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Defying Gravity - 2016 Pioneer Summit Opening Keynote by Michael Moe

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GSV co-founder Michael Moe opens the 2016 Pioneer Summit by outlining the most important megatrends and themes that are shaping the Industries of Tomorrow.

Published in: Economy & Finance
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Defying Gravity - 2016 Pioneer Summit Opening Keynote by Michael Moe

  1. 1. DEFYING GRAVITY Pioneer Summit September 14, 2016 Michael Moe, CFA Co-Founder, GSV @michaelmoe
  2. 2. Bill Campbell 1940 - 2016
  3. 3. 4 Minute Mile
  4. 4. 
 Impossible is not a fact. It’s an opinion. — MUHAMMAD ALI
  5. 5. Dyslexic
  6. 6. Turned down by 53 banks for a business loan.
  7. 7. Founded 8 $1+ billion businesses.
  8. 8. Grew up in the segregated south…
  9. 9. …Finished high school at 15.
  10. 10. Provost at Stanford at age 39.
  11. 11. Launched business in 2007 with 3 air ma!resses…
  12. 12. …basically from a need to eat.
  13. 13. “Raised” ini!al capital by selling custom cereal boxes at 2008 campaign events. Source: Inc.
  14. 14. 80+ Million Nights Booked in 2015 Source: Reuters
  15. 15. $26 Billion Market Value Source: Wall Street Journal
  16. 16. Grew up in the projects of Brooklyn.
  17. 17. A!ended Northern Michigan University on a football scholarship.
  18. 18. 24,000+ Stores 70+ Countries
  19. 19. $80+ Billion Market Value Source: Yahoo Finance (9/12/2016)
  20. 20. Unemployed, on welfare…
  21. 21. …Hatched book idea while stuck on a delayed train.
  22. 22. 400+ Million Books Sold $25+ Billion Franchise Value Source: Forbes, Scholastic
  23. 23. Failed Chinese university entrance exam 3 "mes.
  24. 24. Job applica"on rejected by 30 companies, including KFC.
  25. 25. $255+ Billion Market Value Source: Yahoo Finance (9/12/2016)
  26. 26. Used to approve each new user profile manually.
  27. 27. 25+ VC Rejec!ons Source: Fortune
  28. 28. 400+ Million Members Source: VentureBeat
  29. 29. Acquired for $26+ Billion Source: Wall Street Journal
  30. 30. 30+ VC Rejec!ons Source: Yahoo Finance
  31. 31. Founders banned from U.S. for viola"ng archaic FCC and copyright laws.
  32. 32. 3+ Billion Call Minutes per Day
  33. 33. Acquired for $8.5+ Billion
  34. 34. Christopher Columbus
  35. 35. King John II Portugal 1485
  36. 36. Queen Isabella Spain 1486
  37. 37. King John II Portugal 1488 Attempt 2
  38. 38. Genoa 1488
  39. 39. Venice 1488
  40. 40. Bartholomew Columbus 1488
  41. 41. King Henry VII England 1488
  42. 42. King Charles VIII France 1488
  43. 43. King Ferdinand & Queen Isabella Spain 1489-1491
  44. 44. Columbus Closes the Deal 1492
  45. 45. 10% of Revenue from New Lands in Perpetuity
  46. 46. Planned Voyage: Europe to Asia
  47. 47. Actual Voyage
  48. 48. FACEMASH
  49. 49. slack
  50. 50. GRAVITATIONAL SHIFT 1: Digital Na!ves Rule
  51. 51. Class of 2020
  52. 52. 18 Years Ago…
  53. 53. 4 Trillion Searches Per Day
  54. 54. Smartphone = Phone
  55. 55. 50% of the Class of 2020 think online courses are as good or be"er. Source: Chegg
  56. 56. No memory of the DotCom Bubble
  57. 57. Source: Forbes 2007 Today 39% 48% Millennial Home Ownership
  58. 58. Millennials’ Projected Lifetime Careers: 15+ Source: Forbes, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
  59. 59. More cars sold last year to people aged 75+ than 18-24-year-olds. Source: Bloomberg, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
  60. 60. GRAVITATIONAL SHIFT 2: Geographic
  61. 61. Popula"on Size 1.7B 1.3B1.4B Source: Facebook, World Bank
  62. 62. Virtual Reality
  63. 63. Pokémon Go 500 million downloads + fastest game to reach $500 million in revenue Source: TechCrunch
  64. 64. Lytro
  65. 65. $80 Billion Today 2025 63% CAGR Source: Deloitte, Goldman Sachs $1 Billion
  66. 66. 2000 9% of Global Popula!on Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  67. 67. 2000 52% of Global GDP Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  68. 68. 2000 - 2015 -0.1% GDP Growth (CAGR) Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  69. 69. Today 26% of Popula!on Older than 60 Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  70. 70. Today 11% of Popula!on Younger than 15 Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  71. 71. In Japan last year, more adult diapers sold than baby diapers. Source: NPR Marketplace, QZ
  72. 72. Today 1.6 Fer!lity Rate Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  73. 73. Today 38% of Global GDP Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  74. 74. “VChIIPs”
  75. 75. 43% of Global Popula!on Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  76. 76. 28% of Global GDP Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  77. 77. 6.6% GDP Growth Rate Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  78. 78. 11% of Popula!on Older than 60 Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  79. 79. 24% of Popula!on Younger than 15 Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  80. 80. 2.3 Fer!lity Rate Source: The Economist, United Nations, International Monetary Fund
  81. 81. Old Center of Gravity
  82. 82. New Center of Gravity
  83. 83. On Deck
  84. 84. Ci"es with 1M+ Popula"on CHINA 160 U.S. 10 Source: Wikipedia, OECD
  85. 85. Shanghai Pudong: 1990
  86. 86. Shanghai Pudong: Today
  87. 87. Shanghai’s popula!on is 40 million… …larger than Canada.
  88. 88. Xi'an (13 million) is the 10th largest city in China…
  89. 89. …It’s bigger than Sweden and you’ve never heard of it.
  90. 90. Global Middle Class: 2000 1.4 Billion Source: OECD
  91. 91. Global Middle Class: Today 2.5 Billion +80% Source: OECD
  92. 92. Share of Middle Class Consump"on: 2015 All Other 51% Asia Pacific 23% North America 26% Source: The Brookings Institution
  93. 93. Share of Middle Class Consump"on: 2030 All Other 31% Asia Pacific 59% North America 10% Source: The Brookings Institution
  94. 94. Source: Fortune (in 2014-2015)
  95. 95. 1400 - 1900: Sea
  96. 96. 1900 - Today: Air
  97. 97. Future: Space
  98. 98. Defense
  99. 99. Communica"on
  100. 100. Agriculture
  101. 101. Logis"cs
  102. 102. Leisure
  103. 103. $330 Billion Market Source: Space Foundation
  104. 104. GRAVITATIONAL SHIFT 3: Automa!on
  105. 105. 30,000 Amazon Warehouse Robots
  106. 106. 350+ Million Global Manufacturing + Warehouse Workers Source: McKinsey, GSV Asset Management
  107. 107. 12 Million U.S. Middle Skills Jobs Eliminated by 2025 Source: McKinsey
  108. 108. $7 Trillion Managed by Robo-Financial Advisors by 2025 Source: Deloitte
  109. 109. 3,000+ Financial Reports Per Quarter Source: New York Times
  110. 110. 50% Jobs At Risk of Replacement in 20 Years Source: The Economist, Oxford University
  111. 111. “Our policy is to hire as many talented computer engineers as we can find. There aren't enough people who have these skills today.” — MARK ZUCKERBERG
  112. 112. 1.2 Million Computer Science Job Openings by 2020 Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Fortune
  113. 113. “Data Science — The sexiest job of the 21st Century.”
  114. 114. 1060 Time Humans Knowledge, Skills, Abili!es Computers We Are Here
  115. 115. Killer Jobs Today… Killed Tomorrow
  116. 116. Automa"on Eats Jobs Farming Factory Informa!on Knowledge
  117. 117. GRAVITATIONAL SHIFT 4: Knowledge Economy
  118. 118. Weapons of Mass Instruction
  119. 119. GRAVITATIONAL SHIFT 5: Global Silicon Valley
  120. 120. Old Global Innova!on Map
  121. 121. London “Risk isn’t my cup of tea.”
  122. 122. New York City “If it’s such a good idea, why hasn’t it been done already.”
  123. 123. Minneapolis “Looks promising… Let’s test it.”
  124. 124. San Francisco “Can I write you a check?”
  125. 125. Shanghai “Great idea. Now it’s my idea.”
  126. 126. New Global Innova!on Map
  127. 127. Aus"n
  128. 128. Boston
  129. 129. Chicago
  130. 130. Sao Paulo
  131. 131. Mumbai
  132. 132. Shanghai
  133. 133. Dubai
  134. 134. Global Silicon Valley
  135. 135. Imagine a connected Global Silicon Valley.
  136. 136. Imagine no boundaries.
  137. 137. Imagine how you can change the world for good.
  138. 138. Dare to defy gravity.
  139. 139. DARE TO BE GREAT!!!

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