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The Internet - Where Next?


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Mark Wilson's presentation to the British Computer Society's Internet Specialist Group from 15 September 2011.

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The Internet - Where Next?

  1. 1. The Internet: Where Next?<br />Mark Wilson<br />British Computer Society, Internet Specialist Group: September 2011<br />
  2. 2. Image source: Flickr<br />
  3. 3. Image source: Flickr<br />
  4. 4. Agenda<br />A quick look a major steps in the development of the Internet<br />Looking forward:<br />A human-centric Internet<br />The future Internet<br />The intelligent society<br />
  5. 5. Cautionary Statement <br />These presentation materials and other information on our meeting may contain forward-looking statements that are based<br />on management’s current views and assumptions, and involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results, performance or events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Words such as “anticipates,” “believes,” “expects,” “estimates,” “intends,” “plans,” “projects,” and similar expressions that indicate future<br />events and trends identify forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially from those projected or implied<br />in the forward-looking statements due to, without limitation, the following factors:<br />General economic and market conditions in the major geographic markets for Fujitsu’s services and products, which are<br />the United States, the EU, Japan and elsewhere in Asia, particularly as such conditions may effect customer spending;<br />Rapid technological change, fluctuations in customer demand and intensifying price competition in the IT,<br />telecommunications, and microelectronics markets in which Fujitsu competes;<br />Fujitsu’s ability to dispose of non-core businesses and related assets through strategic alliances and sales on commercially<br />reasonable terms, and the effect of realization of losses, which may result from such transactions;<br />Uncertainty as to Fujitsu’s access to, or protection for, certain intellectual property rights;<br />Uncertainty as to the performance of Fujitsu’s strategic business partners;<br />Declines in the market prices of Japanese and foreign equity securities held by Fujitsu, which could cause Fujitsu to<br />recognize significant losses in the value of its holdings and require Fujitsu to make significant additional contributions<br />to its pension funds in order to make up shortfalls in minimum reserve requirements resulting from such declines;<br />Poor operating results, inability to access financing on commercially reasonable terms, insolvency or bankruptcy of Fujitsu’s customers, any of which factors could adversely affect or preclude these customers’ ability to timely pay accounts receivables owed to Fujitsu; and Fluctuations in rates of exchange for the yen and other currencies in which Fujitsu makes significant<br />sales or in which Fujitsu’s assets and liabilities are denominated, particularly between the yen and the British pound and<br />U.S. dollar, respectively.<br />
  6. 6. Where have we come from?<br />
  7. 7. If I wanted to be really predictable…<br />Mainframe<br />Client/server<br />Web<br />Cloud<br />Image source: Wikipedia<br />
  8. 8. Waves of computing<br />
  9. 9. Waves of computing<br />
  10. 10. Increased mobile Internet usage:<br />45% of people use the ‘net whilst mobile today cf. 31% in 2010<br />If we look at 16-24 year-olds it’s 71%<br />The use of wireless hotspots almost doubled in the last 12 months to 4.9 million users<br />Domestic Internet usage is also rising but slowly:<br />77% of households have access to the Internet (up 4% on 2010)<br />Half of the remaining 23% believe they “don’t need the Internet”<br />UK Internet usage today<br />Read more at<br />
  11. 11. Internet evolution<br />Human-centric computing<br />Watch more at<br />
  12. 12. World empires c1898<br />Image source: Wikispaces<br />
  13. 13. World map of social networks<br />Image source: Vincenzo Cosenza, using data from Google Trends for Websites/Alexa<br />
  14. 14. Where next?<br />The Future Internet<br />
  15. 15. “The Future Internet: <br />An evolving convergent Internet of things and services that is available anywhere, anytime as part of an all-pervasive omnipresent socio–economic fabric, made up of converged services, shared data and an advanced wireless and fixed infrastructure linking people and machines to provide advanced services to business and citizens.”<br />[Technology Strategy Board Future Internet Report, May 2011]<br />
  16. 16. “The Future Internet environment is brought about by technologies that allow the capture of a vastly increased amount of data, ranging from high-definition video to a massive increase in low-cost multipurpose sensors. The number of connected devices is set to increase worldwide from the current level of 4.5 billion to 50 billion by 2020. This, together with other data sources, has driven the amount of data in the world up to a staggering 988 exabytes in 2010, roughly equivalent to a stack of books stretching from the Sun to Pluto and back.”<br />[Technology Strategy Board Future Internet Report, May 2011]<br />
  17. 17. The future Internet<br /><ul><li>New technology and business models
  18. 18. Massive opportunity for business, society and government
  19. 19. Much more than just faster broadband!
  20. 20. Happening outside the UK – and starting to happen here too</li></ul>Read more at<br />&folderId=4202359&name=DLFE-39125.pdf<br />
  21. 21. Capable access mechanism<br />Bandwidth (super high definition video)<br />Expansion of address space (IPv6)<br />Multi-purpose, low cost, wireless sensor architectures<br />Cloud infrastructure<br />Move away from “walled gardens” towards data-as-a-service<br />Individual control over data provided (consented), including ability to withdraw data<br />Infrastructure needs to support machine to machine (M2M) transactions<br />Converged services<br />Transformational change in service delivery (public/private)<br />New class of service provider – broker of service elements<br />Enabling components<br />
  22. 22. A vision for the Future Internet<br />The Intelligent Society<br />
  23. 23. The Intelligent Society<br />Harmonising the physical world…<br />…and the digital world<br />
  24. 24. Technology - the old way<br />Experts only<br />Tailor-made<br />Static and<br />inflexible<br />Stateful<br />
  25. 25. Technology – the new way<br />Commoditised<br />Commoditised<br />Accessible to all<br />On-demand<br />Stateless<br />Stateless<br />
  26. 26. Change is about innovation and timing<br />
  27. 27. And key technologies are now maturing<br />Digital Utilities<br />Networks<br />Devices<br />& sensors<br />
  28. 28. The physical world - devices and sensors<br />
  29. 29. Connecting - networks and telecoms<br />
  30. 30. The digital world – computing & intelligence<br />
  31. 31. Intelligent Society in action<br />Network<br />Digital World<br />Physical World<br />Energy<br />Super computing<br />Consumers and citizens… <br />…and their needs<br />Control , insight, ‘smart’ responses<br />Fusion<br />Transport<br />Cloud platforms<br />Logistics<br />Dynamic security<br />Health<br />Data from many devices and sensors<br />Data analysis<br />Food<br />Situation awareness<br />Data & Information<br />Water<br />Appropriate Services<br />
  32. 32. Our 12 predictions for the future<br />Read more at<br />
  33. 33. Wrapping things up<br />
  34. 34. Bringing it together…<br />A vision of benefit for society<br />Changing principles and mindsets<br />Within our reach…<br />Maturing technologies<br />
  35. 35. CTO Blog:<br /><br /><br />Technology Perspectives:<br /><br />Contact me:<br />tel:+44-7867824753<br /><br />@markwilsonit *<br /> * Personal views, not endorsed by Fujitsu<br />More information<br />
  36. 36. Supporting material<br />Removed from main presentation but may still be of use<br />
  37. 37. The world is becoming borderless<br />
  38. 38. Steamship routes of the world c1900<br />Image source: Princeton University<br />
  39. 39. Internet map: city-to-city connections<br />Image source:<br />
  40. 40. Internet map: connection density<br />Image source:<br />
  41. 41. The earth at night<br />Image source: NASA<br />
  42. 42. “Happiness”<br />The Internet of the future: seen by today’s children<br />Image source: Paradiso (First Class Khatulistiwa Children Fun Art Pontianak, Indonesia)<br />See more at<br />
  43. 43.
  44. 44. About the author <br />Mark Wilson, Strategy Manager, Fujitsu<br />Mark is an analyst working within Fujitsu’s UK and Ireland Office of the CTO, providing thought leadership both internally and to customers, shaping business and technology strategy. He has 17 years' experience of working in the IT industry, 12 of which have been with Fujitsu. Mark has a background in leading large IT infrastructure projects with customers in the UK, mainland Europe and Australia. He has a degree in Computer Studies from the University of Glamorgan. Mark is also active in social media and won the Individual IT Professional (Male) award in the 2010 Computer Weekly IT Blog Awards. Mark may be found on Twitter @markwilsonit. <br />If you would like to comment on the topics in this presentation, Mark would welcome your feedback, by email to<br />Special thanks are due to Ken Ashida, David Gentle, Vin Hughes, Mark Locke, Alex Macadam, Ian Mitchell, Aran Rees and David Smith for their assistance in preparing this presentation.<br />