM Research Manager for human-agent collaboration. Source: IBM
  13. 13. Robotics in the Consumer Market Hub Robot Lawn Mowing Robot Airbot Black and Decker Smartech Robot Vac Ubtech Lynx Mayfield Robotics Kuri Leka LG Robots at CES Blue Frog Robotics Buddy
  14. 14. From Conversations to Relationships? From Amazon’s Alexa … To Toshiba’s Aiko…
  15. 15. Robotics: What’s Next? Quickly Moving Beyond Simple Tasks •Task oriented: Mowing, cleaning windows/floors, folding clothes etc. •Service Oriented: Companion Robots; Commercial locations •Automotive: Actuators to make self-driving happen •Workplace: Not just for manufacturing anymore! •Robotics personify automation.
  16. 16. Voice: The Fourth Sales Channel Native Interfaces and Digital Senses
  17. 17. Digital Senses: Biometrics U.S. Consumers’ Experience 43% 45% 2015 2017 Ever Used? 1% 2% 5% 9% 10% 15% 29% Ear biometrics Hand measurements Eye retina/iris recognition Facial recognition DNA Voice recognition Digital fingerprinting Biometric Technologies Used (2017) Source: CTA, 2017 Biometrics Study
  18. 18. Fingerprint Technology at CES 2017 Synaptics Natural ID Capacitive Sensor Benjilock Thumbprint Padlock NXT-ID Smart Wallet
  19. 19. Facial Recognition on the Go Continental AG IPhone X Face ID
  20. 20. Samsung Galaxy S8 Iris Scanning
  21. 21. Comfort with Native Interfaces 46% 56%56% 46% 41% 38% Use Cases: Net Comfort Levels with Biometric Technology Net Comfort Level = Very Comfortable + Comfortable Security Screening SurveillanceMedical Personal Convenience Personal Transactions Commercial Source: CTA, 2017 Biometrics Study U.S. Consumers
  22. 22. Realism Redefined “Presence. Where if you create the right type of experience, you can make someone forget where their real body is for a moment, a minute or two, and make them truly feel like you've taken them somewhere else.” Hollywood Executive Source: CTA / NATPE, Virtual Reality: Promise and Reality – What’s Ahead for Creative Storytelling, 2016
  23. 23. VR Ecosystem Expanding Content Subscription Plans HTC Vive tracker Nyko VR charging docks Audeze and JBL Headphone Solutions Specifically Developed for VR Intel’s Project Alloy Insta360 Pro 8K 360- Degree VR Camera Dynamic Tactile Wave Taclim VR Boots HTC Audio Strap
  24. 24. Oculus Go ($199) Rift + Controllers ($399) "We want to get a billion people in virtual reality." Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg
  25. 25. VR Treating PTSD Project Bravemind VR Therapy Developed by Researchers at USC
  26. 26. VR Archaeology Preserving Ancient Sites Before They’re Lost A virtual reconstruction of a Bronze Age round house
  27. 27. VR and Sports Next VR Camera CES Sports Zone
  28. 28. AR Gets Real 2 Hours of Doctor time saved per day 15% Gain in operational efficiency 25% Reduction in manufacturing time Source: Google X
  29. 29. AR for All
  30. 30. The Case for Smart Cities •Urban centers increasingly difficult to monitor/manage •Better, more-timely information = better choices •Optimization of public safety and services •Reducing traffic congestion •Less pollution •Competitive economic advantages Massive challenges exist: Market-based, Organizational, Political leadership
  31. 31. Global Trend of Urbanization 34% 37% 39% 43% 47% 51% 56% 60% 63% 66% 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050 Proportion of Global Population in Urban Areas Since 1960, Projections to 2050 Source: U.N.
  32. 32. Smart Cities Across the EU Number of Smart Cities 31+ 11-30 4-10 1-3 0 76%-100% 51%-75% 26%-50% 1-25% 0% Proportion of Smart Cities Source: 2014 EU research project
  33. 33. 83% 52% 35% 30% 28% 22% EU Smart Cities Focus On Environment & Energy Usage Among the 264 EU Smart Cities in 2014, how many present these characteristics? Smart Environment Smart Mobility Smart Governance Smart Living Smart Economy Smart People Source: 2014 EU research project
  34. 34. EU Leading The Way In Smart Grids: Estimated 72% Of Residents Will Have A Smart Meter By 2020 Smart appliances can shut off in response to energy fluctuations Energy generated at off-peak times can be stored in batteries for later use Energy from small generators and solar panels can reduce overall demand on the grid Sensors detect fluctuations and disturbances, and can signal for areas to be isolated Source: A 2014 EU research project identified 20 well-developed smart cities that had ample data on their smart city projects.
  35. 35. Smarter Transportation With Mobile Apps The future for smart city app development may be these data collection apps like these: Paris SoundCity by Inria measures users’ personal exposure to noise pollution and allows app creators to build a map of noise pollution for Paris. DansMaRue by Paris Numirique allows users to identify and report damaged infrastructure or cleanliness issues so that service teams can be easily deployed London Appyparking allows users to easily locate available parking spots in real- time and on-the-go. FixMyStreet is a platform connecting citizens with their council to report damaged or dirty streets. Amsterdam Tranzer allows users to pay for public transport on the go, making their trips more convenient. Helsinki MAAS Global identifies the optimal path for its users across a combination of public (trains, busses, bike shares) and private (taxis) transport options.
  37. 37. Case Study: Centralized Heating & Cooling In Paris The Paris Urban Heating Company (CPCU) derives 39% of its energy through waste incinerators Upgrading its smart grid capabilities by incorporating innovative ICT products and latest generation smart metering. CLIMESPACE, Europe’s largest provided of centralized district cooling via a smart grid. Efficiencies enable 50% less carbon emissions and 65% less water usage than an equivalent pool of stand-alone units. Centralized Heating & Cooling Systems Systems Can Be Controlled From a Centralized Panel
  38. 38. Case Study: Self-Driving Bus Service In Lyon Jean-Philippe Ksiazek/AFP/Getty Images “A driverless French car operating in city centers can become a reality as early as 2018.” The world’s first driverless bus service began carrying passengers in the French city of Lyon in September of 2016. The service consists of two electric minibuses with a capacity of 15 passengers each. They are not yet capable of maneuvering around other traffic, therefore their routes are near a tramway where other vehicles are not allowed. While this is a breakthrough in implementing automation in smart cities, the goal is to have driverless passenger cars seamlessly integrated all over the city.
  39. 39. Consumer Behavior: The B Side of Tech Trends Digital Detoxing Data Security / Privacy Future of Work
  40. 40. CES 2018 Tech Trends Steve Koenig Sr. Director, Market Research @KoenigSteve