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Open Source:  Getting Failure for Free (and Why That Is a Good Thing) Hans de Zwart Educational Technologist
 
Gartner Hype Cycle
Where does open source sit?
Geek and Poke, CC-licensed
I am behind the times...
R.I.P., open-source evangelism „ We have reached a critical inflection point for open source. With everyone from Qualcomm to UBS to Microsoft embracing open source in one shape or another, the question is no longer "why" to use open source, but rather "how." Because of this changing mindset around open-source adoption, we no longer need evangelists encouraging open-source adoption. Adoption is a given. It's the default.“ Matt Asay
I will still be talking about  „the why“ Because I like evangelists! Copyright 2006 - 2009, Indexed and Jessica Hagy
Help me out here!
© Accenture
While many companies use open source for the cost advantages, it offers a number of other benefits, including: ,[object Object]
Faster time to market
Ease of deployment
Freedom from vendor  lock-in
Greater security
© 2008 Forrester Research
Let's focus on failure
What is the model for Venture Capitalists?
Joel Spolsky:  „A VC fund will invest in a lot of startups. They expect about seven of them to fail, two of them to trudge along, and one of them to be The Next Netscape ("TNN"). It's OK if seven fail, because the terms of the deal will be structured so that TNN makes them enough money to make up for all the losers.“
Here Comes Everybody Triple OG: Clay Shirky
This where you should start to pay attention! Copyright 2006 - 2009, Indexed and Jessica Hagy
Some simple reasoning steps
Effect of failure = likelihood x cost
Most organisations try to minimise the effect by reducing likelihood
Hard to know what will be a success and what will be a failure
What will you be  remembered for? Greenlighting a failure or... Saying no to a radical but promising idea
A push for safe choices
Systematically creating a bias against being innovative in the first place
Open source is not outsucceeding commercial alternatives, instead it is outfailing them
An example:
 
 
 
 
My answer to why? -> Innovation
© 2008 Forrester Research
© 2008 Forrester Research
Venture capitalism  without the capital?
Questions? Remarks?
Biting Criticism?

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Open Source: Getting Failure For Free (and Why That is a Good Thing)