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Activity title: Upgrading agricultural drought monitoring
and forecasting: the case of Ukraine and Moldova
Activity number 5.6
Activity Leader: Tatiana Adamenko - Ukraine
Dr. Ecaterina Kuharuk – Moldova
2nd IDMP CEE Workshop
Ljubljana, 8 – 9 April 2014
Partners & Outputs
• Who are partners in this activity:
MD: Soil Research Institute + CWP-Moldova
UA: UkrHydroMetCentr, CWP-UA, State Agency of WR
Expected main final output(s) of your activity?
• A review of agro-climate zoning (map) UA + joint MD-UA Dniester RBA based on analysis of Cl CH
trends and soils’ water holding capacities: analysis of long-term uninterrupted monitoring data -UA
+ 2 case-studies of soil moisture content in agro lands & reference areas -MD.
• development of monitoring system by introduction of EU indexes/approaches.
• Updating forecast models for possible crop yield losses due to Ds for 3 main
• Stakeholders awareness raising on new zoning and best practices in agro-
• What has been done (October 2013 – April 2014)?
Collection, analysis of long-term uninterrupted data on water holding
capacities of different type of soils of 136 HM stations in agro-active
territories UA - Dniester RA ( UA). Recommendations for Farmers.
• In Moldova the research of 2 case areas in Dniester river basin and
data, collected by 7 hydromet stations. Collected materials for
recommendations for farmers on moisture conservation.
• At what stage of the final output(s) are you now?
Preparing for mapping of new zoning MD-UA.
• What were the main problems? How did you solve them?
Lack of UA–MD coordination and different approaches for
• Have there been any changes from the original plan? Why?
the Dniester River Basin
Striy meteorological station - Lvovskaya oblast
Normal 1961-1970 1971-1980 1981-1990 1991-2000 2001-2010
A trend on soil moisture reduction in May by 10-20% during 1991-2010
was shown based on uninterrupted observation data analysis of precipitation, temperature and soil moisture
data for period 1961-2010. This can be explained by decreasing of average precipitation on 4-
10% compare with norm and increasing temperature above normal on 0,6-0,8 º C
during this period. Sampling Data are May 20 and June 20 as critical for grain crops formation.
1961 1966 1971 1976 1981 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006
Abnormal precipitation and soil moisture data of continuous
observations in Ukraine.
• What are the plans for April – October 2014?
• Map of new zoning/ drought risks areas, EU indexes using,
Modelling for forecast upgrading UA, good practices on soil W
resilience introduction -MD
• What kind of challenges/problems do you expect? New
forecast model development needs more resources –UA. Minimize
Existed data allow preparing a model for Moldova, but existed
monitoring system on moisture needs further development in – MD?
• Will there by any change from the original plan? Why?