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Analytics:Sensemaking, Prediction &      Performance             George Siemens, PhD                 June 6, 2012         ...
The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
http://www.slideshare.net/gsiemens/
August 5, 1949: Mann Gulch
December 2–3, 1984: Bhopal
April 14, 1994: Black Hawk Incident
Add:terrorist attacks, Space Shuttle Columbia, 2008financial crisis, etc, etc.
Progressive reliance on sensemaking in systemsrather than as individuals
Sensemaking“Sensemaking is a motivated, continuous effortto understand connections . . . in order toanticipate their traje...
We can’t understand how people make sensewithout considering the system
2008, financial                     Mann Gulch                     SS Columbia9/11            Bhopal        7/7       Mumbai
2008, financial                                                Mann Gulch                                                S...
But it’s not only about sensemaking in            crisis situations.    It can be far more mundane.
Domains of Sensemaking
The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
Exceptional performance requires tight couplingof people, roles, systems, context, and actions
The problem is that our socio-technical systemsare becoming more technical and less social
To avoid getting lost in the “mass of inconsequential”                                              (Bush, 1945)We still n...
How can centralized aims be achieved throughdistributed means?
The current state of work & the internet isantagonistic to existing practices inorganizationsInternet/mobiles/web fragment...
In response, systems have become more rule oralgorithmically basedSocial systems don’t scale with information’sabundance/c...
Hence, analytics
http://www.solaresearch.org/
“Imagination no longer comes as cheaply as itdid in the past. The slightest move in the virtuallandscape has to be paid fo...
Learning analytics is the measurement,collection, analysis and reporting of data aboutlearners and their contexts, for pur...
The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2Aggregated networks of daily contacts   F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0023176
What if the topics of interaction are layered onto social                            networks?                            ...
Or actions (outcomes, sales, performance) are layered onto                  networks, discourse, etc.                     ...
Distributed, multi-level analytics                                Suthers & Rosen (2011)
Attention metadata                     Duval (2011)
Learning networks, crowds, communities                            Haythornthwaite (2011)
Discourse analysis (automated and manual)                   De Liddo & Buckingham Shum (2011)
Social learning analytics                     Buckingham Shum & Ferguson (2011)
Participatory learning and reputation                            Clow & Makriyannis (2011)
Early warning                Macfayden & Dawson (2010)                      Campbell et al (2006)
Learning Analytics in the workplace: Detectingand Analyzing Informal Workplace Learning                             Schreu...
“Whether from government transparency initiatives, leaks orFreedom of Information requests, journalists are drowning in mo...
The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
Half-ideas colliding to form new (innovative)             knowledge wholes:       Massive Open Online Courses
Creating: artifacts, stuff, remixing,new assemblies, novel connectedness
Stigmergic/self-organizing social            systems
Synchronization
Capacity for innovation & change a function ofwhich/how entities are networked
The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
What might we want to predict?Composition of teamsSkillsets needed for particular outcomesResilience and adaptive teams in...
Kron, et al (2011)
Sensemaking, prediction, performance
www.lakconference.org
Learning Analytics: Practitioners WorkshopPurdue: Oct 1-3, 2012http://www.solaresearch.org/flare/
gsiemens @  gmail  Twitter  Skype  FB  Whereverwww.elearnspace.orgwww.connectivism.cawww.learninganalytics.net
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction
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Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction

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Analytics: Sensemaking, Performance, Prediction

  1. 1. Analytics:Sensemaking, Prediction & Performance George Siemens, PhD June 6, 2012 Presented to:8th Annual Innovations in e-Learning Symposium George Mason University
  2. 2. The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
  3. 3. The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
  4. 4. http://www.slideshare.net/gsiemens/
  5. 5. August 5, 1949: Mann Gulch
  6. 6. December 2–3, 1984: Bhopal
  7. 7. April 14, 1994: Black Hawk Incident
  8. 8. Add:terrorist attacks, Space Shuttle Columbia, 2008financial crisis, etc, etc.
  9. 9. Progressive reliance on sensemaking in systemsrather than as individuals
  10. 10. Sensemaking“Sensemaking is a motivated, continuous effortto understand connections . . . in order toanticipate their trajectories and act effectively” (Klein et al. 2006)
  11. 11. We can’t understand how people make sensewithout considering the system
  12. 12. 2008, financial Mann Gulch SS Columbia9/11 Bhopal 7/7 Mumbai
  13. 13. 2008, financial Mann Gulch SS Columbia 9/11 Bhopal 7/7Sensemaking, prediction,& performance Mumbaithrough analytics here
  14. 14. But it’s not only about sensemaking in crisis situations. It can be far more mundane.
  15. 15. Domains of Sensemaking
  16. 16. The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
  17. 17. Exceptional performance requires tight couplingof people, roles, systems, context, and actions
  18. 18. The problem is that our socio-technical systemsare becoming more technical and less social
  19. 19. To avoid getting lost in the “mass of inconsequential” (Bush, 1945)We still need control, but the points are different thanwhere the education system has assigned them in thepast.
  20. 20. How can centralized aims be achieved throughdistributed means?
  21. 21. The current state of work & the internet isantagonistic to existing practices inorganizationsInternet/mobiles/web fragmentsCoherence is needed for action/performance
  22. 22. In response, systems have become more rule oralgorithmically basedSocial systems don’t scale with information’sabundance/complexity
  23. 23. Hence, analytics
  24. 24. http://www.solaresearch.org/
  25. 25. “Imagination no longer comes as cheaply as itdid in the past. The slightest move in the virtuallandscape has to be paid for in lines of code.” Latour (2007)
  26. 26. Learning analytics is the measurement,collection, analysis and reporting of data aboutlearners and their contexts, for purposes ofunderstanding and optimizing learning and theenvironments in which it occurs
  27. 27. The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
  28. 28. http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2Aggregated networks of daily contacts F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0023176
  29. 29. What if the topics of interaction are layered onto social networks? http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2Aggregated networks of daily contacts F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0023176
  30. 30. Or actions (outcomes, sales, performance) are layered onto networks, discourse, etc. http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2Aggregated networks of daily contacts F10.1371%2Fjournal.pone.0023176
  31. 31. Distributed, multi-level analytics Suthers & Rosen (2011)
  32. 32. Attention metadata Duval (2011)
  33. 33. Learning networks, crowds, communities Haythornthwaite (2011)
  34. 34. Discourse analysis (automated and manual) De Liddo & Buckingham Shum (2011)
  35. 35. Social learning analytics Buckingham Shum & Ferguson (2011)
  36. 36. Participatory learning and reputation Clow & Makriyannis (2011)
  37. 37. Early warning Macfayden & Dawson (2010) Campbell et al (2006)
  38. 38. Learning Analytics in the workplace: Detectingand Analyzing Informal Workplace Learning Schreurs & De Laat, 2012
  39. 39. “Whether from government transparency initiatives, leaks orFreedom of Information requests, journalists are drowning in moredocuments than they can ever hope to read.We’re building an interactive system where computersdo the visualization, while a human guides theexploration.” http://overview.ap.org/about/
  40. 40. The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
  41. 41. Half-ideas colliding to form new (innovative) knowledge wholes: Massive Open Online Courses
  42. 42. Creating: artifacts, stuff, remixing,new assemblies, novel connectedness
  43. 43. Stigmergic/self-organizing social systems
  44. 44. Synchronization
  45. 45. Capacity for innovation & change a function ofwhich/how entities are networked
  46. 46. The contextWhy and what of analytics?ExamplesColliding ideasOrganizations and the analytics model
  47. 47. What might we want to predict?Composition of teamsSkillsets needed for particular outcomesResilience and adaptive teams in unsettledcontexts (rapidly changing)Trends (for re/up skilling)
  48. 48. Kron, et al (2011)
  49. 49. Sensemaking, prediction, performance
  50. 50. www.lakconference.org
  51. 51. Learning Analytics: Practitioners WorkshopPurdue: Oct 1-3, 2012http://www.solaresearch.org/flare/
  52. 52. gsiemens @ gmail Twitter Skype FB Whereverwww.elearnspace.orgwww.connectivism.cawww.learninganalytics.net

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