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Structure 2014 - Where is compute headed - Joyent

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Presentation from Gigaom's Structure 2014 conference, June 21-22 in San Francisco
Where is compute headed
Bryan Cantrill, CTO, Joyent
#gigaomlive
More at http://events.gigaom.com/structure-2014/

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Structure 2014 - Where is compute headed - Joyent

  1. 1. WHERE IS COMPUTE HEADED IN THE NEAR FUTURE? Bryan Cantrill Joyent
  2. 2. Where is compute (physically) headed in the near future? Bryan Cantrill CTO bryan@joyent.com @bcantrill
  3. 3. History of computation as oscillation • The history of computation is one of repeated oscillation between centralization and decentralization • These oscillations are driven by economics: –Economies-of-scale drive towards centralization –Disruptive innovations drive towards decentralization • These oscillations can also be seen as the tension between control and freedom — with each having economic advantages with respect to the other
  4. 4. Cloud computing as centralizing force • By the 1960s, pundits foresaw an ultimate centralization: a compute utility that would be public and multi-tenant • The vision was four decades too early: it took the internet + virtualization + commodity compute to yield cloud computing • Public cloud computing is a centralizing force in that providers realize economies-of-scale — especially with respect to human capital and commodity hardware • But is it also a decentralizing force?
  5. 5. Cloud computing as decentralizing force • While the public cloud broadly is a centralizing force, inside the enterprise, cloud computing acts as a decentralizing force • The cloud presents disruptive price/performance that allows for freedom from internal IT schedules and pricing — and from legacy enterprise hardware providers (e.g. “blades and SANs”) • The net is reduced time-to-market for enterprise developers — which is especially important in emerging areas like mobile... • ...but growth of the cloud in the enterprise has reduced level of control — and can compromise its economic advantage
  6. 6. A heterogenous future • Enterprises want to retain the economics and freedom that the cloud represents, while reasserting the economics and control of a centralized IT organization • This points to a heterogeneous future: much enterprise compute will remain on-premises — but the public cloud will remain critical, driving both innovation and economics • The centralization/decentralization oscillation will remain, but the oscillations will not be in the technology itself, but rather in its deployment: public or on-premises
  7. 7. Whither compute? • There are three key determinants for public v. on-premises: –Economics: Rent vs. buy; OPEX vs. CAPEX –Risk Management: Security/compliance — and also risk factors associated with operator-as-threat –Latency: The speed of light is a constant! • These are all factors, but economics dominates: “private cloud” efforts that do not deliver public cloud economics will fail!
  8. 8. The public/on-premises disconnect • There are surprisingly few stacks that run both a multi-tenant public cloud and are available as a software product • AWS doesn’t (appear to) believe in an on-premises cloud — and leading public clouds are not based on OpenStack • For us at Joyent, both operating a public IaaS cloud and shipping its orchestration software (SmartDataCenter) has led to better engineering discipline and a superior artifact! • Viz.: many of our architectural decisions came from the kiln of unspeakable pain that is operating a public service
  9. 9. From heterogenous to hybrid? • To make the leap from a heterogenous cloud to a hybrid one, must have a common substrate that is run both on the public cloud and on-premises • Not enough to have mere “API compatibility”; for workloads to truly straddle the cloud, gritty details like authentication/authorization/accounting matter a great deal • This implies not just technical hurdles but organizational ones — and as a result, “true” hybrid cloud computing does not feel close at hand...
  10. 10. So where is compute headed? • As it always has, economics will chart the course • Public versus on-premises will not be one decision, but many — and many large enterprises will choose both • The common substrate will be elastic infrastructure and commodity hardware; it is not a choice between cloud computing and legacy enterprise glop! • We believe that there will be more unified providers that make available both infrastructure-as-a-service and the software to run infrastructure-as-a-service!

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