IHA Congress 2011 - Session 3 - Joan MacNaughton


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IHA Congress 2011 - Session 3 - Joan MacNaughton

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  • ALSTOM is the only one today with Technologies adapted to all energy sources – a major competitive advantage #1 player in Hydro and investing seriously on Wind #1 in conventional islands (> 40%) #1 integrated powerplants (> 20%)
  • Addressing the cost-of inaction which are increasing year by year
  • IEA World Energy Outlook 2010 The 2°C goal can only be achieved with vigorous implementation of current commitments in the period to 2020 and much stronger action thereafter. Cutting emissions sufficiently to meet the 2°C goal would require a far-reaching transformation of the global energy system. The cost of getting on track to meet the climate goal for 2030 has risen by about $1 trillion compared with the estimated cost last year. This is because much stronger efforts, costing considerably more, will be needed after 2020. IEA Blue Map scenario showed strong roles for CCS alongside nuclear and renewables – e.g. by 2050 world would need 30 new nuclear plants; 35 new CCS coal-fired plants; and 46GW of PV to be built every year
  • First, we must establish we are entering a time when 90 to 100 GW/year will reach 40yrs life-time and mainly in the developed America and Europe. This is obviously putting a lot of pressure on the industry but also opening a great avenue for a natural solution: retrofitting. And this is even more true when, in a scenario of financial crisis, our customers are looking for solutions requiring less investment. And this is a great opportunity for us …
  • IHA Congress 2011 - Session 3 - Joan MacNaughton

    1. 1. Climate Change. What does hydro offer? Joan MacNaughton, SVP Power & Environmental Policies, Alstom Power IHA World Congress, Iguassu, Brazil 15 June 2011
    2. 2. Alstom Power: Technologies adapted to all energy sources Life Cycle Management Gas Hydro Geothermal Solar Biomass Oil Coal Nuclear (Conv. Island) Wind
    3. 3. Addressing the cost of inaction
    4. 4. Scale of the climate change challenge Need for a range of technologies Wide range of technologies necessary to cut energy-related CO 2 emissions Source: IEA Energy Technology Perspectives 2010
    5. 5. CO2 emission by energy use … but huge investment is needed
    6. 6. Ageing fleet curve China Asia excluding China South & Central America Middle East & Africa North America Europe Evolution of existing fleet reaching 40 years of age (GW) Source : Alstom, adapted from UDI * Best Available Technology 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 14 GW p.a 24 GW p.a 36 GW p.a 62 GW p.a 93 GW p.a 90 GW p.a 99 GW p.a
    7. 7. Incremental Renewables to 2035 Source: IEA , New Policy Scenarios, WEO 2010 0 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 1 750 2 000 2 250 Wind Hydro Biomass Solar PV CSP Geothermal Marine TWh OECD Non-OECD
    8. 8. What do we conclude <ul><li>Hydro contribution needs to double 3,000TWh 6,000TWh </li></ul><ul><li>Through new build, rehabilitation </li></ul><ul><li>Pumped storage will support other renewable sources </li></ul><ul><li>Consistent regulatory framework + appropriate incentives, inc. for RD&D </li></ul>Two thirds of economic potential of hydro not currently used