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Risk Analysis of Cultural Resource within Floodplains of  Snoqualmie Valley  Presented By  Odra Cárdenas Shweta Bhatia Gupta
The Project  The impacts of flooding in King County are far ranging and pose significant threats to public safety and regional economic viability, but it also threatens the continuity of cultural resources due to the devastating effects. The cultural heritage along the fertile Snoqualmie river valley comprise quarter of the entire county is subjected to frequent and devastating floods as recently as in year 2006 seasonal flooding.
King County Historic preservation program has recently launched major rural preservation and the project, is a pilot for developing a model of integrated data base for a countywide assessment of historic properties leading to a management plan that will provide a more comprehensive means of treating the county’s significant historic properties during natural disasters . Sponsored By  The Project
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Why Snoqualmie River The Site
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],  Goal
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],  Objectives
Research  Resource  identification  Data Gathering Defining  dataset Data accumulation  Actual project plan  Work breakdown structure  Task Division  Monitoring the process Status reports  Work quality  Time schedule  Management Focus of today’s Presentation  Methodology Definition Of Matrix  Database design Creating feature set  Digitization  Reclassification   Analysis  Process Model Building  Reporting
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],  Scope
Feature   Historic DistrictID Location Info  Characteristics  HistPropretyID HistoricDistrict Polygon HistPropretyID HistDistrictID HistMunicipleID Characteristics Summary CharacteristicDetail  HistoricProperty Point HistPropPolygon HistPropretyID HistMunicipality Polygon Polygon HistPropretyID HistStructureID Characteristics Summary CharacteristicDetail  HistStructure Polygon Polygon Polygon Point Polygon Object   Feature   Historic Architecture  Feature   Feature   Archaeological Site   GIS Model  HistElementID HistPropretyID Location Info HistElemPoint  HistElementID HistPropretyID Location Info HistElemPolygon HasSites ArchSite Grid ¼ Mile grid ArchPropertyID Location Info Characteristics  Archaeological District Polygon ArchPropertyID ArchProperty Polygon  Polygon ArchPropertyID SmithsodianID ArchDistrictID Property Name Location Info Characteristics Summary CharacteristicDetail  SiteDetails Archaeological Property Point
Project  Scope  1 2 3 4 5 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Data Base  1 Flood Data Set  Flood Plain  Flood Way  Water Bodies  Contour Data  5ft Contour  2ft Contour Contour TIN Contour _ Merge  Historic Site Point Historic Site Structure  Parcel KC Zoning  Admin Data  Models Flood Plain Raster  General Analysis Parcel Analysis Modelwoflood Analysis Structure Analysis Result Raster Set Parcel Flood  Parcel Soil  Parcel Slope  Flood Plain uni Soil 15 Slope Flood pl  reclass Soil  reclass Slope reclass Final Result  Zone st –Par  Zonal St- Min Zonal St- Mean  Project  Scope
Digitization 2 A polygon shapefile replaced the existing point shapefile indicating the historic site, but not individual structure within the site.  The fields were decided on the bases of inventory documents provided for each site.  Point Feature  Polygon Feature  Project  Scope
Matrix  3 Structural Risk  Percentage Breakup  40% ,5% Status Architectural Style  20%  Structural system  And Material 20%  Structural  Condition 15%  Site Condition Foundation Type 40% Cladding Type 20% Roof Type 20% Roof Material 20% Accessibility 30% Extant 30% Change in Use 40% Project  Scope
Matrix  3 The Matrix was  prepared based on the consequence and likelihood for each contributor, i.e.  structural material  (20%),  This in turn provided a ranking defining the score of each sub-set i.e.  foundation  and cladding material .  Project  Scope  Structural Material and Construction Type  20 % Contribute Ranking Score Foundation Type (50%) Conc. Poured 1 10 Post & Pier  2 20 Conc. Block  3 30 Log  4 40 Stone  5 50 Cladding(30%) Stucco 1 6 Brick, Stone 2 12 Log, Hr.Wood siding, Rustic drop,Wood Shingles  3 18 Board and Batten, Vertical Board, Asbestos/Asphalt  4 24 Vinyl/Aluminium Siding,Metal  5 30
 
Model 4 Mapped Results  Analysis Model With/without Floodplain consideration  Analysis Model At Parcel Level Analysis Model At Structural Level Mapped Results  Mapped Results  Project  Scope
Detailed  slope map Detailed soil map Detailed flood elevation map Detailed results map Back  To  Model
Results Maps 5
Results Maps 5
HEC2 HEC1 Results Maps 5
Results Maps 5
 
Model developed by the US Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC) River Analysis Systems (RAS) TIN Flood elevation Detailed survey  information Use of  HEC RAS Replicate information to verify data HEC1 Flood information  HEC RAS
HEC   GeoRAS  ( extension   for   ArcMap ) HEC2 Flood information  Geo RAS
John and Joyce Place HRI # 0937   Results  Maps 5
Risk Impact Prob.  Mitigation Contingency Field population must be done manually and is time consuming High Low Distribute the work between members.  Reduce study area.  It is necessary to digitize polygons of the historic resources since they are currently in point form. To digitize we need reliable aerial photographs. High Low Contact different resources to get aerial photographs.  Use the point dataset or parcel dataset, but the results will be less accurate.  The results might not be significant Low High Try to include a variety of historical resources. Talk to sponsor on the probability of this risk (the importance of the project resides on the methodology and model, not so much on the results) The sponsor shows little interest in the project. Low High Constant communication with the sponsor. The team will look for other sources of information aside the sponsor and will make own decisions on the project. Not finishing on time the phases of the critical path Very High Low Use Microsoft Project. Leave slack on the programmed activities.  Reduce study area.    Risk And Challenges
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],  Risk And Challenges
[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Lesson Learned

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Risk Analysis Of Cultural Resource4th June2

  • 1. Risk Analysis of Cultural Resource within Floodplains of Snoqualmie Valley Presented By Odra Cárdenas Shweta Bhatia Gupta
  • 2. The Project The impacts of flooding in King County are far ranging and pose significant threats to public safety and regional economic viability, but it also threatens the continuity of cultural resources due to the devastating effects. The cultural heritage along the fertile Snoqualmie river valley comprise quarter of the entire county is subjected to frequent and devastating floods as recently as in year 2006 seasonal flooding.
  • 3. King County Historic preservation program has recently launched major rural preservation and the project, is a pilot for developing a model of integrated data base for a countywide assessment of historic properties leading to a management plan that will provide a more comprehensive means of treating the county’s significant historic properties during natural disasters . Sponsored By The Project
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  • 7. Research Resource identification Data Gathering Defining dataset Data accumulation Actual project plan Work breakdown structure Task Division Monitoring the process Status reports Work quality Time schedule Management Focus of today’s Presentation Methodology Definition Of Matrix Database design Creating feature set Digitization Reclassification Analysis Process Model Building Reporting
  • 8.
  • 9. Feature Historic DistrictID Location Info Characteristics HistPropretyID HistoricDistrict Polygon HistPropretyID HistDistrictID HistMunicipleID Characteristics Summary CharacteristicDetail HistoricProperty Point HistPropPolygon HistPropretyID HistMunicipality Polygon Polygon HistPropretyID HistStructureID Characteristics Summary CharacteristicDetail HistStructure Polygon Polygon Polygon Point Polygon Object Feature Historic Architecture Feature Feature Archaeological Site GIS Model HistElementID HistPropretyID Location Info HistElemPoint HistElementID HistPropretyID Location Info HistElemPolygon HasSites ArchSite Grid ¼ Mile grid ArchPropertyID Location Info Characteristics Archaeological District Polygon ArchPropertyID ArchProperty Polygon Polygon ArchPropertyID SmithsodianID ArchDistrictID Property Name Location Info Characteristics Summary CharacteristicDetail SiteDetails Archaeological Property Point
  • 10.
  • 11. Data Base 1 Flood Data Set Flood Plain Flood Way Water Bodies Contour Data 5ft Contour 2ft Contour Contour TIN Contour _ Merge Historic Site Point Historic Site Structure Parcel KC Zoning Admin Data Models Flood Plain Raster General Analysis Parcel Analysis Modelwoflood Analysis Structure Analysis Result Raster Set Parcel Flood Parcel Soil Parcel Slope Flood Plain uni Soil 15 Slope Flood pl reclass Soil reclass Slope reclass Final Result Zone st –Par Zonal St- Min Zonal St- Mean Project Scope
  • 12. Digitization 2 A polygon shapefile replaced the existing point shapefile indicating the historic site, but not individual structure within the site. The fields were decided on the bases of inventory documents provided for each site. Point Feature Polygon Feature Project Scope
  • 13. Matrix 3 Structural Risk Percentage Breakup 40% ,5% Status Architectural Style 20% Structural system And Material 20% Structural Condition 15% Site Condition Foundation Type 40% Cladding Type 20% Roof Type 20% Roof Material 20% Accessibility 30% Extant 30% Change in Use 40% Project Scope
  • 14. Matrix 3 The Matrix was prepared based on the consequence and likelihood for each contributor, i.e. structural material (20%), This in turn provided a ranking defining the score of each sub-set i.e. foundation and cladding material . Project Scope Structural Material and Construction Type 20 % Contribute Ranking Score Foundation Type (50%) Conc. Poured 1 10 Post & Pier 2 20 Conc. Block 3 30 Log 4 40 Stone 5 50 Cladding(30%) Stucco 1 6 Brick, Stone 2 12 Log, Hr.Wood siding, Rustic drop,Wood Shingles 3 18 Board and Batten, Vertical Board, Asbestos/Asphalt 4 24 Vinyl/Aluminium Siding,Metal 5 30
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  • 16. Model 4 Mapped Results Analysis Model With/without Floodplain consideration Analysis Model At Parcel Level Analysis Model At Structural Level Mapped Results Mapped Results Project Scope
  • 17. Detailed slope map Detailed soil map Detailed flood elevation map Detailed results map Back To Model
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  • 23. Model developed by the US Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center (HEC) River Analysis Systems (RAS) TIN Flood elevation Detailed survey information Use of HEC RAS Replicate information to verify data HEC1 Flood information HEC RAS
  • 24. HEC GeoRAS ( extension for ArcMap ) HEC2 Flood information Geo RAS
  • 25. John and Joyce Place HRI # 0937 Results Maps 5
  • 26. Risk Impact Prob. Mitigation Contingency Field population must be done manually and is time consuming High Low Distribute the work between members. Reduce study area. It is necessary to digitize polygons of the historic resources since they are currently in point form. To digitize we need reliable aerial photographs. High Low Contact different resources to get aerial photographs. Use the point dataset or parcel dataset, but the results will be less accurate. The results might not be significant Low High Try to include a variety of historical resources. Talk to sponsor on the probability of this risk (the importance of the project resides on the methodology and model, not so much on the results) The sponsor shows little interest in the project. Low High Constant communication with the sponsor. The team will look for other sources of information aside the sponsor and will make own decisions on the project. Not finishing on time the phases of the critical path Very High Low Use Microsoft Project. Leave slack on the programmed activities. Reduce study area. Risk And Challenges
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