Its america climate panel

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Its america climate panel

  1. 1. Climate and Transportation: Pulling Out the Stops<br />Deron Lovaas<br />Federal Transportation Policy Director<br />Natural Resources Defense Council<br />ITS America<br />Houston, Texas<br />May 4, 2010<br />
  2. 2. Moving America Beyond Oil<br />“ We have a serious problem. America is addicted to oil.”<br /> President George W. Bush, 2006 State of the Union<br />
  3. 3. 2008 EPA Emissions Inventory<br />Transportation<br />Passenger Vehicles = 58%<br />Economy-wide<br />Transportation = 27%*<br />3<br />* End use only. If production and refining of petroleum is included, then transportation share would increase to roughly 1/3rd.<br />Source: 2010 EPA GHG Emission Inventory<br />
  4. 4. Travel Activity and Oil Imports<br />4<br />
  5. 5. Fuel Economy: Jump, then Stall<br />5<br />
  6. 6. Vehicle and Fuel Improvements:Cornerstone, but Not the Building<br />U.S. Transportation Sector Emissions<br />750 MMT<br />570 MMT<br />Assumes fixed efficiency baseline.<br />325 MMT<br /> LDV CO2 and CAFE Stds plus RFS2<br />Reduction Targets<br />(from 2005 baseline) <br />2020 = 17%<br />2030 = 38%<br />2050 = 80%<br />Source: NRDC analysis<br />6<br />
  7. 7. Vehicle Efficiency Options<br />7<br />Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010<br />
  8. 8. Low-Carbon Fuel Strategies<br />8<br />Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010<br />
  9. 9. System Efficiency + Reducing Carbon-Intensive Activities<br />Combined 2.9-6.1% Reduction Potential from:<br />Highway and Truck Operations and Management<br />Freight Rail and Marine Operations<br />Air Traffic Operations<br />Infrastructure Construction and Maintenance<br />Combined 4.9-17% (2030) and 6.4-21% (2050) Reduction Potential from:<br />Pricing<br />Transit, Nonmotorized and Intermodal Travel<br />Land Use and Parking<br />Commute Travel Reduction<br />Public Information Campaigns<br />9<br />Source: DOT Report to Congress, April 2010<br />
  10. 10. Sea Change for CAFE, What Next?<br />And now, AAM says: “The national [fuel economy and GHG] program announced today makes sense for consumers, for government policymakers and for automakers.”<br />10<br />
  11. 11. 11<br />Source: CBO, 2007<br />
  12. 12. VMT Growth: Already Trending Downward<br />12<br />Source: Pisarski and Cambridge Systematics<br />
  13. 13. “The Market Wants this Stuff”<br />Source: Jonathan Levine, Zoned Out: Regulations, Markets and Choices in Transportation and Metropolitan Land-Use, 2006.<br />
  14. 14. 14<br />Thank You!<br />dlovaas@nrdc.org<br />202-289-2384<br />For more information regarding NRDC’s Energy Program<br />http://www.nrdc.org/energy/<br />

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