Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning             GLOBAL             TALENT           ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                           Facts on Estonia • Dem...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                ARE YOU                 ABLE TO  ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning               Estonias Competitiveness?         ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                    Economic Developemt          ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning               Knowledge Accumulation:           ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                    Demographic Change:          ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                                          Migrati...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning           NEED FOR             NEW          STRA...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                   Current Strategy:             ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                   The Skilled and Talented      ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning       Females, singles and their nannies   • Fem...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                    The Mobile Millennials       ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning                             Grandparents??      ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning      Different needs in different life phases   ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning          Think strategies with time frames      ...
Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning             THANKS            FOR YOUR          ...
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Global talent rally estonia - conference version

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Global talent rally estonia - conference version

  1. 1. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning GLOBAL TALENT RALLY International workforce mobility Sally Khallash, sk@cifs.dk
  2. 2. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Facts on Estonia • Demographic development: – 2009 fertility rate: 1,63, and life expectancy: 75,04. – Demographic labour pressure index: 0,79  Lowest yet! • More people leave than enter Estonia. – 2009 Net migration = -7,74 per 1000 people. – Most emigrants are young families, graduates and young professionals. – Both foreign born and nationals in age group 20-35 represent the large majority of emigrants! • Very selective immigration policies. Between 2004-2009, number of: – Short term employment permits was halved, from 500 to 220. – Work permits was reduced to a quarter, from 2000 to 500. – Residence permits for employment doubled, from 500 t0 1050.
  3. 3. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning ARE YOU ABLE TO ATTRACT?
  4. 4. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Estonias Competitiveness? Sweden Finland Germany Estonia Lithuania Latvia Need 16 4 15 24 13 8 Attract 7 20 14 24 32 29 Access 9 16 24 59 33 55 Overall 7 16 17 43 29 41 rank Source: World Economic Forum (2008): Global Migration Barometer
  5. 5. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Economic Developemt GDP Growth 2000-2010 Estonia lower 15% 19% 96% 61% 33% 28% Source: www.imf.org - IMF World Economic Outlook (WEO)
  6. 6. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Knowledge Accumulation: New Knowledge Hotspots Estonia 1,9% Source: UNESCO 2009
  7. 7. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Demographic Change: An aging world Estonia Source: UN Population Perspectives, 2008
  8. 8. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Migration in Estonia 6000 5000 4000 3000 Number of migrants 2000 Immigration 1000 Emigration Net migration 0 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -1000 -2000 -3000 -4000 Year Source: Statistics Estonia Source: Statistics Estonia, SOURCE: PO R01
  9. 9. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning NEED FOR NEW STRATEGIES New Segments and Profiles
  10. 10. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Current Strategy: Attract Estonians from abroad Re-entry shock! Positive outcomes: -Feel alienated. re-socialisation -Barriers to re- integration. -World-mindedness -‘Yoyo movers’. -Increased creativity -Increased tolerance within organizations and in society. Strategy: - Attentive to symptoms. Negative outcomes: - Manage -Alienation & emigration expectations, -Spread of negative prepare arrival, stay information to other ex- active, create pats and Estonian network & safety diasporas. net. Source: Re-entry shock:torn between two cultures by Martha Denney & Erin Eckert
  11. 11. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning The Skilled and Talented Source: IFFs analyse på baggrund af data fra UN Population Division: International Migration Global Assessment 2006
  12. 12. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Females, singles and their nannies • Females – ½ of migrant population are females. – 60% of students in Europe & US and nearly 70% in developing countries are females. – 40% more skilled females than males among migrants. • Singles – Mobility does not fall according to life cycle. – Strong need for low skilled labor. • Low skilled labor force – Migration myth  we only need highly skilled labor. – In US: 2 pct. of labor force but 22 pct. of domestic help. Source: UN Population Database + Cortes and Tessada (2007): Cheap maids and Nannies – how low skilled are changing labor supply of highly skilled women.
  13. 13. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning The Mobile Millennials Source: PWC, ’Talent Mobility 2020’
  14. 14. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Grandparents?? Source: Intelligence Group: Get ready for the international recruitment rally, 2009
  15. 15. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Different needs in different life phases Life- Apprx. Age Number 2020 Needs and challenges stage Free 1 20-35 years Slightly more Nomads, searching for (‘90-’00) Millenials identity, self-realization, big cities. Parent 35-55 years Fewer Pressed for time and money, (‘70-’80) Gen. X selective, balance between work and family. Free 2 55+ years More New opportunities, (‘60ies) Baby Boomers meaning, consumption options, health, self- realization. Source: CIFS MR#3, 2010 ’Global Talent Rally’ + PWC ‘Talent Mobility 2020’
  16. 16. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning Think strategies with time frames Low-Skilled Medium-Skilled Highly-Skilled Permanent Rural Migration Political refugees Political Refugee Asyllum seeking Health Care Political/Environmental Refugee Forced Migration Elder/Retired Temporary Au-pair Youth Youth Service sector- Construction Sector Health Care hospitality Health Care IT-Sector Elder Students Circular Au-pair Youth Researchers Service sector- Construction Sector Global talents hospitality Health Care Generation Y Seasonal Labor Creative Class Resourcesfull Elder Source: CIFS (3 / 2010): Global Talent Rally
  17. 17. Copenhagen Institute for Futures StudiesInstituttet for Fremtidsforskning THANKS FOR YOUR ATTENTION! Sally Khallash, sk@cifs.dk

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