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Target Atmospheric CO 2 : Where Should Humanity Aim? Hansen et al (2008) Presented by: Xin He   Anastasios Tsiolakidis
Table of content ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1. Introduction ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.1 Climate sensitivity ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Slow and Fast Feedbacks Ice sheet  disintegration, vegetation migration, and GHG release from soils, tundra or ocean sediments changes of water  vapor, clouds and sea ice aerosols including dust Slow Fast
2. Pleistocene epoch ,[object Object]
2.1 Verification ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Fast-feedback climate sensitivity 3/4°C per W/m 2  (3°C for doubled CO 2 ) is a  good approximation for the entire period
2.2 Slow feedbacks ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Global climate sensitivity including the slow feedback is 1.5°C per W/m 2  or 6°C for doubled CO 2
2.3 Time scales ,[object Object]
2.4 Warming in the ’pipeline’ ,[object Object],[object Object]
3. Cenozoic era ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.1 Cenozoic carbon cycle ,[object Object],[object Object]
The proxy data indicate CO 2  was of the order of 1000 ppm in the early Cenozoic but <500 ppm in the last 20 My
3.2 Cenozoic forcing and CO2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
3.3 Implication ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Anthropecene 1) tipping level, the global climate forcing that gives rise to a specific consequence, (2) the  point of no return, a climate state beyond which the consequence is inevitable
Tipping ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
CO 2  all that matters ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Persistent  CO 2 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Ice ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Price of Policy ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Uncertainty ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
 

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Target CO2 Levels: Where Should Humanity Aim Based on Hansen et al (2008

  • 1. Target Atmospheric CO 2 : Where Should Humanity Aim? Hansen et al (2008) Presented by: Xin He Anastasios Tsiolakidis
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5. Slow and Fast Feedbacks Ice sheet disintegration, vegetation migration, and GHG release from soils, tundra or ocean sediments changes of water vapor, clouds and sea ice aerosols including dust Slow Fast
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. Fast-feedback climate sensitivity 3/4°C per W/m 2 (3°C for doubled CO 2 ) is a good approximation for the entire period
  • 9.
  • 10. Global climate sensitivity including the slow feedback is 1.5°C per W/m 2 or 6°C for doubled CO 2
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16. The proxy data indicate CO 2 was of the order of 1000 ppm in the early Cenozoic but <500 ppm in the last 20 My
  • 17.
  • 18.  
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21. Anthropecene 1) tipping level, the global climate forcing that gives rise to a specific consequence, (2) the point of no return, a climate state beyond which the consequence is inevitable
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24.
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28.