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Leadership in the Interactive Age Leadership and Technology: Is Your Mental Map Ready? Part 1
Outline <ul><li>Introductions </li></ul><ul><li>Series Overview </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Purpose and Objectives </li></ul></u...
Styles Required in Different Times <ul><li>Stable </li></ul><ul><li>Constant Rate of Change </li></ul><ul><li>Chaotic </li...
Change Is a Constant
Topics <ul><li>Organizations at a Crossroads </li></ul><ul><li>The Interactive Age </li></ul><ul><li>Ingenuity </li></ul><...
Six Trends That Will Reshape the Workplace <ul><li>The Average Company Will Become Smaller, Employing Fewer People </li></...
Six Trends That Will Reshape the Workplace <ul><li>The Vertical Division of Labor Will Be Replaced by a Horizontal Divisio...
Strategies For Competitive Advantage <ul><li>A Superior Product or Process Can Be Copied By Competitors </li></ul><ul><li>...
Workers and the Workforce Past Present Future 1900’s - 85% of workers in agriculture 3% 1950’s - 73% of workers  in produc...
Information and Computers Past Present Future More information produced  in the last 50 years than the  previous 5,000 Wee...
Work Stations Source: Where We Stand Amount Spent on Work Stations($ Billions)
Computing Power Country MIPS (thousands) Source: Where We Stand
Home Computing Power Country Percent of Households With a PC Source: Where We Stand
Computers (per 1000 people) Source: Where We Stand
NSF Net Traffic Year Billions of Packets Source: Austin American Statesman 10/31/94
A New World of Work Year (1900’s) Percent of Work Force Source: Fortune 6/27/94
Electricity Boosted Productivity Year Manufacturing Productivity Average Annual Growth Rate % Source: Fortune 6/27/94
Innovations in Electricity <ul><li>1883 Electric Motors Used in Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>1891 A.C. Power Transmissi...
Will Computers Do the Same? Year Average Productivity Growth Rate % Source: Fortune 6/27/94
Computer Processor Innovations <ul><li>1952 Univac 1 Commercial Electronic Computer </li></ul><ul><li>1969 Memory Chip Int...
Organizations at a Crossroads Organization Social Political Economic Demographic Scientific Driving Forces for Change
Public Education Source: Where We Stand
Dropouts Source: Where We Stand
Literacy Source: Where We Stand Percent of Students Who Leave  School Without Basic Reading Skills
Diversion Comes Home Year Sales (Millions) Source: Fortune 6/27/94
Literacy in the U.S. <ul><li>Myth : The U.S., With Its High Number of College Graduates, Is the Most Educated Country </li...
Drug Use Among Students Year Percentage of Students Source: Austin American Statesman 12/10/94 52,000 Students 420 Public ...
Things That Go Bump In the Night <ul><li>In 1994, > 40 Vampire Novels Have Been Published </li></ul><ul><li>In 1994, An 85...
I’m OK, You’re Not OK <ul><li>75% Said That They Are Living Up To Their Commitments </li></ul><ul><li>80% Said That They A...
Social Driving Forces <ul><li>The Gap Between Education and Preparedness for Today’s Work and Life </li></ul><ul><li>The U...
Social Forces & Your Mental Map
U.S. & Canada Incubator Openings Source: NBIA Review, Sept.-Oct. 1993
Primary Sponsors of Incubators Source: NBIA Review, Sept.-Oct. 1993
Political Driving Forces <ul><li>War & Peace </li></ul><ul><li>Tribalism & Globalism </li></ul><ul><li>Nationalism & Regio...
Deficit Projections Year Deficit (Billions) Source: Office of Management and Budget
U.S. Income Growth US Disposable Personal  Income Growth per Capita Year Four-Year Moving Average Annual Growth (real 1987...
Contributions of Exports to GDP Year Value in $ 1987 Trillions Source: Economic Report of the President, 2/94
The Impact of NAFTA <ul><li>From 1986 to 1993 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>real GDP rose 16.6%, while real exports of goods and s...
Exports of Cars to Mexico Passenger Vehicles Exported in Thousands Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America
Export Growth  Percent Export Growth Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America Jan-June 1993 and 1994
U.S. Trade With Mexico Year (By Quarter) Billions $ Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America NAFTA Implemented
Average Size of Industrial Firms Source: Liberation Management
Economic Driving Forces <ul><li>The Deficit & Inflation </li></ul><ul><li>Trading Alliances </li></ul><ul><li>The Emergenc...
Demographic Driving Forces <ul><li>Immigration </li></ul><ul><li>Diversity </li></ul><ul><li>The Graying of America </li><...
Scientific Driving Forces <ul><li>Reduction in Defense Related Research </li></ul><ul><li>Reduction in R&D </li></ul><ul><...
Industry/Government Cooperative Research & Development Time Period Number of CRADAS Source: Management Review, 2/94 Total ...
The Interactive Age: What Defines It? <ul><li>Food Production </li></ul><ul><li>Transportation </li></ul><ul><li>Communica...
The Interactive Age: An Historical Perspective Hunter/Gatherer Agricultural Industrial Interactive Information Time
The Continuum of Human Development Industrial Interactive Agricultural Hunter/Gatherer Evolutionary Time Line Time
The Characteristics of the Interactive Age <ul><li>Interconnection </li></ul><ul><li>Interdependence </li></ul><ul><li>Any...
The Characteristics of the Interactive Age <ul><li>No Matter </li></ul><ul><li>A Harmony of Contradictions </li></ul><ul><...
Ingenuity <ul><li>Back to the Future of America’s Strength </li></ul><ul><li>In-gen-uity </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Knowing </l...
Ingenuity Knowing Creating Being Ingenuity The Interaction of Knowing, Being and Creating
Ingenuity and Technology Being Knowing Creating Technology
Redefining Technology and Leadership <ul><li>Technology </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Direct </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Supportive...
Redefining Technology and Leadership <ul><li>Leadership </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Adhocracy </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Commitm...
Redefining Technology and Leadership <ul><li>Innovation </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Cause Change </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Expl...
Ingenuity, Leadership and Technology: Accelerator of Innovation Knowing Being Creating Technology Innovation Customer Lead...
Preparing Your Mental Map <ul><li>Making It Through the Night </li></ul><ul><li>Beyond Here Dragons Lie </li></ul><ul><li>...
Glocal Vantage, Inc. <ul><li>Paul Schumann </li></ul><ul><li>PO Box 161475, Austin, TX 78716 </li></ul><ul><li>[email_addr...
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Leadership and Technology: Is Your Mental Map Ready?

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This is Part 1 of an eight part series of presentations entitled Leadership in the Interactive Age, originally presented over the National Technological University's satellite network in January and February, 1995 by Paul Schumann, Donna Prestwood and Barbara Benjamin. Some of the topical references are out of date but the concepts are still valid. They're probably more apparently valid now then they were at the time of the original production.

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Leadership and Technology: Is Your Mental Map Ready?

  1. 1. Leadership in the Interactive Age Leadership and Technology: Is Your Mental Map Ready? Part 1
  2. 2. Outline <ul><li>Introductions </li></ul><ul><li>Series Overview </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Purpose and Objectives </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Content </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Format </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Program Description </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Objectives </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Topics </li></ul></ul>
  3. 3. Styles Required in Different Times <ul><li>Stable </li></ul><ul><li>Constant Rate of Change </li></ul><ul><li>Chaotic </li></ul><ul><li>Administrator </li></ul><ul><li>Manager </li></ul><ul><li>Leader </li></ul>
  4. 4. Change Is a Constant
  5. 5. Topics <ul><li>Organizations at a Crossroads </li></ul><ul><li>The Interactive Age </li></ul><ul><li>Ingenuity </li></ul><ul><li>Redefining Technology and Leadership </li></ul><ul><li>Preparing Your Mental Map </li></ul>
  6. 6. Six Trends That Will Reshape the Workplace <ul><li>The Average Company Will Become Smaller, Employing Fewer People </li></ul><ul><li>The Traditional Hierarchical Organization Will Give Way To a Variety of Organizational Forms, The Network of Specialists Foremost Among These </li></ul><ul><li>Technicians, Ranging From Computer Repairmen To Radiation Therapists, Will Replace Manufacturing Operatives As the Worker Elite </li></ul>Source: Fortune, 5/17/93
  7. 7. Six Trends That Will Reshape the Workplace <ul><li>The Vertical Division of Labor Will Be Replaced by a Horizontal Division </li></ul><ul><li>The Paradigm of Doing Business Will Shift From Making a Product to Providing a Service </li></ul><ul><li>Work Itself Will Be Redefined: Constant learning, More High Order Thinking, Less Nine to Five </li></ul>Source: Fortune, 5/17/93
  8. 8. Strategies For Competitive Advantage <ul><li>A Superior Product or Process Can Be Copied By Competitors </li></ul><ul><li>Regulated or Protected Markets Are Disappearing in Expanded World Trade </li></ul><ul><li>Capital Travels to the Best Investment </li></ul><ul><li>Benefits of Large Scale Markets Are Decreasing </li></ul><ul><li>A Skilled Workforce Is Difficult to Copy </li></ul>Source: Competitive Advantage Through People
  9. 9. Workers and the Workforce Past Present Future 1900’s - 85% of workers in agriculture 3% 1950’s - 73% of workers in production 15% 67% in service sector 44% in information work 1960’s - 50% of all workers in industrialized countries in production, Robots introduced 12-16% Companies spend more on computing & communication equipment than industrial, mining, farm and construction combined 1980 - 20,000,000 contingent workforce 45,000,000 <50% of work in conventional, full time jobs
  10. 10. Information and Computers Past Present Future More information produced in the last 50 years than the previous 5,000 Weekday edition of New York Times contains more information than average person in 17th century England had Information supply doubles every 5 years 1944 - ENIAC Intel 486 Space - 18 wheel trailer Weight - 17 cars Power - 140,000 watts MIPS - .005 Price Size of a dime Less than a packet of sugar 2 watts 54 8,000 times less expensive than it was 30 years ago Number of components on a chip doubles every 18 months Power decreases 30% per year MIPS is doubling every 18 months 1982 - 32,000 robots in US 20,000,000 The sum total of all human knowledge amassed throughout history is only one percent of the information that will be available to us by 2050
  11. 11. Work Stations Source: Where We Stand Amount Spent on Work Stations($ Billions)
  12. 12. Computing Power Country MIPS (thousands) Source: Where We Stand
  13. 13. Home Computing Power Country Percent of Households With a PC Source: Where We Stand
  14. 14. Computers (per 1000 people) Source: Where We Stand
  15. 15. NSF Net Traffic Year Billions of Packets Source: Austin American Statesman 10/31/94
  16. 16. A New World of Work Year (1900’s) Percent of Work Force Source: Fortune 6/27/94
  17. 17. Electricity Boosted Productivity Year Manufacturing Productivity Average Annual Growth Rate % Source: Fortune 6/27/94
  18. 18. Innovations in Electricity <ul><li>1883 Electric Motors Used in Manufacturing </li></ul><ul><li>1891 A.C. Power Transmission for Industrial Use </li></ul><ul><li>1900 Central Station Steam Turbine and A.C. Generator </li></ul><ul><li>1907 Advent of State Regulated Utilities </li></ul><ul><li>1917 Generation of Utilities Exceeds That of Industrial Establishment </li></ul>Source: Fortune 6/27/94
  19. 19. Will Computers Do the Same? Year Average Productivity Growth Rate % Source: Fortune 6/27/94
  20. 20. Computer Processor Innovations <ul><li>1952 Univac 1 Commercial Electronic Computer </li></ul><ul><li>1969 Memory Chip Intel </li></ul><ul><li>1977 Minicomputers DEC (VAX) </li></ul><ul><li>1979 Intel 8088 Microcomputer </li></ul><ul><li>1985 Intel 386Chip/Microsoft Windows </li></ul><ul><li>1989 Intel 486 Chip/Lotus Notes Groupware </li></ul><ul><li>1993 Intel Pentium Chip </li></ul>Source: Fortune 6/27/94
  21. 21. Organizations at a Crossroads Organization Social Political Economic Demographic Scientific Driving Forces for Change
  22. 22. Public Education Source: Where We Stand
  23. 23. Dropouts Source: Where We Stand
  24. 24. Literacy Source: Where We Stand Percent of Students Who Leave School Without Basic Reading Skills
  25. 25. Diversion Comes Home Year Sales (Millions) Source: Fortune 6/27/94
  26. 26. Literacy in the U.S. <ul><li>Myth : The U.S., With Its High Number of College Graduates, Is the Most Educated Country </li></ul><ul><li>Reality : It Also Has the Highest Number of Uneducated Citizens </li></ul>Source: Where We Stand
  27. 27. Drug Use Among Students Year Percentage of Students Source: Austin American Statesman 12/10/94 52,000 Students 420 Public & Private Schools
  28. 28. Things That Go Bump In the Night <ul><li>In 1994, > 40 Vampire Novels Have Been Published </li></ul><ul><li>In 1994, An 852 Page Vampire Encyclopedia Was Published </li></ul><ul><li>Three Are 50 Vampire organizations in the US With a Combined Membership of > 5000 </li></ul><ul><li>The Count Dracula Fan Club Has 2500 Members </li></ul><ul><li>Paranormal Investigators Estimate That There Might Be as Many as 1 Million Haunted Houses in the US </li></ul>
  29. 29. I’m OK, You’re Not OK <ul><li>75% Said That They Are Living Up To Their Commitments </li></ul><ul><li>80% Said That They Are Able To Meet Their Workplace Commitments </li></ul><ul><li>But, 90% Said That Others Are Not </li></ul><ul><li>But, 35% Said That Their Co-workers Are Not </li></ul>Source: Austin American Statesman, 11/21/94
  30. 30. Social Driving Forces <ul><li>The Gap Between Education and Preparedness for Today’s Work and Life </li></ul><ul><li>The Use and Abuse of Drugs </li></ul><ul><li>What Constitutes a Family? </li></ul><ul><li>Redefinition of Roles: Woman & Men </li></ul><ul><li>The Emergence of Alternative Means of Dealing With Life Issues </li></ul>
  31. 31. Social Forces & Your Mental Map
  32. 32. U.S. & Canada Incubator Openings Source: NBIA Review, Sept.-Oct. 1993
  33. 33. Primary Sponsors of Incubators Source: NBIA Review, Sept.-Oct. 1993
  34. 34. Political Driving Forces <ul><li>War & Peace </li></ul><ul><li>Tribalism & Globalism </li></ul><ul><li>Nationalism & Regionalism </li></ul><ul><li>Right & Left </li></ul><ul><li>One Person & One Vote </li></ul><ul><li>Checks & Balances </li></ul><ul><li>Economic States & Governance </li></ul>
  35. 35. Deficit Projections Year Deficit (Billions) Source: Office of Management and Budget
  36. 36. U.S. Income Growth US Disposable Personal Income Growth per Capita Year Four-Year Moving Average Annual Growth (real 1987 $) Source: Harvard Business Review, Nov.-Dec. 1994
  37. 37. Contributions of Exports to GDP Year Value in $ 1987 Trillions Source: Economic Report of the President, 2/94
  38. 38. The Impact of NAFTA <ul><li>From 1986 to 1993 </li></ul><ul><ul><li>real GDP rose 16.6%, while real exports of goods and services rose 81.5% </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>exports rose from 7.5% of GDP to 11.7% </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>the increase in exports is equivalent to 37% of GDP growth </li></ul></ul><ul><li>Mexico Is On the Verge of Replacing Japan as the Second Largest Market for U.S. Goods </li></ul><ul><li>In 1994 Alone, Increased Exports to Mexico and Canada Could Support 100,000 New Jobs </li></ul><ul><li>Great job Losses, Feared by Some, Have Failed to Materialize </li></ul>Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America
  39. 39. Exports of Cars to Mexico Passenger Vehicles Exported in Thousands Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America
  40. 40. Export Growth Percent Export Growth Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America Jan-June 1993 and 1994
  41. 41. U.S. Trade With Mexico Year (By Quarter) Billions $ Source: NAFTA-It’s Working for America NAFTA Implemented
  42. 42. Average Size of Industrial Firms Source: Liberation Management
  43. 43. Economic Driving Forces <ul><li>The Deficit & Inflation </li></ul><ul><li>Trading Alliances </li></ul><ul><li>The Emergence of the New Economies </li></ul><ul><li>Redefining Capital </li></ul><ul><li>The New Business Economy </li></ul><ul><ul><li>The Electronic Cottage </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>The Growth of Small Businesses </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Downsizing & Mergers/Acquisitions </li></ul></ul>
  44. 44. Demographic Driving Forces <ul><li>Immigration </li></ul><ul><li>Diversity </li></ul><ul><li>The Graying of America </li></ul><ul><li>The New Geography </li></ul><ul><li>Our Neighbors </li></ul>
  45. 45. Scientific Driving Forces <ul><li>Reduction in Defense Related Research </li></ul><ul><li>Reduction in R&D </li></ul><ul><li>Dual Use Technology & Technology Transfer </li></ul><ul><li>Diffusion of Scientific Concepts Into Society </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Quantum Theory </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Systems Theory </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Chaos Theory </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Ecology </li></ul></ul>
  46. 46. Industry/Government Cooperative Research & Development Time Period Number of CRADAS Source: Management Review, 2/94 Total Estimated Value >$2B
  47. 47. The Interactive Age: What Defines It? <ul><li>Food Production </li></ul><ul><li>Transportation </li></ul><ul><li>Communication </li></ul><ul><li>Learning </li></ul><ul><li>Social Structures </li></ul>
  48. 48. The Interactive Age: An Historical Perspective Hunter/Gatherer Agricultural Industrial Interactive Information Time
  49. 49. The Continuum of Human Development Industrial Interactive Agricultural Hunter/Gatherer Evolutionary Time Line Time
  50. 50. The Characteristics of the Interactive Age <ul><li>Interconnection </li></ul><ul><li>Interdependence </li></ul><ul><li>Any Time </li></ul><ul><li>Any Place </li></ul>
  51. 51. The Characteristics of the Interactive Age <ul><li>No Matter </li></ul><ul><li>A Harmony of Contradictions </li></ul><ul><li>There Are No Spare Parts </li></ul><ul><li>A Majority of One </li></ul>
  52. 52. Ingenuity <ul><li>Back to the Future of America’s Strength </li></ul><ul><li>In-gen-uity </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Knowing </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Being </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Creating </li></ul></ul><ul><li>The Engine That Drives Technology </li></ul>
  53. 53. Ingenuity Knowing Creating Being Ingenuity The Interaction of Knowing, Being and Creating
  54. 54. Ingenuity and Technology Being Knowing Creating Technology
  55. 55. Redefining Technology and Leadership <ul><li>Technology </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Direct </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Supportive </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Enabling </li></ul></ul>
  56. 56. Redefining Technology and Leadership <ul><li>Leadership </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Adhocracy </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Commitment </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Conversation </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Ingenuity </li></ul></ul>
  57. 57. Redefining Technology and Leadership <ul><li>Innovation </li></ul><ul><ul><li>Cause Change </li></ul></ul><ul><ul><li>Exploit Change </li></ul></ul>
  58. 58. Ingenuity, Leadership and Technology: Accelerator of Innovation Knowing Being Creating Technology Innovation Customer Leadership Social Political Economic Demographic Scientific Ingenuity
  59. 59. Preparing Your Mental Map <ul><li>Making It Through the Night </li></ul><ul><li>Beyond Here Dragons Lie </li></ul><ul><li>The Myths of the Industrial Revolution </li></ul><ul><li>Living in the Question </li></ul><ul><li>Creating New Myths </li></ul>
  60. 60. Glocal Vantage, Inc. <ul><li>Paul Schumann </li></ul><ul><li>PO Box 161475, Austin, TX 78716 </li></ul><ul><li>[email_address] </li></ul><ul><li>Glocal vantage: http://www.glocalvantage.com </li></ul><ul><li>Insights – Intelligence – Innovation Collaborative: http://incollaboration.ning.com </li></ul><ul><li>Twitter: innovant2003 </li></ul>Attribution: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/

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