Successfully reported this slideshow.
We use your LinkedIn profile and activity data to personalize ads and to show you more relevant ads. You can change your ad preferences anytime.
Options for global agricultural trade
after Nairobi:
Global solutions or national actions?
Ramiro Costa
Chief Economist
Bu...
Date May 2015
Soybean FOB Arg. 360,7 USD/tn
Export Tax 126,2 USD/tn
FOB - Export Duty 234,5 USD/tn
Main agricultural polic...
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
High tax burden: ordinary taxes + export taxes
Lower crop prices: export taxes + export quo...
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
• Election: Nov 22
• Inauguration: Dec 10
• Removal of
 Currency controls: Dec 17
 Export t...
ARGENTINA TOWARD 2024-25
World and Argentine Agribusiness Reference Scenario to 2024-25
INAI FOUNDATION
Buenos Aires Grain...
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
Production Estimates: Baseline Scenario
2014/15 to 2024/25
Source: INAI Foundation & USDA Bas...
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
Production Estimates: New Scenario
2014/15 to 2024/25
x 6
Source: INAI Foundation & USDA Base...
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
Exports: Argentine market share
Source: INAI Foundation
2014 2024
baseline
2024 new
scenario
...
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
Argentine new ag policy framework
• A new normal
 On the track of growth
 New opportunities...
Ramiro Costa
rcosta@bc.org.ar
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
Thank you!
Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
Source: INAI Foundation
Wheat
New Scenario: short-run changes
Corn
2016 Agricultural Outlook ...
Upcoming SlideShare
Loading in …5
×

Options for global agricultural trade after Nairobi: Global solutions or national actions?

846 views

Published on

Presented by Ramiro Costa, chief economist, Buenos Aires Grains Exchange. Read more: http://www.ifpri.org/event/options-global-agricultural-trade-after-nairobi

Published in: Education
  • Be the first to comment

  • Be the first to like this

Options for global agricultural trade after Nairobi: Global solutions or national actions?

  1. 1. Options for global agricultural trade after Nairobi: Global solutions or national actions? Ramiro Costa Chief Economist Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
  2. 2. Date May 2015 Soybean FOB Arg. 360,7 USD/tn Export Tax 126,2 USD/tn FOB - Export Duty 234,5 USD/tn Main agricultural policies (2002-2015) Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
  3. 3. Buenos Aires Grains Exchange High tax burden: ordinary taxes + export taxes Lower crop prices: export taxes + export quotas + other regulations Results: Intervention Policies Negative impact on incentives for production: Investments: technology Area growth rate Agricultural practices
  4. 4. Buenos Aires Grains Exchange • Election: Nov 22 • Inauguration: Dec 10 • Removal of  Currency controls: Dec 17  Export taxes: Dec 17  Export permit system: Dec 29 New Administration: Significant Ag. Policy Changes
  5. 5. ARGENTINA TOWARD 2024-25 World and Argentine Agribusiness Reference Scenario to 2024-25 INAI FOUNDATION Buenos Aires Grains Exchange
  6. 6. Buenos Aires Grains Exchange Production Estimates: Baseline Scenario 2014/15 to 2024/25 Source: INAI Foundation & USDA Baseline
  7. 7. Buenos Aires Grains Exchange Production Estimates: New Scenario 2014/15 to 2024/25 x 6 Source: INAI Foundation & USDA Baseline
  8. 8. Buenos Aires Grains Exchange Exports: Argentine market share Source: INAI Foundation 2014 2024 baseline 2024 new scenario Total 7,4% 6,7% 9,5% Cereals 5,2% 4,5% 8,0% Wheat 2,7% 2,3% 4,9% Corn 11,6% 8,8% 17,9% Soybean 9,1% 7,6% 9,1% Soybean Oil 49,4% 41,1% 48,5%
  9. 9. Buenos Aires Grains Exchange Argentine new ag policy framework • A new normal  On the track of growth  New opportunities: investments in agribusiness • There is a new agenda  Smart integration to world markets  Work on productivity
  10. 10. Ramiro Costa rcosta@bc.org.ar Buenos Aires Grains Exchange Thank you!
  11. 11. Buenos Aires Grains Exchange Source: INAI Foundation Wheat New Scenario: short-run changes Corn 2016 Agricultural Outlook Forum USDA

×