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Future of m2 m iot m2m forum cee - vienna - 9 june 2015 lr


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Future of m2 m iot m2m forum cee - vienna - 9 june 2015 lr

  1. 1. The  Future  of  M2M  /  IOT  |  M2M  Forum  CEE  |  Vienna|  9  June  2015  
  2. 2. This  a>ernoon  we  will  share  4  perspecDves   Looking  Ahead  and  Future  Agenda   M2M  Insights  from  2010  for  2020   M2M  Insights  for  the  Future  from  Future  Agenda  2.0   Areas  where  M2M  TransformaDon  is  Needed  
  3. 3. Looking  Ahead  and  Future  Agenda  
  4. 4. Looking  Forwards   OrganisaDons  increasingly  want  to  idenDfy  and  understand    both  the  anDcipated  and  unexpected  changes     so  that  they  can  be  bePer  prepared  for  the  future.  
  5. 5. Future  Agenda   The  Future  Agenda  is  the  world’s  largest  open  foresight  program     that  accesses  mulDple  views  of  the  next  decade  from  around  the     world  so  all  can  be  bePer  informed  and  sDmulate  innovaDon.  
  6. 6. FA  1.0  Top  Insights  for  2020   From  the  2010  program,  50+  key  insights  on  the  next  decade  were  shared   widely  via  books  and  online  and  have  been  extensively  used  by  many   organisaDons  around  the  world.  Several  relate  to  the  impact  of  M2M  /  IOT.  
  7. 7. Ubiquitous  Data  Access   By  2020,  we  will  finally  be  connected  everywhere  -­‐  everything     that  can  benefit  from  a  network  connecDon  will  have  one  and     all  will  have  the  potenDal  to  access  more  informaDon.  
  8. 8. All  DigiAzed   By  2020  all  the  world’s  informaDon  is  digiDzed,  storage  is  nearly     free  and  the  volume  of  data  in  the  world  is  doubling  monthly  –     we  can  all  instantly  access  the  21st  century  archive.  
  9. 9. Dynamic  Pricing   Real-­‐Dme  data  from  pervasive  smart  meters,  intelligent  infrastructures     and  ubiquitous  tracking  services  create  plaorms  for  the  dynamic     pricing  of  resources,  access  and  travel  to  manage  demand.  
  10. 10. Owning  Your  Digital  Shadow   Increasing  consumer  awareness  of  the  value  of  their  digital  footprints     drives  the  desire  for  greater  ownership  and  control  of  personal  data     -­‐  balancing  access  with  convenience  and  benefit.  
  11. 11. PredicAve  AnalyAcs   The  mining  and  (re)combinaDon  of  mulDple  disparate  data  sources  to     model  and  analyze  current  and  historical  facts  enable  more  organisaDons    to  predict  future  acDons  and  bePer  anDcipate  emergent  needs.  
  12. 12. Intelligent  buildings   Smarter,  bePer  connected,  self-­‐monitoring  homes     and  offices  provide  safer,  more  secure,  low  energy     buildings  able  to  self-­‐manage  uDliDes    
  13. 13. Drivers  of  Smart  CiAes   In  the  past  few  years  we  have  seen  clear  progress  on  the     Smart  CiDes  ambiDon  –  much  of  which  has  been  focused   on  collaboraDon  with  some  key  mulDnaDonals.  
  14. 14. Intel  |  San  Jose   Intel’s  collaboraDon  with  the  city  of  San  Jose  is  a  demonstrator  of   the  capability  of  the  ‘Internet  of  Things’  focused  on  improving  air  quality,    noise  polluDon  and  traffic  flows  via  a  more  connected  infrastructure.  
  15. 15. Cisco  |  Songdo   Songdo  in  Korea  has  embraced  Cisco’s  ‘Smart+Connected’  view  of  the  city.   Ubiquitous  data  sharing,  automated  buildings,  high-­‐speed  networks  and   pervasive  interacDon  are  all  part  of  the  connected  ideal.  
  16. 16. Smarter  CiAzens   A  big  quesDon  however  concerns  how  much  ciDes  can  be  intelligent  in     themselves  vs.  enabling  ciDzens  to  be  more  informed,  take  bePer  decisions   and  so  parDcipate  more  in  the  development  and  execuDon  of  key  strategies.  
  17. 17. Future  Agenda  2.0  in  Numbers   The  first  Future  Agenda  programme  engaged  many  views  in  25  countries.   Future  Agenda  2.0  is  doubling  the  face-­‐to-­‐face  interacDon,  engaging  directly   with  100,000  consumers  and  raising  online  sharing,  debate  and  discussion.   Future  Agenda  1.0     1  HOST  (Vodafone)   16  TOPICS   25  COUNTRIES   50  WORKSHOPS   1500  ORGANISATIONS   Future  Agenda  2.0     35  HOSTS   20  TOPICS   50  COUNTRIES   100  WORKSHOPS   2500  ORGANISATIONS  
  18. 18. Everything  Connected     By  2025,  people  may  demand  mobile  networks  that  allow  them  to  broadcast   live  video  feeds  to  thousands  of  other  users  in  real-­‐Dme  …  billions  of  machines   and  objects  will  be  linked  by  mobile  broadband  networks.  
  19. 19. Intelligent  Networks     Self-­‐aware,  self-­‐adapDng,  intelligent  networks  will  be  able  to  understand     their  user’s  needs  and  automaDcally  act  to  deliver  the  best,     personalised  experience  at  a  substanDally  reduced  cost.  
  20. 20. Knowing  The  Unknown   By  2020  people  and  connected  objects  will  generate  40  trillion  gigabytes  of   data  that  will  have  an  impact  on  daily  life  in  one  way  or  another.  This  data  will   make  known  about  us  things  that  were  previously  unknown  or  unknowable.  
  21. 21. Linkability  of  Open  Data   No  data  will  be  truly  anonymous:  Current  open  data  pracDce  assumes  that   technology  will  be  not  be  able  to  relink  it  to  its  source.  This  is  not  the    case  and  so,  by  2025,  we  will  see  different  levels  of  de-­‐idenDficaDon.    
  22. 22. Global  vs.  Local   Technology  is  by  its  very  nature  global  and  data  does  not  respect  naDonal   boundaries.  Can  naDon  states  conDnue  to  set  the  rules  or  will  tension  in  global   interoperability  drive  us  to  design  for  global  standards  but  with  localised  use?  
  23. 23. Value  of  Data   There  is  a  huge  economic  incenDve  to  generate  and  collect  data  from     whatever  sources  it  becomes  available.  As  more  data  from  more  things   becomes  available,  we  can  expect  to  see  a  data  ‘land  grab’  by  organisaDons.    
  24. 24. Data  Marketplaces     Data  is  a  currency,  it  has  a  value  and  a  price,  and  therefore  requires  a     market  place.  An  ecosystem  for  trading  data  is  emerging  -­‐  anything     that  is  informaDon  will  be  represented  in  new  data  marketplaces.    
  25. 25. Energy  Efficiency  –  The  Invisible  Fuel   The  cheapest  and  cleanest  form  of  energy  is  the  energy  we  don’t  use.  AdopDon   of  effecDve  energy  efficiency  measures  and  careful  management  of  energy   demand  will  play  a  key  role  in  creaDng  a  clean,  low  cost  energy  future.  
  26. 26. Smarter  ConsumpAon   Much  technology  for  energy  efficiency  is  proven  and  implementable  today.  In   the  future  governments  will    first  focus  on  geong  the  basics  of  demand  side   right  -­‐  by  reducing  consumpDon  before  invesDng  heavily  in  renewable  energy.  
  27. 27. Rise  of  the  Micro-­‐Actors   We  can  see  a  blurring  of  energy  consumers  and  producers  –  to  ‘prosumers’   who  do  both.  Hence  a  move  to  mulDple  micro-­‐actors  working  individually  and   collecDvely  -­‐  supported  by  new  technological  developments,  including  storage.    
  28. 28. Technology  Takeover   There  is  a  widespread  fear  that  the  rise  of  robots  -­‐  or  more  exactly,  a   combinaDon  of  compuDng  power,  algorithms  and  roboDcs  -­‐  will  destroy     the  labour  market,  even,  possibly,  the  very  idea  of  labour  value.  
  29. 29. Hollowing  Out  the  Professions   Technology  is  challenging  the  white-­‐collar  worker  and  automaDng  both     middle  and  high-­‐end  jobs.  The  future  will  see  fewer  accountants,  lawyers    and  doctors  and  a  hollowing  out  of  the  previously  ‘safe’  professions.  
  30. 30. Skill  ConcentraAons   The  growth  of  the  nomadic  global  elite  ciDzenship  accelerates  the   concentraDon  of  the  high-­‐skill  /  high-­‐reward  opportuniDes  within  a  select     group  of  globally-­‐connected  ciDzens,  who  move  ahead  of  the  urban  pack.  
  31. 31. Privacy  is  a  Public  Issue   The  public’s  percepDon  of  the  threats  to  privacy,  personal  freedom     and  autonomy  is  growing.  Privacy  has  already  emerged  beyond  a     niche,  specialist  concern  to  being  a  mainstream  public  issue.    
  32. 32. Broader  Cyber  Terrorism   Cyber  aPacks  move  from  the  virtual  world  to  the  physical  -­‐  aPacking  planes,     uDliDes  and  industrial  systems.  Some  see  a  corresponding  slow  down  in     the  adopDon  of  sensors  and  wider  use  of  private  encrypDon  technologies.    
  33. 33. Personally  Curated  Data   ‘Personally  curated’  sources  of  data  will  have  higher  value  simply  due  to  the   fact  that  they  will  represent  the  actual  wishes  and  desires  of  an  individual,   rather  than  the  presumed  wishes  and  desires  based  on  derived  data.    
  34. 34. Public  Data    Economically  connected  data  can  play  a  significant  role  that  will  benefit  not   only  private  commerce  but  also  naDonal  economies  and  their  ciDzens.  Analysis   can  provide  the  public  sector  with  a  new  world  of  performance  potenDal.    
  35. 35. Other  Areas  That  Can  Gain  From  M2M  TransformaAon  
  36. 36. Inequality  On  The  Agenda   Inequality  has  become  a  concern  not  just  for  developing  countries  but  also  for   those  in  the  West:  The  majority  believe  the  most  pressing  problem  is  inequality   of  wealth  as  well  as  unequal  access  to  health  and  digital  connecDvity.  
  37. 37. Smart  CiAes  vs.  FloaAng  CiAes   Climate  change  poses  a  worrying  challenge  for  ciDes.  50%  of  ciDes  are  dealing   with  its  effects,  and  nearly  all  are  at  risk.  Over  90%  of  all  urban  areas  are   coastal,  puong  most  major  ciDes  on  the  planet  at  risk  of  flooding.    
  38. 38. Uninsured  CiAes   The  ten  most  ‘at  risk  ciDes’  from  climate  change  globally  already  have  a   combined  populaDon  of  over  150m  and  are  projected  to  have  grown  by  a   further  50%  by  2025  –  Few,  if  any,  will  be  insured.  
  39. 39. Calgary  –  Flooding  Liability   Following  the  2013  floods,  the  government  in  Calgary,  Canada,  gave  many   homeowners  a  one-­‐off  payment  with  the  opDon  to  either  rebuild  or  relocate.   No  future  state  help  would  be  available.  
  40. 40. Reducing  Food  Waste   Postharvest  losses  of  plant  foods  can  be  substanDal  in  developing  countries   and  amount  to  30-­‐50%  of  producDon.  In  developed  countries  we  throw  away  a   similar  proporDon.  The  combined  loss  would  feed  about  3  billion  people.  
  41. 41. Future  Agenda   84  Brook  Street   London   W1K  5EH   +44  203  0088  141   The  world’s  leading  open  foresight  program   What  do  you  think?   Join  In  |  Add  your  views  into  the  mix