Foresights and Innovation
Sharing Singapore’s Experience




       31 March 2009, presented at Helsinki
CONTENT
    singapore context

    futures group & network

    process

    outputs & contributions

    lines of inquiry...
Singapore




3
singapore context

    •   Singapore’s economy
        grew by 1.1% in 2008

    •   GDP is SGD 257bn
        (USD 170bn)
...
innovation




    Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI

5
http://www.international.ac.uk/resources/Insead200809.pdf

6
http://www.itif.org/files/2009-atlantic-century.pdf

7
http://www.bcg.com/impact_expertise/publications/files/
Innovation_Imperative_in_Manufacturing_March_2009.pdf
CONTENT
    singapore context

    futures group & network

    process

    outputs & contributions

    lines of inquiry...
?
     Futures Group founded in May 2006


       “It is proposed that a unit be set up to strategise
        on MTI-famil...
?
        We are the trendwatchers,

           network builders, and
             idea generators

                      ...
singapore public service

                                    PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICE
                                    ...
singapore government
                                                                                  futures network
   ...
CONTENT
     singapore context

     futures group & network

     process

     outputs & contributions

     lines of in...
FG Process


                                 Ground

     1                      2
      Desk
                           ...
FG Process


         Literature,
     •
         Publications                                         Ground

           ...
FG Process


         Interviews,
     •
         Networks with                                        Ground

           ...
FG Process


         Genesis & Genesis
     •
         Plus Brainstorming                                   Ground

     ...
CONTENT
     singapore context

     futures group & network

     process

     outputs & contributions

     lines of in...
Outputs & Contributions
                Research                       Communications

                   ?
              ...
CONTENT
     singapore context

     futures group & network

     process

     outputs & contributions

     lines of in...
UNDERGROUND;
                             FLOATING


                            Alternative
                 Food        ...
CONTENT
singapore context

futures group & network

process

outputs & contributions

lines of inquiry

video


          ...
Rise of the Rest Video




          The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the
           post-Americ...
The Great Reset Video




             The Great Reset is our attempt to describe the world as it
           emerges from ...
Thank you


Follow us on:
www.futuresgroup.wordpress.com

Video and other downloads:
http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/dow...
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What Futures Group Is About

  1. 1. Foresights and Innovation Sharing Singapore’s Experience 31 March 2009, presented at Helsinki
  2. 2. CONTENT singapore context futures group & network process outputs & contributions lines of inquiry video 2
  3. 3. Singapore 3
  4. 4. singapore context • Singapore’s economy grew by 1.1% in 2008 • GDP is SGD 257bn (USD 170bn) • Very open economy, total trade is 3.5x GDP Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI 4
  5. 5. innovation Annual Economic Survey of Singapore, 2008, MTI 5
  6. 6. http://www.international.ac.uk/resources/Insead200809.pdf 6
  7. 7. http://www.itif.org/files/2009-atlantic-century.pdf 7
  8. 8. http://www.bcg.com/impact_expertise/publications/files/ Innovation_Imperative_in_Manufacturing_March_2009.pdf
  9. 9. CONTENT singapore context futures group & network process outputs & contributions lines of inquiry video 9
  10. 10. ? Futures Group founded in May 2006 “It is proposed that a unit be set up to strategise on MTI-family wide direction and look at future big ideas... … The unit would focus on big ideas ! with concrete feasibility and economic impact…” - MTI Leadership Nov 2005 10
  11. 11. ? We are the trendwatchers, network builders, and idea generators ! for the Singapore economy of the future 11
  12. 12. singapore public service PRIME MINISTER’S OFFICE PUBLIC SERVICE DIVISION SECURITY ECONOMIC SOCIAL Ministry of Defence Ministry of Trade & Industry Ministry of Education Ministry of Communications, Ministry of Foreign Affairs Ministry of Finance Youth and Sports Ministry of Home Affairs Ministry of Transport Ministry of Health Ministry of the Environment Ministry of Information, and Water Resources Communications and the Arts Ministry of National Ministry of Law Development Ministry of Manpower 12
  13. 13. singapore government futures network Broad-based National Security Coordination Secretariat Strategic Policy Office (Horizon scanning & foresights capabilities) (National scenarios & methodologies) Ministry of Trade and Industry Futures Group Economic Development Board (Trends and economic implications) (New economic clusters/ industries) Niche topics Infocomm Development Authority Energy Market Authority (ICT trends and implications) (Energy trends & scenarios) Ministry of Manpower Singapore Tourism Board (Workforce and labour trends) (Tourism trends & scenarios) Ministry of Defence ……… (Security and military issues) Pioneers 13
  14. 14. CONTENT singapore context futures group & network process outputs & contributions lines of inquiry video 14
  15. 15. FG Process Ground 1 2 Desk Sensing, Research Validation Analysis, 3 Ideation, Knowledge Sharing 15
  16. 16. FG Process Literature, • Publications Ground 1 2 Desk Sensing, Web Scans Research • Validation Blogs, Videos, RSS • Feeds Analysis, 3 Ideation, Knowledge Sharing 16
  17. 17. FG Process Interviews, • Networks with Ground 1 2 Desk private sector & Sensing, Research external agencies Validation Foresight Sessions • with experts Conferences, • Seminars, Study Trips Analysis, 3 Ideation, Knowledge Sharing 17
  18. 18. FG Process Genesis & Genesis • Plus Brainstorming Ground 1 2 Desk Sensing, Presentations to Research • Validation senior management & decision-makers Ideas, Projects & • Experiments Analysis, Other Meetings & 3 • Ideation, Workshops Knowledge Sharing 18
  19. 19. CONTENT singapore context futures group & network process outputs & contributions lines of inquiry video 19
  20. 20. Outputs & Contributions Research Communications ? ! The Great Rise of the Lines of Inquiry Reset Video Rest Video FG Blog Country Highlights Methodology Project Teams/ Inputs Talent Future of Emerging S. Korea Finland Strategies Global Demand Strategic Issues 20
  21. 21. CONTENT singapore context futures group & network process outputs & contributions lines of inquiry video 21
  22. 22. UNDERGROUND; FLOATING Alternative Food GLOBAL Spaces CITY Green Cities II Cities I RESOURCE CONSTRAINTS Portable Power Trash Data Visualization Enterprises Smart City LINES OF INQUIRY Trends (5-10 years) Economic Implications? Jobs? Growth? So what? Silver TOOLS & $2,000 ECONOMY TECHNOLOGIES No-frills Space ! Disaster 3D Mfg Participation Deviant Little Gold Red PEOPLE COMMUNITIES Cognitive Science Talent iBody Youth 22
  23. 23. CONTENT singapore context futures group & network process outputs & contributions lines of inquiry video 23
  24. 24. Rise of the Rest Video The Rise of the Rest is a term coined by Fareed Zakaria on the post-American world. It is a world not marked by American decline, but the rise of everybody else. http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/2008/10/08/rise-of-the-rest-the-video/ 24
  25. 25. The Great Reset Video The Great Reset is our attempt to describe the world as it emerges from the fog of the current crisis. We envision three scenarios in which the world could emerge from the crisis. http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/greatreset/ 25
  26. 26. Thank you Follow us on: www.futuresgroup.wordpress.com Video and other downloads: http://futuresgroup.wordpress.com/downloads/ Topics presented are on-going research and do not represent official policy statements or directions.

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