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Outlook on Hot Technologies


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In this deck from the Stanford HPC Conference, Shahin Khan from OrionX presents: Outlook on Hot Technologies.

"We will review OrionX's predictions for 2018, the technologies that are changing the world (Iot, Blockchain, Quantum Computing, AI ...) and how HPC will be the engine that drives it."

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Outlook on Hot Technologies

  1. 1. (The annual) Outlook on Hot Technologies Shahin Khan
  2. 2. When things change, they’re not the same any more ©2018 2
  3. 3. Revolution ©2018 3 Industrial InformationAgricultural Agricultural Manufacturing Mechanized Ag Service Digital Mfg Digital Farming RevolutionEconomy Social / Economic Model Hunting à Farming Planning Family structure Governance Social / Economic Model Rural à Cities Automation - action Climate Jobs Money Social / Economic Model Regional à Global Automation - decision Awareness Mistrust Accelerated Change Problems
  4. 4. Data Extraction – Digitization Processing – IT Systems Interpretation – HPC ©2018 4
  5. 5. Sources of data 5 Organizations Systems Things People Data Extracting Information Content Apps
  6. 6. Big rules of big data 1. Data is cheaper to keep than to delete. Multiple copies, in fact. 2. Whatever caused you to collect data will cause you to collect a lot more data. 3. Big Data systems start small, show promise, go big. 4. Data must flow to be valuable. Just how valuable is a function of context. 5. Never assume that you know what is cause and what is effect. 6. The ratio of relevant data to irrelevant data will asymptotically approach zero. 7. The ultimate purpose of analysis is synthesis. 8. Time = Money = Data. There is always a context in which a piece of data is valuable. 9. Volume-Velocity-Variety-Value, meet Irreproducible-Irrelevant-Incomplete-Incorrect. 10. Given enough data, you can simultaneously "prove" opposites. 11. Most conclusions will be either uninteresting or invalid. Big Data starts with interesting-but-useless and graduates to valid-and-useful. 12. Big Data and HPC converge as data volume grows. ©2018 6
  7. 7. ©2018 7 Hot Topics
  8. 8. If you’re not feeling discomfort, you’re not out of your comfort zone ©2018 8
  9. 9. Cloud MobilityBig DataAI IoTBlockchain Security ••• Security New World Order: Digital Transformation (DX) It’s complex ©2018 9
  10. 10. The FUTURE is IoT Blockchain Quantum AI where Machines/Bots/DAOs/Dapps do most of the Creating-Consuming-Paying ©2018 10
  11. 11. Data Economy IoT ©2018 11 Atoms (Things) Bits (Information) Data Economy Data Sources GovernanceApplicationsDataDevices Data Supply Data Product Data Consumption (à Market) Security
  12. 12. The Engine of the Information Age HPC ©2018 12 Experiment Theory SimulationInstrumentation Automation Visualization New Way New Data Communication New Idea Digitization Data STEM IT HPC
  13. 13. Intelligence is Computable AI = High Performance AI ©2018 13 Artificial Intelligence Search Logical Expert SystemStatistical Numerical Optimization Big Data Simulation / HPC Automation / IoTCloud Big Rules of Big Data AI
  14. 14. Blockchain is like watching an Ingmar Bergman movie: You know it’s important but you don’t get it ©2018 14
  15. 15. Trust is computable Blockchain = Decentralized trust ©2018 15 Natural Scale Distributed Need Traceability Rights Mgmt BlockchainParticipation Consensus Algorithms Layer-2 Technologies Token: Equity, Utility Smart Contracts DecentralizedCentralized Traditional model Tokenless
  16. 16. 1. Probability functions made controllable 2. Yes, too early 3. Hot, and will remain hot for the next decade 4. Used as an accelerator 5. Is it QC à What can it do? 6. Quantum supremacy, Y2Q, Quantum-safe Cryptography ©2018 16 Quantum Computing
  17. 17. Change is best when it's your own idea ©2018 17
  18. 18. Dealing with change ©2018 18 Celebrate Appreciate Recalibrate Reinvent Desirable Undesirable ExpectedUnexpected Good Great Bad Awful Desirable Undesirable ExpectedUnexpected
  19. 19. Thank You!