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Genauer 6

Interest rates, refugee numbers, Greece, household wealth, catch ratio, CDS, risk premiums, models

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Genauer 6

  1. 1. Genauer‘s sampler 6 of various graphs for various discussions (data as of 19 Aug 2016) page Long term history of interest rates of various Euro countries 2 Detail Short term history of interest rates of various Euro countries 3 Short term history of relevant Global interest rates of (G-7, Swiss ) 4 Development of the European Migration avalanche (UN data) 5 Development of the European Migration avalanche (log scale, projections) 6 8/19/2016 genauer 1 Development of the European Migration avalanche (log scale, projections) 6 Success ratio of Turkish border controls 7 European Migration avalanche , timeline of with events 8 Cross Balkan Migration developments, detailed, since February 2016 9 AfD vote in Germany 11 European Interest Rate development prior July 2012 12 CDS logs prior July 2012 13 US household wealth / disposable income 14
  2. 2. 8/19/2016 genauer 2
  3. 3. 8/19/2016 genauer 3 Germany hitting negative territory, even for 10 year Bunds, Portugal now off the plantantion by a more than 1% excess risk premium, Greece could be at 3%, if following the MoU 2 in Summer 2014
  4. 4. 8/19/2016 genauer 4
  5. 5. 8/19/2016 genauer 5
  6. 6. 8/19/2016 genauer 6
  7. 7. 8/19/2016 genauer 7
  8. 8. date event link 1/26/2015Tsipras http://www.irinnews.org/analysis/2015/01/26 3/5/2015Kammenos http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/islamic-state/11459675/Greeces-defence- minister-threatens-to-send-migrants-including-jihadists-to-Western-Europe.html 6/30/2015Hungarian/Serb Fence start https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hungarian_border_barrier 8/24/2015German internal memo http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/germany/11821822/Germany-drops- EU-rules-to-allow-in-Syrian-refugees.html 8/26/2015Russian deployment to Syria https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_military_intervention_in_the_Syrian_Civil_War 8/19/2016 genauer 8 9/11/2015Merkel selfies with migrants https://www.tagesschau.de/inland/merkel-bamf-berlin-101.html 9/14/2015 Hungarian/ Serb fence complete 9/18/2015 Hungarian/ Croat fence started 10/19/2015Merkel visits Erdogan http://www.bild.de/politik/ausland/fluechtlingskrise/merkel-trifft-erdogan- 43056366.bild.html 10/28/2015Austrian Fence started https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Austrian_border_barrier 11/11/2015Slovenian Fence started 11/29/2015Macedonian fence start https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Macedonian_border_barrier 1/22/2016Austrian Fence finished 2/22/2016Macedonia border closure 3/6/2016Macedonian 320 km fence 3/9/2016Slovenian border closed
  9. 9. 8/19/2016 genauer 9
  10. 10. 8/19/2016 genauer 10
  11. 11. AfD vote in Germany 8/19/2016 genauer 11
  12. 12. 8/19/2016 genauer 12
  13. 13. 8/19/2016 genauer 13
  14. 14. US household wealth / disposable income 8/19/2016 genauer 14

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