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“Predicting Release Time Based on Generalized Software Reliability Model”, by Hironori Washizaki
COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE FOR SOFTWARE ENGINEERING
NII Shonan Meeting, Oct 21, 2014
Development environments have changed drastically, development periods are shorter than ever and the number of team members has increased. These changes have led to difficulties in controlling the development activities and predicting when the development will end. We propose a generalized software reliability model (GSRM) based on a stochastic process, and simulate developments that include uncertainties and dynamics. We also compare our simulation results to those of other software reliability models. Using the values of uncertainties and dynamics obtained from GSRM, we can evaluate the developments in a quantitative manner. Additionally, we use equations to define the uncertainty regarding the time required to complete a development, and predict whether or not a development will be completed on time.