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Future Of Austin's Transportation

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Presentation by John Highbarger, McCombs School Business, University of Texas at Lost Creek Civic Organization Meeting on November 2, 2017.

Published in: Government & Nonprofit
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Future Of Austin's Transportation

  1. 1. THE FUTURE OF TRANSPORTATION Professor John Highbarger The McCombs School of Business The University of Texas at Austin
  2. 2. “The future is very hard to predict, because it hasn't happened yet.” Yogi Berra
  3. 3. AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE SERVICE Autonomous Vehicle Service Ride sharing with no driver Multiple vehicle type options Multi-rider, lower cost, options
  4. 4. DRIVERS DO STUPID THINGS • Drive Impaired • Drive Tired • Can’t See • Weak Driving Skill • Lead Foot • Run Lights • Run Stop Signs
  5. 5. HUMANS HAVE LIMITED SIGHT
  6. 6. HUMANS HAVE LIMITED SIGHT AUTONOMUS VEHICLES DO NOT
  7. 7. SAFETY • IN 2016, 40,000 PEOPLE DIED IN DRIVER OPERATED AUTOMOBILE CRASHES. • THERE WERE 16,000,000 DRIVER DRIVEN AUTO ACCIDENTS • THESE CRASHES RESULTED IN $432 BILLION IN LOSSES • THERE WAS ONE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE ACCIDENT, RESULTING IN ONE DEATH • THE CAUSE OF THE AUTONOMOUS VEHICLE ACCIDENT WAS FIXED IN ALL SIMILAR CARS WITHIN 24 HOURS.
  8. 8. URBAN AREAS AND INTERSTATES WILL BECOME AUTONOMOUS SAFETY TRAFFIC POLICE
  9. 9. • ON AVERAGE, OWNERSHIP AND OPERATION OF A VEHICLE COSTS $9,122 PER YEAR • THAT COMES OUT TO $0.61 PER MILE • FOR AN AVERAGE CITY FIVE MILE TRIP, $3.05 • AN AUTONOMOUS SERVICE, USING ELECTRIC VEHICLES CAN DO THAT FIVE MILE TRIP FOR $1.00 • WHY NOT? AUTONOMOUS SERVICE
  10. 10. AUTONOMOUS SERVICE RIDE SHARING WITHOUT THE DRIVER DEDICATED CAR OR MULTI-RIDER CAR VEHICLE CHOICE
  11. 11. AUTONOMOUS SERVICE VEHICLE CHOICE
  12. 12. COMMUTING DISTANCE • CHEST = Continuous, High-speed, Elevated, Self-operating, Transit • Continuous - Departs within two minutes • High-speed - Made minimum operating speed 90 mph • Elevated - Operates on elevated tracks in existing right-of- way • Self-operating - No driver • Transit - Public system available at low cost to all
  13. 13. IT COULD BE SOMETHING LIKE THIS MOST LIKELY NOT IT COULD BE SOMETHING LIKE THIS OR SOMETHING TOTALLY DIFFERENT
  14. 14. C.H.E.S.T. • ELECTRIC • POINT TO POINT BETWEEN POPULATION CENTERS • LIMITED STOPS • LIMITED TRANSFERS TO REACH ANY NODE IN THE SYSTEM • DESIGN/BUILD/RUN BY MAJOR TRANSPORTATION COMPANY • FINANCED BY MUNICIPAL REVENUE BONDS
  15. 15. RESULTS LOCAL TRAFFIC FLOWS
  16. 16. QUESTIONS?

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