Domenica Sabella and Lavinia Antonaci POLICY SEMINAR Global Report on Food Crises 2021: Building resilience to prevent food crises and conflict Co-Organized by IFPRI, FSIN, FAO North America, World Food Programme and the Food Security Portal JUN 17, 2021 - 09:30 AM TO 11:00 AM EDT

2. The GRFC – an evidence-based public good
A strong and expanding
partnership
A highly consultative
process
A compilation of multiple consensus-based
food security and nutrition analyses
A technical document of reference
on food crises

3. Sources of acute food insecurity estimates for the GRFC 2021
Or, IPC-compatible FEWS NET analyses, WFP analyses and/or Humanitarian Needs Overviews
Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) and Cadre Harmonisé (CH), where available

4. In 2020, 155 million people in 55 countries/ territories
were in Crisis or worse (IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) or
equivalent – 20 million more people than in 2019.
The share of the analysed population in Crisis or worse
(IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) or equivalent was 21 percent
in 2020 compared to 16.5 percent in 2019.

5. Regional perspective: the number of people in Crisis or worse
(IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) by region

6. The primary drivers of acute food insecurity in 2020 were
conflict/insecurity, economic shocks – including those resulting from
COVID-19 – and weather extremes.
Drivers often co-exist and reinforce one another.

7. Of 46 million internally displaced people in the world, nearly
65 percent were in the eight worst food crises: Syrian Arab
Republic, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Yemen,
Ethiopia, Afghanistan, northern Nigeria, Sudan and South
Sudan.
Of the 30.5 million refugees and asylum seekers in the world,
nearly 38 percent originate from three countries.

8. Children living in food-crisis countries/territories are
especially vulnerable to malnutrition.

9. Total number of people in IPC/CH Phase 3 or above in
39 countries/territories, 2016–2020
Share of population analysed in IPC/CH Phase 3 or above

10. 10 countries account for 66 percent of the global total number of
people in Crisis or worse (IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) or equivalent
In three countries more than 50 percent of the population analysed was in Crisis or worse
(IPC/CH Phase 3 or above) or equivalent

11. Populations in Emergency or worse (IPC/CH Phase 4 or above)
Between 2019 and 2020, the largest increases in populations in IPC/CH Phase 4 were in

12. Populations in Catastrophe (IPC/CH Phase 5)
Four payams in Pibor county faced Famine Likely in October–December 2020 (IPC Famine Review Committee).
Two other payams in Eastern Pibor (Kizongora and Maruwa) will face Risk of Famine from December 2020.
2021 projection: 108 000 people expected to be in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).
In Al Jawf and Hajjah governorates, driven by conflict, displacement and limited humanitarian access in the
last quarter of 2020. In Amran, where highly vulnerable marginalized groups lack access to public services.
2021 projection: 47 000 people expected to be in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5).
In Centre-Nord, Est, Nord and the Sahel in mid-2020. Partially or completely cut off
from humanitarian assistance.
2021 projection: no population is expected to be in Catastrophe (CH Phase 5).

13. Forecasts point to a grim food security and nutrition outlook
for 2021, with the threat of Famine persisting in some of the
world’s worst food crises.
Indications from analyses post-publication of the GRFC 2021:
28 000 people in the Grand Sud
projected to be in Catastrophe
(IPC Phase 5) during October–
December 2021. 350 000 people in Catastrophe (IPC Phase 5) during
May–June 2021. In July–September the number of
people in IPC Phase 5 could reach over 400 000.
Over 5.5 million people in Tigray, Amhara and Afar regions in Crisis or worse
(IPC Phase 3 or above) during May–June 2021.
These findings have not yet been endorsed by the Government of Ethiopia.