Our second ‘World in 2030’ foresight focuses on the growing threat from migrating diseases that are being enabled by the escalating implications of global warming.
The fast-developing view is that with 2oC of global warming probable and 4oC possible, health systems will struggle to address the growing impact of climate change. The increased spread of vector-borne diseases is joining poor air quality as a major public health threat.
More anticipate an extension of the reach and duration of tropical disease alongside the re-emergence of old infections. Certainly, warmer conditions and changes in precipitation are facilitating the expansion of disease-carrying vectors, such as mosquitoes and ticks. Dengue fever has joined malaria and Lyme’s on the list of fast-spreading diseases that are, most significantly, entering countries with little or no prior experience of them. To stem the tide, improved surveillance, enhanced HCP education and better public understanding are all being called for.
This foresight is one of 50 looking at the key issues for the next decade that are being shared throughout 2020.