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Open Source: Getting Failure for Free (and Why That Is a Good Thing) Hans de Zwart Educational Technologist
 
Gartner Hype Cycle
Where does open source sit?
Geek and Poke, CC-licensed
I am behind the times...
R.I.P., open-source evangelism „ We have reached a critical inflection point for open source. With everyone from Qualcomm ...
I will still be talking about „the why“ Because I like evangelists! Copyright 2006 - 2009, Indexed and Jessica Hagy
Help me out here!
© Accenture
While many companies use open source for the cost advantages, it offers a number of other benefits, including: <ul><li>Ear...
Faster time to market
Ease of deployment
Freedom from vendor lock-in
Greater security </li></ul>
© 2008 Forrester Research
Let's focus on failure
What is the model for Venture Capitalists?
Joel Spolsky: „A VC fund will invest in a lot of startups. They expect about seven of them to fail, two of them to trudge...
Here Comes Everybody Triple OG: Clay Shirky
This where you should start to pay attention! Copyright 2006 - 2009, Indexed and Jessica Hagy
Some simple reasoning steps
Effect of failure = likelihood x cost
Most organisations try to minimise the effect by reducing likelihood
Hard to know what will be a success and what will be a failure
What will you be remembered for? Greenlighting a failure or... Saying no to a radical but promising idea
A push for safe choices
Systematically creating a bias against being innovative in the first place
Open source is not outsucceeding commercial alternatives, instead it is outfailing them
An example:
 
 
 
 
My answer to why? -> Innovation
© 2008 Forrester Research
© 2008 Forrester Research
Venture capitalism without the capital?
Questions? Remarks?
Biting Criticism?
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Open Source: Getting Failure For Free (and Why That is a Good Thing)

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This presentation explain why you should use open source software: because then you can outfail the competition and innovate faster.

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Open Source: Getting Failure For Free (and Why That is a Good Thing)

  1. 1. Open Source: Getting Failure for Free (and Why That Is a Good Thing) Hans de Zwart Educational Technologist
  2. 3. Gartner Hype Cycle
  3. 4. Where does open source sit?
  4. 5. Geek and Poke, CC-licensed
  5. 6. I am behind the times...
  6. 7. R.I.P., open-source evangelism „ We have reached a critical inflection point for open source. With everyone from Qualcomm to UBS to Microsoft embracing open source in one shape or another, the question is no longer &quot;why&quot; to use open source, but rather &quot;how.&quot; Because of this changing mindset around open-source adoption, we no longer need evangelists encouraging open-source adoption. Adoption is a given. It's the default.“ Matt Asay
  7. 8. I will still be talking about „the why“ Because I like evangelists! Copyright 2006 - 2009, Indexed and Jessica Hagy
  8. 9. Help me out here!
  9. 10. © Accenture
  10. 11. While many companies use open source for the cost advantages, it offers a number of other benefits, including: <ul><li>Early access to new technology
  11. 12. Faster time to market
  12. 13. Ease of deployment
  13. 14. Freedom from vendor lock-in
  14. 15. Greater security </li></ul>
  15. 16. © 2008 Forrester Research
  16. 17. Let's focus on failure
  17. 18. What is the model for Venture Capitalists?
  18. 19. Joel Spolsky: „A VC fund will invest in a lot of startups. They expect about seven of them to fail, two of them to trudge along, and one of them to be The Next Netscape (&quot;TNN&quot;). It's OK if seven fail, because the terms of the deal will be structured so that TNN makes them enough money to make up for all the losers.“
  19. 20. Here Comes Everybody Triple OG: Clay Shirky
  20. 21. This where you should start to pay attention! Copyright 2006 - 2009, Indexed and Jessica Hagy
  21. 22. Some simple reasoning steps
  22. 23. Effect of failure = likelihood x cost
  23. 24. Most organisations try to minimise the effect by reducing likelihood
  24. 25. Hard to know what will be a success and what will be a failure
  25. 26. What will you be remembered for? Greenlighting a failure or... Saying no to a radical but promising idea
  26. 27. A push for safe choices
  27. 28. Systematically creating a bias against being innovative in the first place
  28. 29. Open source is not outsucceeding commercial alternatives, instead it is outfailing them
  29. 30. An example:
  30. 35. My answer to why? -> Innovation
  31. 36. © 2008 Forrester Research
  32. 37. © 2008 Forrester Research
  33. 38. Venture capitalism without the capital?
  34. 39. Questions? Remarks?
  35. 40. Biting Criticism?
  36. 41. Sandwiched please...
  37. 42. blog.hansdezwart.info @hansdezwart I would love to continue the dialogue (and have always wanted to talk in speech bubbles)
  38. 43. © Accenture Alex Wied
  39. 44. © 2008 Forrester Research

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