Droidcon Android, Open Source & Brands


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A presentation I gave looking at how brands should use mobile to engage with their users. Given at Droidcon and now with the wonderful font I used... ;-)

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Droidcon Android, Open Source & Brands

  1. 1. Licensing & Open Source Droidcon, Berlin - 4 Nov 2009 Volker Hirsch CEO Blue Beck
  2. 2. Who is this guy? Investment Opportunity: Little World Gifts (redefining digital gifts) Opportunity Little World Gifts offers an appealing investment opportunity for investors seeking significant returns from early stage investment in high growth markets. Little World Gifts is positioned to maximise returns through creating a new market for digital goods on mobile starting with the iPhone platform with deep web and social network (Facebook) integration. The opportunity builds on the exciting landscape of the booming (yet still early and undeveloped) mobile smartphone space, and the potentially enormous (and also early) digital goods space. With extremely low overheads and high margins, the company is set to turn over £2m in year 1, 50% of which is profit. With a valuation of £2m (Year 1 profit x2), Little World Gifts is seeking £150,000 Angel investment ahead of launch in exchange for 10% equity in the business. This is an opportunity to get involved early in a dynamic business at the very leading edge of both the digital goods, and the iPhone / mobile 2.0 sectors. Enormous Market Potential Corporate Strategy - Licensing market M&A Gifts isCorporate Finance The potential - for Little World / large now, and growing rapidly. The Digital Goods Market will see exponential growth in coming years, and whilst iPhone already has a strong customer base of content hungry consumers (70% of customers pay on average $80/year) for content in the iTunes App Store), smart phone usage is set to increase dramatically. Little World Gifts will be on 50% of smart phones by 2014. Growth in Global Mobile Marketing Spend $5.70bn ! In addition there is an increasing demand for mobile marketing and for digital goods solutions (as a key part of a digital marketing strategy). Mobile will be more appealing and attract $2.16bn increased marketing spend by brands. ($5.7bn in 2014). $1.70bn 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Growth in Digital Goods Market $7B Digital Goods (and specifically gifts) have been popularised by services such as QQ.com (China), Cyworld (South Korea), $4.67B
  3. 3. Why am I talking about Licensing?
  4. 4. Here it Comes
  5. 5. Q: Do brands care for open source? A: No. Brands are platform-agnostic.
  6. 6. Licensing rationale Developer License $$ $
  7. 7. How (on earth) do I get a license?
  8. 8. Common Solutions: 1. 2.
  9. 9. The Average Licensing Model (Simplified Version of how it was, is and always has been)
  10. 10. • Go back to • Developer looks at roadmap and realises he needs another license • Developer distributes through his channels • Licensor puts out RFP AND/OR OR • Developer finds publishers and/or aggregators • Developer approaches licensor directly to distribute it through • See green star... • Game is finished and filed for approval. • See the green star... • Developer prepares reply to RFP OR • Developer waits for • Developer prepares offer outlining • Developer goes ahead. approval. creative concept and commercial case. Finalises beta build and files for approval. • Licensor approves design. • Developer gets formal • Developer manages to get Licensor’s design document under • Kick-off meeting between attention way and files for Licensor and Developer: will OR approval. include creative teams, approval • Developer loses... departments, etc. Look for introductions to other licensees • In the latter case, go back to as it helps with co-marketing • Deal is signed! • If successful, Licensor comes back with huge royalty (“50% minimum!!!”) and MG • Period of negotiations between expensive lawyers demands (including sizable up-front over every little term (“best efforts” vs payments; “mid-6 figures”). “commercially reasonable efforts”, etc, etc, etc, etc) • Developer (or his banker) gets heart attack and pushes back with elaborate explanation on development effort needed. • The Parties negotiate hard and for weeks (or months) until they reach common ground (which Licensor think is shabby and leaves Developer wondering how to ever repay his debt...
  11. 11. Result 1. Lucky 2. Not so lucky This game delivered on brand value, I am not saying that this is a bad game. execution and commercial success. But it IS a poor use of a brand.
  12. 12. Not very compelling.
  13. 13. Show me the money...
  14. 14. It’s in your pocket... Catchy phrase inspired by Jonathan MacDonald Just ask the right question!
  15. 15. BRAND Licensing Q: What do brands look for?
  16. 16. A: Users. Users are also commonly known as “customers” or “consumers”
  17. 17. Sell or Else... David Ogilvy
  18. 18. BRANDS... • Sell Services & products. • Promote their Image & Message. • Open additional revenue streams... - Licensing!? Licensing is NOT core!
  19. 19. Media vs Non-Media Brands Non-media (e.g. VW, P&G, Carling): extend their brand and image. Media (e.g. FT, Hasbro, Fox): (also) building additional verticals.
  20. 20. The right question: How can you help them?
  21. 21. Here’s your Pitch:
  22. 22. Use Media to Extend Reach! Digital media advantage vs analogue media: interactive, i.e. multi-directional.
  23. 23. Use Mobile to Extend Reach! Mobile is the most powerful digital medium to date. Why? 1.It’s Big (numbers) 2.It’s Personal (nature) 3.It’s really personal (Identification of needs)
  24. 24. 480,000,000 Daily global circulation of newspapers 1,500,000,000 Number of Internet users 1,700,000,000 Number of credit cards 2,250,000,000 Number of tooth brushes in use 4,600,000,000 Number of mobile phone subscriptions
  25. 25. The Nature of Mobile: It’s a 1st! • Personal mass media • Always carried • Always on • Built-in billing system • Always present at the point of creative impulse • Accurate audience identification Tomi Ahonen, Mobile the 7th Mass Media, 2008; Alan Moore & Jonathan MacDonald, The Glittering Allure of the Mobile Society, 2008
  26. 26. Significance of Mobile to Users... • 91% of people have their mobile within arm’s reach 24/7. Morgan Stanley 2007 • 64% of Americans are not willing to share their mobile with anyone. 60% of married people will not share their mobile with their spouse! Wired Magazine 2006 • I takes an average of 26 h for a user to report a lost wallet but only 68 minutes to report a lost mobile phone. Unisys Survey • 8 out of 10 German men would rather lose their wife than their mobile phone. Jonathan MacDonald; Survey of 10 German men at 1am in a bar...
  27. 27. ... and how Brands use it... • In 2008, Procter & Gamble spent 0.17% of their advertising budget on mobile. Informa/Acision/OgilvyOne • Volkswagen spent 1% of their DIGITAL budget on mobile (that was 2008...). VW CRM Manager cited by Andrew Grill BUT Volkswagen also just announced that the ONLY campaign for the 2010 VW Golf GTI will be an iPhone Game (“Real Racing GTI”)... Quick learning!* * This is autumn 2009
  28. 28. (c) gapingvoid
  29. 29. Change the Language...
  30. 30. Engagement! • Engage, don’t lecture. • Be Sincere. Mean what you say. • Result: users become brand ambassadors. + No Fine Print YOU!
  31. 31. Engagement! • Games & apps are perfect for this! - Interaction. - Less intrusion. - Brand takes centre stage: shine! - Love it, recommend it. 74% of all purchases are made because of recommendations by friends! Bain Consulting
  32. 32. Old World vs New World: It works now. 176x208 J2ME games Current-generation iPhone games
  33. 33. X 01100110101101001100100100100 10100110010011100101010101110 01100110101101001100100100100 10100110010011100101010101110 01100110101101001100100100100 10100110010011100101010101110 01100110101101001100100100100 10100110010011100101010101110 01100110101101001100100100100 10100110010011100101010101110 01100110101101001100100100100 10100110010011100101010101110 01100110101101001100100100100 10100110010011100101010101110 01100110101101001100100100100
  34. 34. Brands’ and Users’ Perspective: Shine, not tech talk. vs
  35. 35. Damn’ it! This all smells of iPhone! Where’s Android? (c) gapingvoid
  36. 36. It’s here: Well, it COULD be here (if the Open Handset Alliance executes well).
  37. 37. Let’s ask again: Q: Do brands care for open source? A: Yes.
  38. 38. This is why: 123,296,966,069,999,387,456 The Law of Big Numbers
  39. 39. How Android apps compare (1) APPS AVAILABLE FREE AND PAID Total # of apps Paid vs Free Apple Android BlackBerry Free Paid 12,000 Apple App Store 23% 77% 2,900 Google Android Market 64% 36% 88,000 BlackBerry App World 24% 76% Distimo, CTIA San Diego, 2009
  40. 40. How Android apps compare (2) Flurry Analytics Blog, 6 Aug. 2009
  41. 41. Android is set to explode. Eric Schmidt, CEO Google
  42. 42. Inspiration! $ t
  43. 43. Android’s Weapon OPEN = Infinite scale! Platforms Vendors
  44. 44. The Equation: Brands want users. + Users want good stuff (and don’t care if it is open/closed, widget/app, this/that... as long as it works) + Brands want big numbers. + Android has (OK: will have) big numbers. + Android can deliver kool-aid. = Great Opportunity for Brands (= $$ $ for Everyone [incl. Developer])
  45. 45. Summing up: • Engage, don’t lecture. • Treat licensing as a brand extension, not as a (presumed) means to sell 0.x% more. • Forget tech-heavy preaching. Just deliver compelling stuff to your users. • Deliver it in big numbers. Got all that? You have a winner! BTW: Winner means that the user wins! The rest (incl. $$$) comes then almost on its own...
  46. 46. Image & Video Credits http://www.explodingdog.com/drawing/ihavenoidea.jpg http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_Vr8Xl0cbUZA/SVJzaekjMQI/AAAAAAAAFWU/gvOyNNzcdis/s400/Image+%3D+clueless+is+no+excuse.jpg http://www.mtco.com/~rkblack/Open-Door_0032a.jpg http://filmgordon.files.wordpress.com/2009/03/conneryaston.jpg http://www.gapingvoidgallery.com/images/talkedjgif002.jpg http://www.iphoneincanada.ca/wp-content/uploads/2008/07/carling_ipint.png http://www.mobileshop.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/ipint-virtual-beer-under-fire.bmp http://farm4.static.flickr.com/3250/3074199062_f434be862a_o.jpg http://miraloqueveo.files.wordpress.com/2008/09/david-ogilvy.jpg http://www.nationalserviceexpress.com/mogulus-user-uploads.s3.amazonaws.com/B6A8222A-4B39-2BD5-CF85-179823589EF8.jpg http://gapingvoidgallery.com http://nexus404.com/Blog/2009/10/23/2010-volkswagen-gti-presented-in-iphone-game-play-firement-real-racing-and-win-a-2010-vw- gti-exclusively-on-the-iphone/ http://www.toptenreviews.com/i/rev/misc/articles/old_blog/blog_963_1.jpg http://www.iphonic.tv/assets_c/2009/07/barclaycard-waterslide-extreme-1-thumb-430x285-92255.png http://www.oneighturbo.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/01-oneighturbo-sciroccoR-iphone-091509.jpg http://media.photobucket.com/image/papa%20roach/crazyOAgirlFERlife/Papa_Roach.png http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dPYM-XTqcec http://markhirschfeld.files.wordpress.com/2009/08/open-door1.jpg http://www.freeverse.com/assets/games/9003/screenshots/456/174114905.jpg http://www.firemint.com/realracing/screenshots.html http://i264.photobucket.com/albums/ii187/botvinya/worker_mechanic.jpg
  47. 47. Thank you! +44 7843 599 678 @vhirsch vhirsch@bluebeck.co.uk http://bluebeck.co.uk http://vhirsch.com/blog