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110410 gov general election 50m

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110410 gov general election 50m

  1. 1. Still grading journals, Please take out a second sheet of paper for today’s opener. In case of a code red…
  2. 2. DRAW A LINE SEPARATING TODAY & YESTERDAY 1) Write: Date: 11/04/10, Topic: General Elections 2) Next line, write “Opener #39” and then: 1) Write 1 high+1 low in last 24 hours 2) Rate your understanding of yesterday: lost<1-5>too easy (3 is perfect) 3) Respond to the Opener by writing at least 1 sentences about: Your opinions/thoughts OR/AND Questions sparked by the clip OR/AND Summary of the clip OR/AND
  3. 3. Agenda 1) General Elections Primary Objective 1) How does America choose its president? Reminder 1) Complete podcast, pick election stories.
  4. 4. Review Primary Elections (Jan-Jun) Voters Vote Based on Voter Results, Delegated Pledged to Candidates Delegates go to Convention (Aug), 50%+ is winner. Dem: 20% of del. Are super del, pledged to no one. Focus most energy on first 2: IA, NH (Jan) Gen elec in Nov
  5. 5. Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 1) General Election (Nov): Primary winner from each party (including 3rd parties) fight. Ppl Vote > Electoral College Votes > Winner 2) Electoral College (EC) (Dec): Constitutionally created a safety check. Each state legislatures picks ppl to be electors (538). EC electors pledge to vote how state’s voters voted. 3) EC Representation: Each state gets # of electors equal to # US Senators (2) + # of US House members (53). Total: 100+435+3 for DC=538 4) General Election is Winner Takes All (270): Unlike primaries, general elec is winner takes all. If someone wins plurality (more than others) of the voters, they get ALL that state’s electoral votes.
  6. 6. Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 1) General Election (Nov): Primary winner from each party (including 3rd parties) fight. Ppl Vote > Electoral College Votes > Winner (270)
  7. 7. Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 2) Electoral College (EC) (Dec): Constitutionally created a safety check/state empowerment. Each state legislatures picks ppl to be electors (538). EC electors pledge to vote how state’s voters voted.
  8. 8. Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 3) EC Representation: Each state gets # of electors equal to # US Senators (2) + # of US House members (53). Total: 100+435+3 for DC=538
  9. 9. House: 435 Senate: 100 DC: 3 435+100+3=538 http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/
  10. 10. Notes #39a, Title: “General Election Notes” 4) General Election is Winner Takes All (270): Unlike primaries, general elec is winner takes all. If someone wins plurality (more than others) of the voters, they get ALL that state’s electoral votes.
  11. 11. 5) Electoral College Numbers: House (435)+ Senate (100)+DC (3)=538. Over 50% to win the EC. 538/2=269. 269+1=270. So 270/538 to win.
  12. 12. House: 435 Senate: 100 DC: 3 435+100+3=538 538/2=269=50%, 270/538=50.1% http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2008/calculator/
  13. 13. If you won the 11 biggest states by 50.01% and no one in the next 39 states voted for you, you can win with 1/3 of America’s voters
  14. 14. Barbara Lett-Simmons (2000)
  15. 15. POPULATION EC US 296,410,404 538 California 36,553,215 55 Texas 23,904,380 34 New York 19,297,729 31 North Dakota 639,715 3 Vermont 621,254 3 Wyoming 522,830 3
  16. 16. Journ #39a, “Electoral College Debate” 1) Read the 2 sides, choose 1 side, and write which you choose and explain why. 2) Then write down what your partner thinks (include their name at the end). 1 2 3 4 5 CON: Ditch the EC 1) EC makes candidates ignore really liberal or conservative states 2) CA, biggest state totally ignored, give each voter equal voice PRO: Keep the EC 1) Its worked so far (kinda) 2) Small states get at least 3 EC, they need an amplified voice 3) One day we might need
  17. 17. Notes #39b, Title: “General Election Notes” 6) Swing Strategy: Ignore loyal and opponent states, focus on swing. Current key swing states: Ohio, Florida, Nevada 7) Microtarget: Money + Time of Volunteers are Scarce, Target Use
  18. 18. 2008: OBAMA: 365 MCCAIN: 173 69,456,897 (53%) 59,934,814 (46%)
  19. 19. 2004: BUSH: 286 KERRY: 251 62,040,610 (51%) 59,028,444 (48%)
  20. 20. 2000: BUSH: 271 Gore: 266, 1 abstain 50,456,002 (49%) 50,999,897 (49%)
  21. 21. BUSH: 2,912,790 GORE: 2,912,253 Difference: 537 (MV Mock: 590)
  22. 22. Journ #39b, Title “Review Activity” Review Activity Roles: not the real mock election i) Campaign Manager (leader/speech writer/debate prep) ii) Debater (What would you do as president?) iii) Ad Maker (make 5 ads) iv) Ad Maker (make 5 ads) DEM: Team 1: Edwards Team 2: Obama Team 3: RichardsonTeam 4: Clinton Team 5: Biden GOP: Team 6: McCain Team 7: Paul Team 8: Giuliani Team 9: Thompson 1) Write down your activity role 2) Prepare debate draft or ad in journal.
  23. 23. Journ #39b, Title “Review Activity” Election Day (ONLY VOTE WHEN ITS OUR TURN) Team 1: NH/IA: Team 2: CA/OR/WA: Team 3: NV/UT/AZ/CO/NM: Team 4: ND/SD/NE/KS/OK/TX: Team 5: AR/LA/MS/AL/GA/SC/TN/KY: Team 6: IN/OH/WV/VA/NC: Team 7: MN/WI/IL/IN/MI: Team 8: OH/FL/PA: Team 9: MD/DE/DC/NJ/CT/MA/NH/NY/ME: 2 extra participation points for primary winner and general election winner
  24. 24. Journ #39b, Title “Review Activity” Election Day (ONLY VOTE WHEN ITS OUR TURN) Team 1: NH/IA: 11 Team 2: CA/OR/WA: 73 Team 3: NV/UT/AZ/CO/NM: 34 Team 4: ND/SD/NE/KS/OK/TX: 58 Team 5: AR/LA/MS/AL/GA/SC/TN/KY: 72 Team 6: IN/OH/WV/VA/NC: 64 Team 7: MN/WI/IL/IN/MI: 69 Team 8: OH/FL/PA: 68 Team 9: MD/DE/DC/NJ/CT/MA/NH/NY/ME: 89 2 extra participation points for primary winner and general election winner
  25. 25. Journ #39b, “ 2012 EC Strategy” 1) Read the chart with a partner (write their name, decide which candidate are you working for), and label your list (I- Impossible, L-Loyal, and S-Swing based on %), AND add Loyal and Swing to your list until you get to 270. CREATE A LIST AND ADD UP L+S California 55 Hawaii 4 New York 31 Total of L+S: should reach 270
  26. 26. HI: 4 AK: 3
  27. 27. Journ #39b, Title “2008 EC Strategy” Hunstman: China Am/Ut Gov, worth $1 billion Obama: President Bloomberg: NYC Mayor, worth $18 billion Election Day (ONLY VOTE WHEN ITS OUR TURN) Team 1: NH/IA: 11 Team 2: CA/OR/WA: 73 Team 3: NV/UT/AZ/CO/NM: 34 Team 4: ND/SD/NE/KS/OK/TX: 58 Team 5: AR/LA/MS/AL/GA/SC/TN/KY: 72 Team 6: IN/OH/WV/VA/NC: 64 Team 7: MN/WI/IL/IN/MI: 69 Team 8: OH/FL/PA: 68 Team 9: MD/DE/DC/NJ/CT/MA/NH/NY/ME: 89
  28. 28. Journ #39c, Title “Mock Election Preview” 2) What will be your winning strategy? (keep in mind voter profile and regional characteristics)
  29. 29. Journ #39d, Title “Student Election” 1) Copy Source Title: Frontrunners 2…) Discuss questions on the board with a partner. Summarize your discussion (include their name at the end). Remember participation points are deducted if off task. 5 Reading/Film Qs Come From These Work Sections
  30. 30. John Boehner
  31. 31. Kamela Harris
  32. 32. Nikki Haley/Nimrata Randhawa
  33. 33. Gavin Newsom
  34. 34. Jon Favreau

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