Future of Health Care, by Glen Hiemstra, Futurist.com

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Key slides on future of health care and insurance, part of longer keynote on future trends for Western States BCBS Internal Operations Conference, July 11, 2011 in Seattle. Glen Hiemstra, CEO and Founder of Futurist.com.

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Future of Health Care, by Glen Hiemstra, Futurist.com

  1. 1. What is your image of the Future? ©
  2. 2. HC Insurance…2014 and Beyond? Exchanges in place, unless they aren’t Customer movement to exchanges will be gradual, not instant The bigs are unlikely to move to exchange The small and middles more likely to move Blue job may ratchet further into consulting Insurance providers increasingly in transformed business - but what business? Change and uncertainty will dominate as this period begins - and this means opportunity for breakthrough ©
  3. 3. Medicine Today  Diagnostics: “pauciparameter”  Therapy—reactive  Prevention--minor role  Impersonal – generic answers ©
  4. 4. 1000 Persons in a month 800 report symptoms 327 consider seeking medical care 217 visit doctor 65 visit alt med 13 Emerg 8H 1 THEcology of Medical Care Revisited, 2001 (from Kerr White 1961) ©
  5. 5. Time to change health care itself viaintegrative medicine, systems biology, techand innovative approaches Oasis Diagnostics Corewerks Hoana ©
  6. 6. Medicine Future via Systems Biology Predictive:  Probabilistic health history-- DNA sequence, plus  Quarterly multi-parameter (2500) blood measurements, 50 markers, 50 organs Preventive:  Design of preventive measures via systems approaches Personalized:  Unique human variation mandates individual treatment Participatory Extend productive life span by 10-20 years over next 30 years Courtesy Leroy Hood: Institute for Systems Biology ©
  7. 7. What is My Image of the Future? Clinics every 5 miles, NP, PA, 3D & Robotic docs Frictionless records - each person surrounded by data cloud, an envelope of wellness information Exchanges have evolved: a non-profit collaboration between Gill Bates Foundation and former Medicare execs dominate with under 65’s because of their 95% ML ratio Blues have transformed to retail wellness solutions companies, based on the open and free business model Dr. Watson is your personal care avatar ©
  8. 8. What is My Image of the Future? Clinics every 5 miles, NP, PA, 3D & Robotic docs Frictionless records - each person surrounded by data cloud, an envelope of wellness information Exchanges have evolved: a non-profit collaboration between Gill Bates Foundation and former Medicare execs dominate with under 65’s because of their 95% ML ratio Blues have transformed to retail wellness solutions companies, based on the open and free business model Dr. Watson is your personal care avatar ©
  9. 9. What is My Image of the Future? Clinics every 5 miles, NP, PA, 3D & Robotic docs Frictionless records - each person surrounded by data cloud, an envelope of wellness information Exchanges have evolved: a non-profit collaboration between Gill Bates Foundation and former Medicare execs dominate with under 65’s because of their 95% ML ratio Blues have transformed to retail wellness solutions companies, based on the open and free business model Dr. Watson is your personal care avatar ©
  10. 10. Implications…. Change will be constant Opportunity to turn Health Data into Information, Knowledge and Wisdom, and Transform the companies by doing this Developing Greater Knowledge of Health and Disease Developing Infrastructure for Personalized & Participatory Health Care “For agents and brokers to compete effectively in this new environment, they must use the tools that they have relied on for decades: better service, more flexibility, more creativity and more consultation. Those that are excited about change and innovation and accept this new environment can expect to continue to grow and prosper.” ©

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