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Fourth IDMP CEE workshop: 3rd PRG Reporting by Janusz Kindler & Henny A.J. van Lanen

Fourth IDMP CEE workshop: 3rd PRG Reporting by Janusz Kindler & Henny A.J. van Lanen

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Fourth IDMP CEE workshop: 3rd PRG Reporting by Janusz Kindler & Henny A.J. van Lanen

  1. 1. www.gwpcee.org 3rd PRG Reporting Janusz Kindler & Henny A.J. van Lanen
  2. 2. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20152/17 www.gwpcee.org 3rd PRG Report (planned) Contents: - General observations (whole IDMP CEE project lifetime) - Brief assessment Activities (Oct 2014 – March 2015) - PRG Assessment reports (Annex)
  3. 3. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20153/17 www.gwpcee.org PRG assessment procedure Milestone 1 report Output report 2 Milestone 2 report Output report 1 Activity Milestone 3 report Output report 3 Milestone/ Output Progress report 1 Milestone/ Output Progress report 2 Milestone/ Output Progress report 3 Final Activity report (FAR) PRGAssessment brief brief comprehensive comprehensive Assess- ment reports
  4. 4. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20154/17 www.gwpcee.org General observations Where are we at the end? (responsibility of IDMP CEE consortium):  many written comprehensive Milestone / Output reports  scientific / professional content: varying  language; none-native speakers  restricted referencing; some refer to old literature from the region and do not relate to recent literature  not all focus on drought, but have a wider perspective  some duplication; not always consistent
  5. 5. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20155/17 www.gwpcee.org General observations IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP): very ambitious and limited in budget rather short lifetime (1.5 – 2 yr) supply-driven (“what can we offer”) rather than balanced between demand (“what does CEE need”) and supply. Priorities of countries were only considered to a certain extend
  6. 6. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20156/17 www.gwpcee.org General observations IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d): not consistent in terms of Milestones (steps toward final product) and Outputs (IDMP programme structure) last Output did not cover/synthesize the whole activity (was not planned) very limited interaction across activities (cross-cutting needs to be organized and planned)
  7. 7. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20157/17 www.gwpcee.org General observations IDMP CEE Activities (responsibility GWP cont’d):  Lot of work is half-way, but very valuable and can easily be lost. Follow-up is urgently required  Dissemination plan is not well described; is it beyond the lifetime of the project? Follow-up needed.  Good start was consultation of CEE countries (Inception Report). How do we close circle (back to countries)? Follow-up
  8. 8. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20158/17 www.gwpcee.org FOLLOW-UP - IDMP CEE ACTIVITIES clustered 5.1 Agricultural practices (incl. increase WHC) 5.2 Impacts on Forest ecosystems 5.3 Natural small water retention measures 1.3 Drought Information Platform 5.4 Risk Management, Decision support system 5.5 Remote sensing agricultural drought monitoring 5.6 Upgrading agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting 1.3 Guidelines for DM Plans, NCDs 7.1 Compendium Good Practices 1.1 International Cooperation beyond CEE 7.2 Capacity building / Awareness rising ROLE of your Activity in whole?  Which step out of 7 steps Guidelines DMP (Act. 2.1)?  Operational or strategic mode?  What do you address: - Monitoring, Early Warning - forecasting / prediction - impacts, incl. threshold - vulnerability - measures - management - risk management
  9. 9. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 20159/17 www.gwpcee.org Seven steps Drought Management 1. Develop a drought policy and establish a Drought Committee 2. Define objectives of drought risk-based management policy 3. Data inventory for the development the Drought Management Plan 4. Produce/update the Drought Management Plan - Define content of Drought Management Plan - Characterise and evaluate historical drought events - Establish indicators and thresholds for drought classification - Establish drought early warning system - Develop a programme of measures - Establish organizational framework for production, implementation and updating of Drought Management Plan - Identify gaps and uncertainties 5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for public involvement 6. Develop scientific/research programme 7. Develop educational programmes Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015 CORNER STONES:  Activity 2.1: Guidelines for Drought Management  Activity 7.1: Good practice Compendium
  10. 10. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201510/17 www.gwpcee.org Seven steps Drought Management 1. Develop a drought policy and establish a Drought Committee 2. Define objectives of drought risk-based management policy 3. Data inventory for the development the Drought Management Plan 4. Produce/update the Drought Management Plan - Define content of Drought Management Plan - Characterise and evaluate historical drought events - Establish indicators and thresholds for drought classification - Establish drought early warning system - Develop a programme of measures - Establish organizational framework for production, implementation and updating of Drought Management Plan - Identify gaps and uncertainties 5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for public involvement 6. Develop scientific/research programme 7. Develop educational programmes Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015 Where fits your Activity in?
  11. 11. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201511/17 www.gwpcee.org Drought management, monitoring and early warning Current situation - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water - Impacted sectors n-day weather forecast - e.g. ECMWF - National Hydrometeo Services - ... Hydrological Modeling - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water Impact Modeling - Agricultural - Energy - Ecosystem services - Navigation - .... Potential short-term measures National Drought Committee - Water managers - Stakeholders - Policy makers Outlook - Snow stock - Reservoir storage - Time of year - ...... DSS (incl. risk management
  12. 12. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201512/17 www.gwpcee.org Drought management, monitoring and early warning Current situation - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water - Impacted sectors n-day weather forecast - e.g. ECMWF - National Hydrometeo Services - ... Hydrological Modeling - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water Impact Modeling - Agricultural - Energy - Ecosystem services - Navigation - .... Potential short-term measures National Drought Committee - Water managers - Stakeholders - Policy makers Outlook - Snow stock - Reservoir storage - Time of year - ...... Priority ranking sectors (prior to drought) DSS (incl. risk management
  13. 13. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201513/17 www.gwpcee.org Drought management, monitoring and early warning Current situation - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water - Impacted sectors n-day weather forecast - e.g. ECMWF - National Hydrometeo Services - ... Hydrological Modeling - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water Impact Modeling - Agricultural - Energy - Ecosystem services - Navigation - .... Potential short-term measures National Drought Committee - Water managers - Stakeholders - Policy makers Outlook - Snow stock - Reservoir storage - Time of year - ...... DSS (incl. risk management ACTIVITIES (where?): 1.3 Drought data exchange Platform 5.2 Assessment of drought impact on forests 5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: a decision support system 5.5 Policy oriented study on remote sensing agricultural drought monitoring methods 5.6 Upgrading agricultural drought monitoring and forecasting: the case of Ukraine and Moldova
  14. 14. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201514/17 www.gwpcee.org Putting IDMP CEE Activities in a context AMBITION: development pro-active Drought Management Plan in an integrated land and water management framework, incl. WFD RBMPs Two temporal scales  Operational mode (ongoing (multiple-year) drought, next year drought)  Strategic mode (far future drought, prepared for global change)
  15. 15. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201515/17 www.gwpcee.org Drought management, long-term planning Current situation - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water - Impacted sectors n-day weather forecast - e.g. ECMWF - National Hydrometeo Services - ... Hydrological Modeling - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water Impact Modeling - Agricultural - Energy - Ecosystem services - Navigation - .... Potential long-term measures National Drought Committee - Water managers - Stakeholders - Policy makers Outlook - Snow stock - Reservoir storage - Time of year - ...... Climate projections Possible futures Current water infrastructure - Demographic developments - RCPs DSS (incl. risk management
  16. 16. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201516/17 www.gwpcee.org Drought management, long-term planning Current situation - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water - Impacted sectors n-day weather forecast - e.g. ECMWF - National Hydrometeo Services - ... Hydrological Modeling - Soil moisture - Groundwater - Surface water Impact Modeling - Agricultural - Energy - Ecosystem services - Navigation - .... Potential long-term measures National Drought Committee - Water managers - Stakeholders - Policy makers Outlook - Snow stock - Reservoir storage - Time of year - ...... Climate projections Possible futures Current water infrastructure - Demographic developments - RCPs DSS (incl. risk management ACTIVITIES (where?): 5.1 Drought management by agricultural practices and measures-increasing soil water holding capacity 5.2 Assessment of drought impact on forests 5.3 Natural small water retention measures 5.4 Drought Risk Management Scheme: a decision support system 5.6 Precipitation harvesting and practices for moisture conservation
  17. 17. 3rd Peer Review Group Reporting21 April 201517/17 www.gwpcee.org Seven steps Drought Management 1. Develop a drought policy and establish a Drought Committee 2. Define objectives of drought risk-based management policy 3. Data inventory for the development the Drought Management Plan 4. Produce/update the Drought Management Plan - Define content of Drought Management Plan - Characterise and evaluate historical drought events - Establish indicators and thresholds for drought classification - Establish drought early warning system - Develop a programme of measures - Establish organizational framework for production, implementation and updating of Drought Management Plan - Identify gaps and uncertainties 5. Publicize Drought Management Plan for public involvement 6. Develop scientific/research programme 7. Develop educational programmes Act. 2.1: Fatulova et al. 2015

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