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Transformational Technologies andCreating new demand for ICT services - The Future of Broadband and ICT -           Gerd L...
TeleMediaTelecom   Media Convergence
This year’s biggest driver...?
Broadcast « » Broadband                    Social Networks = CableTV                        without the Cable Source: Mont...
The future is already here...
Real Digital Natives
The Networked Society    Broadband Culture
Drivers of Broadband  Content Open StandardsData Control SustainabilityEcosystems     Balance  Equality    Innovation   Mo...
Content
People of the Cloud...will expect a lot more than mere ‘distribution’
TV you can read, Newspapers you can watch
Whatever can go digital... will go digital
Useless without content - and...Useless without connectivity                !
Sharing is and will remain a key driver                                Image via Flickr.com/rubicon
Piracy: failed business models + faster networks + cheaper devices                                    CEO of MacMillan UK,...
Content 2.0:Access not Copy
Rebirth of the content business
ETA: 3 years
Masses of NichesSource: thecarbonara blog
More and more ‘real’ content ‘over the top’
The problem is not the ‘pay’ - it’s the wall!Source:
A new standard in a hyper-connected economy:
Data& Control
“Minority Report” is becoming reality
Standards  Transparency    Trust Guarantees     Interoperability            The Commons
...this cannot all be about commercial gains...
Who decides...?
A very important trend...
Ecosystems
The Future: ‘Inter-Connected Business Models’
Not value chains but value cycles (*Umair Haque)                                  (*Umair Haque)
A new ICT | Media | AdvertisingEcosystem
TeleMedia Futures: a new ECOsystem             Content (Creators, Publishers,                                             ...
Legal, easy and affordable availability of contentis a major factor in broadband uptake (and society!)              source...
Telemedia Futures: OTT        Bundled                       Masses of NichesFreemium         Going Direct            Stand...
Equality
Mobile
Dramatically increased importance of Mobile Broadband
OpenStandards
Obsession with Control inevitably leads to declineSource: ARS
One to many   Many to Many
“The people formerly known as consumers”
Open                       Open LicensesTechnologies                 Ultra-fast                Broadband                  ...
Not sustainable
Welcome to the new worldview: ECOsystems   Good luck. Protection breaks the EcoSystem
Urgent: Copy(Usage)-Right for a digital ecosystem
Sustainability
Balance
A slew of new, unprecedent ‘digital society challenges’
And considerable confusion
Innovation
Complete Reboot of Education and Learning
Interdependence
A Serious Paradigm Challenge                                                           Source: Tiffany Shlain: ‘Connected ...
Hyper-Competition   ➲   Hyper-Collaboration
Summary
Gerd.fm/freepdfs        (Kindle)
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard
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The Future of Broadband: Telemedia, Futurist Gerd Leonhard

  1. 1. Transformational Technologies andCreating new demand for ICT services - The Future of Broadband and ICT - Gerd LeonhardFuturist (Media & Communications) CEO of The Futures Agency Author & Think-Tank Leader
  2. 2. TeleMediaTelecom Media Convergence
  3. 3. This year’s biggest driver...?
  4. 4. Broadcast « » Broadband Social Networks = CableTV without the Cable Source: Monty.de
  5. 5. The future is already here...
  6. 6. Real Digital Natives
  7. 7. The Networked Society Broadband Culture
  8. 8. Drivers of Broadband Content Open StandardsData Control SustainabilityEcosystems Balance Equality Innovation Mobile Interdependence
  9. 9. Content
  10. 10. People of the Cloud...will expect a lot more than mere ‘distribution’
  11. 11. TV you can read, Newspapers you can watch
  12. 12. Whatever can go digital... will go digital
  13. 13. Useless without content - and...Useless without connectivity !
  14. 14. Sharing is and will remain a key driver Image via Flickr.com/rubicon
  15. 15. Piracy: failed business models + faster networks + cheaper devices CEO of MacMillan UK, April 2011, via PaidContent.org
  16. 16. Content 2.0:Access not Copy
  17. 17. Rebirth of the content business
  18. 18. ETA: 3 years
  19. 19. Masses of NichesSource: thecarbonara blog
  20. 20. More and more ‘real’ content ‘over the top’
  21. 21. The problem is not the ‘pay’ - it’s the wall!Source:
  22. 22. A new standard in a hyper-connected economy:
  23. 23. Data& Control
  24. 24. “Minority Report” is becoming reality
  25. 25. Standards Transparency Trust Guarantees Interoperability The Commons
  26. 26. ...this cannot all be about commercial gains...
  27. 27. Who decides...?
  28. 28. A very important trend...
  29. 29. Ecosystems
  30. 30. The Future: ‘Inter-Connected Business Models’
  31. 31. Not value chains but value cycles (*Umair Haque) (*Umair Haque)
  32. 32. A new ICT | Media | AdvertisingEcosystem
  33. 33. TeleMedia Futures: a new ECOsystem Content (Creators, Publishers, Advertisers Distributors)Telcos & Opera- Device tors Makers Search & Tech Social Networks i.e. Media 2.0
  34. 34. Legal, easy and affordable availability of contentis a major factor in broadband uptake (and society!) source: flickr.com/sameli
  35. 35. Telemedia Futures: OTT Bundled Masses of NichesFreemium Going Direct Standardized Licenses source: flickr.com/sameli
  36. 36. Equality
  37. 37. Mobile
  38. 38. Dramatically increased importance of Mobile Broadband
  39. 39. OpenStandards
  40. 40. Obsession with Control inevitably leads to declineSource: ARS
  41. 41. One to many Many to Many
  42. 42. “The people formerly known as consumers”
  43. 43. Open Open LicensesTechnologies Ultra-fast Broadband OpenOpen Policies Business Models
  44. 44. Not sustainable
  45. 45. Welcome to the new worldview: ECOsystems Good luck. Protection breaks the EcoSystem
  46. 46. Urgent: Copy(Usage)-Right for a digital ecosystem
  47. 47. Sustainability
  48. 48. Balance
  49. 49. A slew of new, unprecedent ‘digital society challenges’
  50. 50. And considerable confusion
  51. 51. Innovation
  52. 52. Complete Reboot of Education and Learning
  53. 53. Interdependence
  54. 54. A Serious Paradigm Challenge Source: Tiffany Shlain: ‘Connected - The Movie’Source: Monty Metzger Monty.de
  55. 55. Hyper-Competition ➲ Hyper-Collaboration
  56. 56. Summary
  57. 57. Gerd.fm/freepdfs (Kindle)
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