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Population-Weighted Exposure to 
174 Air Toxics in a Representative Sample 
of the United States Population 1999 – 2010 
B. Rey de Castro, Sc.D. 
Statistician 
before the 
International Society for Exposure Science 
Modeling Sources and Exposures of Air Toxics 
Monday, 13 October 2014 
Cincinnati, OH 
National Center for Health Statistics 
Division of Laboratory Science 
ID: Mo-O-A4-02
What is the nationwide 
outdoor exposure 
to air toxics?
Modeled Exposure 
 US EPA National-Scale Air Toxics Assessment 2005 
 Nationwide estimate of chronic inhalation exposure 
 Census tract resolution 
 174 Hazardous air pollutants 
 Diesel particulate matter 
 Cancer and non-cancer health effects
NATA 2005 Process 
Ambient Monitoring 
National Emissions Inventory 2005 
Point  Mobile Sources 
HEM3/AERMOD 
Exposure Concentrations 
HAPEM 
Risk Assessment 
Cancer  Non-Cancer 
Nonpoint Sources 
ASPEN 
Photochemical Pollutants 
CMAQ 
Ambient Concentrations
Now that we have 
exposure estimates, 
what if we could 
associate them with 
where people live?
National Population Sample 
 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 
 1999 — 2010 
 Health conditions and behaviors 
 Biomonitoring 
 Tobacco use 
 Diet 
 Representative sample of 
 United States, nationwide 
 Non-institutionalized 
 Civilian 
 Cross-sectional
National Population Sample
National Exposure Estimates
NATA-NHANES Data Merge 
Merge by 
Census 
Tract 
NATA 
Air Toxics 
Exposure 
NHANES 
Residence 
Merged 
NATA-NHANES 
Data
NATA 2005  NHANES 1999-2010 
 NATA outdoor exposure concentration for 
residence census tract 
 NHANES subjects 
 6 years-old and over 
 ~62,000 subjects 
 Urban/rural stratification 
 Urban: ~53,000 subjects = 237 million USA 
 Rural: ~9,000 subjects = 51 million USA
Loge Boxplots 
133 Air Toxics, Ranked by Median 
Ln Exposure [nmol/m3]
Medians
Exposure 6Nanomolar: Urban 
Urban Rural 
nmol/m3 μg/m3 μg/m3 
FORMALDEHYDE 54.20 1.63 1.02 
ACETALDEHYDE 32.90 1.45 1.10 
TOLUENE 23.60 2.17 0.66 
METHYL CHLORIDE (CHLOROMETHANE) 18.60 0.94 0.93 
METHANOL 12.70 0.41 0.08 
BENZENE (INCLUDING FROM GAS) 11.00 0.86 0.40 
XYLENES (MIXED ISOMERS) 7.91 0.84 0.14 
CARBON TETRACHLORIDE 3.09 0.48 0.48 
HEXANE 3.09 0.27 0.04 
2,2,4-TRIMETHYLPENTANE 3.07 0.35 0.06 
METHYLENE CHLORIDE 2.92 0.25 0.10 
HYDROCHLORIC ACID (GAS) 1.99 0.07 0.02 
ETHYLENE GLYCOL 1.96 0.12 0.02 
1,1,1-TRICHLOROETHANE 1.85 0.25 0.15 
ETHYLBENZENE 1.67 0.19 0.03 
METHYL ISOBUTYL KETONE (HEXONE) 1.59 0.16 0.03 
1,3-BUTADIENE 1.10 0.06 0.02
Exposure 6Nanomolar: Rural 
Rural Urban 
nmol/m3 μg/m3 μg/m3 
FORMALDEHYDE 34.00 1.02 1.63 
ACETALDEHYDE 25.00 1.10 1.45 
METHYL CHLORIDE (CHLOROMETHANE) 18.50 0.93 0.94 
TOLUENE 7.21 0.66 2.17 
BENZENE (INCLUDING FROM GAS) 5.06 0.40 0.86 
CARBON TETRACHLORIDE 3.09 0.48 0.48 
METHANOL 2.58 0.08 0.41 
XYLENES (MIXED ISOMERS) 1.29 0.14 0.84 
METHYLENE CHLORIDE 1.19 0.10 0.25 
1,1,1-TRICHLOROETHANE 1.11 0.15 0.25
Median Nanomolar: 
Urban vs. Rural 
Air Toxic 
Urban 
[nmol/m3] 
Rural 
[nmol/m3] 
Urban 
[μg/m3] 
Rural 
[μg/m3] 
FORMALDEHYDE 54.20 [41.90, 68.20] 34.00 [27.20, 48.60] 1.63 [1.26, 2.05] 1.02 [0.82, 1.46] 
ACETALDEHYDE 32.90 [26.30, 40.10] 25.00 [19.70, 36.00] 1.45 [1.16, 1.77] 1.10 [0.87, 1.59] 
TOLUENE 23.60 [14.50, 35.30] 7.21 [5.91, 9.99] 2.17 [1.34, 3.25] 0.66 [0.54, 0.92] 
METHYL CHLORIDE (CHLOROMETHANE) 18.60 [18.50, 18.70] 18.50 [18.40, 18.60] 0.94 [0.93, 0.94] 0.93 [0.93, 0.94] 
METHANOL 12.70 [5.71, 24.20] 2.58 [0.78, 6.69] 0.41 [0.18, 0.78] 0.08 [0.03, 0.21] 
BENZENE (INCLUDING FROM GAS) 11.00 [7.87, 15.30] 5.06 [4.01, 6.71] 0.86 [0.61, 1.20] 0.40 [0.31, 0.52] 
XYLENES (MIXED ISOMERS) 7.91 [3.67, 13.8] 1.29 [0.70, 2.46] 0.84 [0.39, 1.47] 0.14 [0.07, 0.26] 
CARBON TETRACHLORIDE 3.09 [3.08, 3.11] 3.09 [3.07, 3.11] 0.48 [0.47, 0.48] 0.48 [0.47, 0.48] 
HEXANE 3.09 [1.57, 5.58] — 0.27 [0.14, 0.48] — 
2,2,4-TRIMETHYLPENTANE 3.07 [1.34, 5.86] — 0.35 [0.15, 0.67] — 
METHYLENE CHLORIDE 2.92 [1.92, 4.48] 1.19 [1.08, 1.49] 0.25 [0.16, 0.38] 0.10 [0.09, 0.13] 
HYDROCHLORIC ACID (GAS) 1.99 [0.90, 4.89] — 0.07 [0.03, 0.18] — 
ETHYLENE GLYCOL 1.96 [0.89, 4.13] — 0.12 [0.06, 0.26] — 
1,1,1-TRICHLOROETHANE 1.85 [1.34, 3.12] 1.11 [1.03, 1.29] 0.25 [0.18, 0.42] 0.15 [0.14, 0.17] 
ETHYLBENZENE 1.67 [0.77, 2.97] — 0.19 [0.09, 0.35] — 
METHYL ISOBUTYL KETONE (HEXONE) 1.59 [0.62, 3.15] — 0.16 [0.06, 0.32] — 
1,3-BUTADIENE 1.10 [0.69, 1.69] — 0.06 [0.04, 0.09] —
Compare regions?
Which regional scheme?
Correlated Groupings 
 Method 
 Principle components analysis 
 Factor analysis 
Levy I, Mihele C, Lu G, Narayan J, Brook JR. 2014. Evaluating 
multipollutant exposure and urban air quality: pollutant 
interrelationships, neighborhood variability, and nitrogen dioxide 
as a proxy pollutant. Environ Health Perspect 122:65–72.
Strengths 
 Comprehensive assessment of 174 air toxics 
 Population-weighted 
 Large sample 
 National geographic coverage 
 Census tract resolution 
 Generalizable to US population
Limitations 
 Uncertainty of NATA exposure estimates 
 NATA appropriate for determining: 
 Which pollutants or sources might be associated with higher 
relative risks than others 
 But not for determining: 
 How many people are exposed to levels of absolute risk 
 Which air toxic is safe or not 
 NATA hazard estimates available
NATA 2005 Process 
Ambient Monitoring 
National Emissions Inventory 2005 
Point  Mobile Sources 
HEM3/AERMOD 
Exposure Concentrations 
HAPEM 
Risk Assessment 
Cancer  Non-Cancer 
Nonpoint Sources 
ASPEN 
Photochemical Pollutants 
CMAQ 
Ambient Concentrations
Approaches to 
Exposure Assessment 
Modeling 
Exposure 
Assessment 
Measurement Biomarker
URL to Presentation LinkedIn Contact 
B. Rey de Castro, Sc.D. 
+1 770 488 0162 
rdecastro@cdc.gov 
For more information please contact Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 
1600 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30333 
Telephone: 1-800-CDC-INFO (232-4636)/TTY: 1-888-232-6348 
E-mail: cdcinfo@cdc.gov Web: http://www.cdc.gov 
The findings and conclusions in this presentation are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official 
position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. 
National Center for Environmental Health 
Division of Laboratory Sciences

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Population-Weighted Exposure to 174 Air Toxics in a Representative Sample of the United States Population 1999 – 2010

  • 1. Population-Weighted Exposure to 174 Air Toxics in a Representative Sample of the United States Population 1999 – 2010 B. Rey de Castro, Sc.D. Statistician before the International Society for Exposure Science Modeling Sources and Exposures of Air Toxics Monday, 13 October 2014 Cincinnati, OH National Center for Health Statistics Division of Laboratory Science ID: Mo-O-A4-02
  • 2. What is the nationwide outdoor exposure to air toxics?
  • 3. Modeled Exposure US EPA National-Scale Air Toxics Assessment 2005 Nationwide estimate of chronic inhalation exposure Census tract resolution 174 Hazardous air pollutants Diesel particulate matter Cancer and non-cancer health effects
  • 4. NATA 2005 Process Ambient Monitoring National Emissions Inventory 2005 Point Mobile Sources HEM3/AERMOD Exposure Concentrations HAPEM Risk Assessment Cancer Non-Cancer Nonpoint Sources ASPEN Photochemical Pollutants CMAQ Ambient Concentrations
  • 5. Now that we have exposure estimates, what if we could associate them with where people live?
  • 6. National Population Sample National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey 1999 — 2010 Health conditions and behaviors Biomonitoring Tobacco use Diet Representative sample of United States, nationwide Non-institutionalized Civilian Cross-sectional
  • 9. NATA-NHANES Data Merge Merge by Census Tract NATA Air Toxics Exposure NHANES Residence Merged NATA-NHANES Data
  • 10. NATA 2005 NHANES 1999-2010 NATA outdoor exposure concentration for residence census tract NHANES subjects 6 years-old and over ~62,000 subjects Urban/rural stratification Urban: ~53,000 subjects = 237 million USA Rural: ~9,000 subjects = 51 million USA
  • 11. Loge Boxplots 133 Air Toxics, Ranked by Median Ln Exposure [nmol/m3]
  • 13. Exposure 6Nanomolar: Urban Urban Rural nmol/m3 μg/m3 μg/m3 FORMALDEHYDE 54.20 1.63 1.02 ACETALDEHYDE 32.90 1.45 1.10 TOLUENE 23.60 2.17 0.66 METHYL CHLORIDE (CHLOROMETHANE) 18.60 0.94 0.93 METHANOL 12.70 0.41 0.08 BENZENE (INCLUDING FROM GAS) 11.00 0.86 0.40 XYLENES (MIXED ISOMERS) 7.91 0.84 0.14 CARBON TETRACHLORIDE 3.09 0.48 0.48 HEXANE 3.09 0.27 0.04 2,2,4-TRIMETHYLPENTANE 3.07 0.35 0.06 METHYLENE CHLORIDE 2.92 0.25 0.10 HYDROCHLORIC ACID (GAS) 1.99 0.07 0.02 ETHYLENE GLYCOL 1.96 0.12 0.02 1,1,1-TRICHLOROETHANE 1.85 0.25 0.15 ETHYLBENZENE 1.67 0.19 0.03 METHYL ISOBUTYL KETONE (HEXONE) 1.59 0.16 0.03 1,3-BUTADIENE 1.10 0.06 0.02
  • 14. Exposure 6Nanomolar: Rural Rural Urban nmol/m3 μg/m3 μg/m3 FORMALDEHYDE 34.00 1.02 1.63 ACETALDEHYDE 25.00 1.10 1.45 METHYL CHLORIDE (CHLOROMETHANE) 18.50 0.93 0.94 TOLUENE 7.21 0.66 2.17 BENZENE (INCLUDING FROM GAS) 5.06 0.40 0.86 CARBON TETRACHLORIDE 3.09 0.48 0.48 METHANOL 2.58 0.08 0.41 XYLENES (MIXED ISOMERS) 1.29 0.14 0.84 METHYLENE CHLORIDE 1.19 0.10 0.25 1,1,1-TRICHLOROETHANE 1.11 0.15 0.25
  • 15. Median Nanomolar: Urban vs. Rural Air Toxic Urban [nmol/m3] Rural [nmol/m3] Urban [μg/m3] Rural [μg/m3] FORMALDEHYDE 54.20 [41.90, 68.20] 34.00 [27.20, 48.60] 1.63 [1.26, 2.05] 1.02 [0.82, 1.46] ACETALDEHYDE 32.90 [26.30, 40.10] 25.00 [19.70, 36.00] 1.45 [1.16, 1.77] 1.10 [0.87, 1.59] TOLUENE 23.60 [14.50, 35.30] 7.21 [5.91, 9.99] 2.17 [1.34, 3.25] 0.66 [0.54, 0.92] METHYL CHLORIDE (CHLOROMETHANE) 18.60 [18.50, 18.70] 18.50 [18.40, 18.60] 0.94 [0.93, 0.94] 0.93 [0.93, 0.94] METHANOL 12.70 [5.71, 24.20] 2.58 [0.78, 6.69] 0.41 [0.18, 0.78] 0.08 [0.03, 0.21] BENZENE (INCLUDING FROM GAS) 11.00 [7.87, 15.30] 5.06 [4.01, 6.71] 0.86 [0.61, 1.20] 0.40 [0.31, 0.52] XYLENES (MIXED ISOMERS) 7.91 [3.67, 13.8] 1.29 [0.70, 2.46] 0.84 [0.39, 1.47] 0.14 [0.07, 0.26] CARBON TETRACHLORIDE 3.09 [3.08, 3.11] 3.09 [3.07, 3.11] 0.48 [0.47, 0.48] 0.48 [0.47, 0.48] HEXANE 3.09 [1.57, 5.58] — 0.27 [0.14, 0.48] — 2,2,4-TRIMETHYLPENTANE 3.07 [1.34, 5.86] — 0.35 [0.15, 0.67] — METHYLENE CHLORIDE 2.92 [1.92, 4.48] 1.19 [1.08, 1.49] 0.25 [0.16, 0.38] 0.10 [0.09, 0.13] HYDROCHLORIC ACID (GAS) 1.99 [0.90, 4.89] — 0.07 [0.03, 0.18] — ETHYLENE GLYCOL 1.96 [0.89, 4.13] — 0.12 [0.06, 0.26] — 1,1,1-TRICHLOROETHANE 1.85 [1.34, 3.12] 1.11 [1.03, 1.29] 0.25 [0.18, 0.42] 0.15 [0.14, 0.17] ETHYLBENZENE 1.67 [0.77, 2.97] — 0.19 [0.09, 0.35] — METHYL ISOBUTYL KETONE (HEXONE) 1.59 [0.62, 3.15] — 0.16 [0.06, 0.32] — 1,3-BUTADIENE 1.10 [0.69, 1.69] — 0.06 [0.04, 0.09] —
  • 18. Correlated Groupings Method Principle components analysis Factor analysis Levy I, Mihele C, Lu G, Narayan J, Brook JR. 2014. Evaluating multipollutant exposure and urban air quality: pollutant interrelationships, neighborhood variability, and nitrogen dioxide as a proxy pollutant. Environ Health Perspect 122:65–72.
  • 19. Strengths Comprehensive assessment of 174 air toxics Population-weighted Large sample National geographic coverage Census tract resolution Generalizable to US population
  • 20. Limitations Uncertainty of NATA exposure estimates NATA appropriate for determining: Which pollutants or sources might be associated with higher relative risks than others But not for determining: How many people are exposed to levels of absolute risk Which air toxic is safe or not NATA hazard estimates available
  • 21. NATA 2005 Process Ambient Monitoring National Emissions Inventory 2005 Point Mobile Sources HEM3/AERMOD Exposure Concentrations HAPEM Risk Assessment Cancer Non-Cancer Nonpoint Sources ASPEN Photochemical Pollutants CMAQ Ambient Concentrations
  • 22. Approaches to Exposure Assessment Modeling Exposure Assessment Measurement Biomarker
  • 23. URL to Presentation LinkedIn Contact B. Rey de Castro, Sc.D. +1 770 488 0162 rdecastro@cdc.gov For more information please contact Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 1600 Clifton Road NE, Atlanta, GA 30333 Telephone: 1-800-CDC-INFO (232-4636)/TTY: 1-888-232-6348 E-mail: cdcinfo@cdc.gov Web: http://www.cdc.gov The findings and conclusions in this presentation are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. National Center for Environmental Health Division of Laboratory Sciences