Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

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Strategic Roadmapping for healthcare robotics

  1. 1. Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics 1 4th March, 2014 Management Consulting Practice
  2. 2. Table of Contents What is healthcare robotics? Who are the stakeholders? Industry roadmap – Next 5 years – Next 10 years – Next 30 years… Recommendations 2
  3. 3. What is Healthcare Robotics FP7 (European Commission) Definition – Robotics for Medicine and Healthcare is considered the domain of systems able to perform coordinated mechatronic actions (force or movement exertions) on the basis of processing of information acquired through sensor technology, with the aim to support the functioning of impaired individuals, medical interventions, care and rehabilitation of patients and also to support individuals in prevention programs Innovation areas – Monitoring/therapy robots – Medical capsules – Intelligent prosthetics – Robotised surgery 3 Our focus
  4. 4. Existing Medical Robots & TechnologyVasteras Giraff iRobot’s AVA Tele-presence Tech. Hector Eldercare Robot Tokyo Partner Robot InTouch Health’s RP-VITA Mobile Robot Hocoma AG’s Lokomat
  5. 5. Who are the Stakeholders Manufacturers/Suppliers – : big market opportunity – : regarded as high risk/cost  Research organizations – : research area getting importance – : not clear who should take initiative, researcher or company?  Healthcare providers/institutions – : possibility for more qualitative and more effective care with less man power – : lack of personnel dealing with new technologies  Professional users – : increase efficiency – : personal contacts with patient is still an important part of professional ethic  Patients – : provided more choices for care and lifestyle – : emotional barrier against robotics healthcare  Informal caregivers – : more choices – : reliability and usability concern  Government – : reducing healthcare expenses, solution for lack of care personnel – : requires lot of regulation changes and promoting actions 5 Our focus
  6. 6. Roadmap for Healthcare Robotics 6
  7. 7. 7 2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030 Driver Barrier Products Services Technology Capability Aging in developed countries/Lack of medical professionals People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of robots & human Monitoring Individual Monitoring + Therapy Interactive Diagnosis + Care plan Proactive • Aging society • Lack of doctors/nurses • Increased expense for healthcare • More people live alone • Depopulation of rural area • People care quality of life more • Get used to IT • WW Aging society • Acceptance for robotics increase • Limited landscape • Cost/Regulation • Reliability/acceptance • Advanced technology • Usability • Quality • Resistance Market needs Challenges • Security cameras for nursing • Wearable monitoring • Therapy robots (pets, partners) • Tele-medicine • Tele-diagnosis • Proactive Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses) • Autonomous devices • Sensors (wearable) • Actuators • Monitoring camera • Pattern recognition • High speed network • Sensor feedback • Soft Actuators • Intention recognition • Advanced Human machine interface • Natural language processing • Autonomous navigation system • Machine learning & statistical analysis
  8. 8. 8 2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030 Driver Barrier Aging in developed countries/Lack of medical professionals People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of robots & human • In 2011, 6% of less developed total  15% by 2050 • By 2050, 15b or 16% of global total • Projected 115m worldwide living with AD/ dementia in 2050 1. Aging society & increasing burden of Dementia • In 2011, 16% of developed total  26% by 2050 • Recent estimate 27-36m living with AD/dementia • Worldwide cost of dementia exceeded US$600b in 2010
  9. 9. 9 2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030 Driver Barrier Aging in developed countries/Lack of medical professionals People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of robots & human 2. Increased healthcare spending & workers shortage Global increase in healthcare spending (2001-2011): • In USA, 26% • In Costa Rica, 156% • In China, 266% • In Japan, 50% • In Singapore, 234% • In UK, 66% • In Poland, 122% • In Russia, 215% • In Iran, 162% • In S Africa, 59% • Global shortage of 12.9m healthcare workers by 2035 • Global home healthcare: US$306b by 2020 • Global medical device: US$228b by 2015
  10. 10. 10 2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030 Driver Barrier Aging in developed countries/Lack of medical professionals People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of robots & human • In Europe, more than 40% of women elderly live alone • In Japan, elderly living alone increased from 28% to 32% from 2001 to 2011 3. Changing family structure • “Beanpole family” in more developed countries • Fewer children & smaller generations • Number of elderly living alone is rising in most countries
  11. 11. 11 2010-2014 2015-2020 2021-2030 Driver Barrier Aging in developed countries/Lack of medical professionals People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of robots & human 4. Increased acceptance of technology & QOL Global mature consumer study in 2011: • 3,000 interviews in 23 countries including BRIC, USA, Britain • Technology use is extensive • 69% have both fixed-line and mobile phones; 50% use the internet • Socio- demographics, educati on, experience with technology will differ
  12. 12. Products/Services (2010-2014) 12http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html Wearable monitoring systemSecurity cameras for nursing Monitoring Individual Network Camera Network Wi-Fi Smartphone Apps Tremor and Movement Inertial Sensors Positioning, localization and pattern recognition Electronic Actuator Haptic Sensors Adaptive auditory Cueing system User friendly Interfacing
  13. 13. 13 Products/Services (2015-2020) Monitoring + Therapy Interactive Tele-consultation, tele-diagnosisTherapeutic Interactive Robot Paro Tactile, Light, Audition, Posture and temperature Sensors http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp Speech and Vision Pattern recognition Advanced Human machine Interface Better understanding of the effectiveness of therapies Ambient Intelligence New materials, Artificial skins and Soft actuators Sensory feedback http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/
  14. 14. 14 Products/Services (2020-2030) Diagnosis + Care plan Proactive 14 Access to EMR and PHR Natural language processing autonomous navigation technology  Detection of vital data • patient's blood pressure and pulse  Conversation capability • Live conversation with doctors in hospitals • Extracting the meaning from human or natural language input  Autonomous navigation system  Access to Personal health record (PHR)  Suggest an appropriate diagnosis and a care plan to patients/doctors by referring to previous cases (Machine Learning & Big data) Statistical analysis AI : Machine Learning Intelligent Robot Platform ED-7270 Proactive diagnosis robot
  15. 15. Recommendations Healthcare Robotics industry has the three steps to the future growth – Monitoring – Monitoring + Therapy – Diagnosis + Care plan 15 Products Services Monitoring Individual Monitoring + Therapy Interactive Diagnosis + Care plan Proactive • Security cameras for nursing • Wearable monitoring • Therapy robots (pets, partners) • Tele-medicine • Proactive Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses) • Autonomous devices
  16. 16. Recommendations Recommendations to manufacturers for monitoring as a first step 16 Monitoring Individual • Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies • Sensors, Actuators and network • Monitoring camera • Pattern recognition • Collaborative research with in-company institutions and independent research firms such as IT startups in Silicon Valley must be the best choice for a quick attempt to get dynamic information • A collaboration can be the solution to improve current technology for aging society and lack of medical professionals in the developed countries Aging in developed countries/Lack of medical professionals Solution
  17. 17. Recommendations Second step is to add the improvement of interactive functions to monitoring system 17 Monitoring + Therapy Interactive • Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies • Therapy robots (pets, partners) • Self learning system • Research and development has to focus on soft technology such as how to heal and improve the comfort to patients, that is, communication skills • Knowledge from psychological counselors should be implemented to robots in this stage • Robots will not be robots gradually, more partners Solution People are familiar with IT/ Quality of life gain more importance
  18. 18. Recommendations Finally Robots can make the decision 18 Diagnosis + Care plan Proactive • Manufacturers have to focus on these technologies • Diagnosis robots (doctors, nurses) • Autonomous devices • AI technology will be getting more important • Also doctors can still play an important role as final decision makers for caring plan, therefore manufacturers can provide devices, which can show how to understand and interpret information from robots to real cares • Technology transfer could be another issue in order to apply advanced technology to developing countries Solution Aging in developing countries/Co-exist of robots & human
  19. 19. For the healthy society achieved with the coexistence of human and robots
  20. 20. Q&A
  21. 21. Appendices 21
  22. 22. Speed of Population Aging 22
  23. 23. References  http://www.prb.org/Publications/Articles/2011/agingpopulationclocks.aspx  http://www.emergogroup.com/resources/worldwide-health-expenditures  http://www.medscape.com/viewarticle/814221  http://www.nia.nih.gov/sites/default/files/nia-who_report_booklet_oct-2011_a4__1-12-12_5.pdf  http://www.atkearney.at/consumer-products-retail/maturing-consumer/report  http://wirelesswire.jp/Watching_World/201208101922.html  http://www.parorobots.com/index.asp  http://teledoctors.wordpress.com/2012/10/02/telemedicine/ 23

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