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Quasi-linear approaches to
large-scale atmospheric flows
(or: how turbulent is the atmosphere?)
Farid Ait-Chaalal(1),
in collaboration with:
Tapio Schneider(1,3) and Brad Marston(2)
(1)ETH, Zurich, Switzerland, (2)Brown University, Providence, USA
(3)Caltech, Pasadena, USA


The general circulation
Superposition of a mean flow and turbulent eddies
Source: EUMETSAT, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2Gy8V0Dv78
March 2013 brightness temperature (clouds)
Relative vorticity (s-1) at 725 hPa in an idealized dry GCM
The general circulation
FMS GFDL pseudospectral dynamical core
Radiation: Newtonian relaxation of temperatures toward a fixed
profile
Convection: Relaxation of the vertical lapse rate toward 

0.7 ⨉ (dry adiabatic)
Uniform surface, no seasonal cycle
Run at T85 (256 x 128 in physical space) with 30 vertical sigma-
levels
600 days average after 1400 days spin-up
(Held and Suarez, 1994; Schneider andWalker, 2006)
An idealized dry general circulation model (GCM)
Convenient to play with:We can change rotation rate, pole-to-
equator temperature contrast, surface friction, convection, etc….
Contours:
Zonal flow
(m/s)

Green line:
Tropopause
Sigma
30
20
10
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−1
−0.5
0
0.5Sigma
4020
10
10
b
0.2
0.8
−0.5
0
0.5
Latitude
Mid-latitude jet
Surface westerlies
Surface easterlies

(trade winds)
An idealized dry GCM:The mean zonal flow
Sigma
30
30
20
10
20
10
−10
295
320
350
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−30
−20
−10
0
10
20
30
Colors:
Eddy momentum
flux (EMF)
convergence

Contours:
Zonal flow
(m s-1)

Dotted lines:
Potential
temperature (K)

Green line:
Tropopause
Eddy momentum
flux (EMF)
Friction on surface westerlies
balances vertically averaged 

convergence of momentum
Friction on easterlies (trade winds)
balances vertically averaged 

divergence of momentum
(Held 2000, Schneider 2006)
u0v0 cos
EMFconvergence(10-6ms-2)
Eddy zonal
wind
Eddy meridional
wind
Overbar:
zonal-time mean
Eddy momentum flux
An idealized dry GCM:The mean zonal flow
a = a + a0
Sigma
53
1
3
1
−5
−3
−1
−3
−1
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−30
−20
−10
0
10
20
30
Colors:
Eddy momentum
flux (EMF)
convergence 

(10-6 m s-2)
Contours:
Mass stream
function
(1010 kg s-1)

Dotted lines:
Potential
temperature (K)

Green line:
Tropopause
Ferrel cell
(Coriolis torque on the upper branch balances locally 

EMF convergence)
Hadley cell
(Coriolis torque on the upper branch balances locally 

EMF divergence)
(Held 2000, Schneider 2006,Walker and Schneider 2006, Korty and Schneider 2007, Levine and Schneider 2015, etc…)
An idealized dry GCM:The mean meridional flow
Streamfunction(1010kgs-1)
Eddy momentum flux
Heating the poles and cooling the equator
Warm pole
Cold tropics
Near surface
temperature
Near surface
relative vorticity
Westerlies
Easterlies
(Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
Heating the poles and cooling the equator
Reversed insolation
Latitude
Sigma
2
2
−2
−10
−20
−40 −40
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−10
−5
0
5
10
Latitude
Sigma
295
320
350
e
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−1
0
1
Earth-Like
EMF(m2s-2)Streamfunction(1010kgs-1)
Latitude
Sigma
30
20
10
5
−5
−5
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−40
−30
−20
−10
0
10
20
30
40
Latitude
Sigma
295
320
350
f
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−6
0
6
Contours: Zonal mean flow (m/s) Dotted lines: Potential temperature (K) Green line:Tropopause
(Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
EMF(m2s-2)Streamfunction(1010kgs-1)
Large-scale eddies and the general circulation
Large-scale motion in the atmosphere is controlled by eddy—
mean-flow interactions (e.g., Held 2000, Schneider 2006).
Atmospheric flows look linear from macroturbulent 

scalings and do not exhibit nonlinear cascades of energy over a
wide range of parameters (Schneider and Walker 2006, Schneider
andWalker 2008, Chai andVallis 2014)
What happens if we retain eddy-mean flow
interactions and neglect eddy-eddy interactions, in
other words if we make a quasi-linear (QL)
approximation?
Why is the QL approximation interesting?
QL dynamics ~ closing the equations for statistical moments
at the second order
Is it possible to build statistical models to “solve climate”
based on QL dynamics as a closure strategy?
"More than any other theoretical procedure, numerical integration is also
subject to the criticism that it yields little insight into the problem. The
computed numbers are not only processed like data but they look like data,
and a study of them may be no more enlightening than a study of real
meteorological observations. An alternative procedure which does not
suffer this disadvantage consists of deriving a new system of equations
whose unknowns are the statistics themselves...."
Edward Lorenz, The Nature and Theory of the General Circulation of the
Atmosphere (1967)
The QL approximation
Take for example the meridional advection of a scalar (zonal mean/
eddy decomposition)
a = a + a0
@a
@t
= v
@a
@y
v
@a0
@y
v0 @a
@y
v0 @a0
@y
@a
@t
= v
@a
@y
v
@a0
@y
v0 @a
@y
v0
@a0
@y
becomes
Equation for the mean flow:
Equation for the eddies:
@a0
@t
= ¯v
@a0
@y
v0 @¯a
@y
(v0 @a0
@y
v0
@a0
@y
).
QL
@¯a
@t
= ¯v
@¯a
@y
v0
@a0
@y
.
Removing eddy-eddy interactions in the GCM:
Eddy-eddy interactions
(O’Gorman and Schneider 2007; Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015)
@a
@t
= v
@a
@y
= ¯v
@¯a
@y
¯v
@a0
@y
v0 @¯a
@y
v0 @a0
@y
The QL approximation conserves invariants consistent with the order of
truncation, for example zonal momentum and energy (Marston et al., 2014).



In the literature
Stochastic structural stability (S3T) theory to study coherent structures in
stable flows: Farrell, Ioannou, Bakas, Krommes, Parker, etc…
Cumulant expansions of second order (CE2): Marston, Srinivasan,Young, etc…
Some attempts to recover atmospheric statistics from linearized GCMs with a
stochastic forcing: Whitaker and Sardeshmuck, 1998; Zhang and Held 1999; Delsole
2001



Here: we look at unstable planetary baroclinic flows with large-scale forcing
and dissipation.
The QL approximation
Full
The QL approximation: Mean zonal flow
Contours:
Zonal flow (m/s)

Green line:
Tropopause
Sigma
30
20
10
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−1
−0.5
0
0.5
Latitude
Sigma
40
20
10
10
b
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−1
−0.5
0
0.5
(O’gorman and
Schneider, 2007)
QL
Eddy Momentum Flux Divergence
Colors:
Eddy momentum
flux (EMF)

Contours:
Zonal flow (m/s)

Dotted lines:
Potential
temperature (K)

Green line:
Tropopause
The QL approximation:The eddy momentum flux
EMF(m2s-2)EMF(m2s-2)
Full
Sigma
30
2010
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−50
0
50
Latitude
Sigma
40
10
10
b
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−20
−10
0
10
20
(Ait-Chaalal and
Schneider, 2015)
QL
Eddy Momentum Flux Divergence
Colors:
Eddy kinetic
energy (EKE)

Contours:
Zonal mean flow
(m/s)

Dotted lines:
Potential
temperature (K)

Green line:
Tropopause
EKE(m2s-2)EKE(m2s-2)
Full
Sigma
30
20
10
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
100
200
300
Latitude
Sigma
10
10
40
b
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
150
250
350
(Ait-Chaalal and
Schneider, 2015)
QL
0.5 (u02 + v02)
The QL approximation:The eddy kinetic energy
How is large-scale eddy decay captured in the QL
model?
Why is the eddy momentum flux not maximum in the upper
troposphere in the QL model ? 

Why are weak momentum fluxes associated with high EKE in the
QL model?
The QL approximation: Summary
5/29/13 7:28 PMMac App Store - GCM
MacMac
Screenshots
Description
Idealized General Circulation Models (GCMs) of planetary atmospheres, solved by a variety of methods.
GCM Support
What's New in Version 1.0.4
New wave lifecycle model, better organized menu. Bug fixes to CE3 (now conserves 3rd Casimir) and the calculation
of the eddy diffusivity.
Free
Category: Education
Updated: May 23, 2013
Version: 1.0.4
Size: 1.4 MB
Language: English
Seller: Brad Marston
© 2013 M3 Research
Rated 4+
Requirements: OS X 10.8.3 or
later, 64-bit processor
Customer Ratings
We have not received enough
ratings to display an average for
the current version of this
application.
All Versions:
8 Ratings
GCM
By Brad Marston
Open the Mac App Store to buy and download apps.
GCM, by Brad Marston
Solves one-layer and two-layers models of the atmosphere in spectral space
and on the geodesic grid
Solves for averages and equal-time two-point correlations (direct statistical
simulations, CE2 at the second order, CE3 at the their order)
Length nondimensionalized
with planet radius
Time nondimensionalized
with day length
A prototype model for the upper troposphere
Two-dimensional flow (barotropic)
Wavenumber 6 perturbation in a westerly jet
Initial value problem: how does the perturbation decay when eddy-
eddy interactions are suppressed?
Relative vorticity field
Vorticity of the eddies about 6 times larger than that of the mean flow.
Rossby number of order 0.2 in mid-latitudes.
Jet relative vorticity Jet + eddies relative vorticity
“Earth-like” parameters, large-amplitude eddies
An prototype model for the upper troposphere
Relative vorticity field
“Earth-like” parameters, large-amplitude eddies
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-0.01
-0.001
0
0.001
0.01
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-0.01
-0.001
0
0.001
0.01
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-0.01
-0.001
0
0.001
0.01
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-0.01
-0.001
0
0.001
0.01
x10-3
10
1
0
-1
-10Eddy kinetic energy Eddy kinetic energy
Eddy momentum flux convergence Eddy momentum flux convergence
x10-3
10
0
-10
x10-3
10
0
-10
x10-3
10
1
0
-1
-10
Time Time
Time Time
(Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015)
Full QL (CE2)
An prototype model for the upper troposphere
The QL dynamics
d
T = 1.2 T = 4.0
T = 5.9 T = 17.5
a b
c e
V
10
0
-1
-10T = 7.5
X
X
1
Relativevorticity
Relative vorticity field evolution in the QL approximation
The fully nonlinear dynamics
Day 1.2 Day 4.0
Day 7.5 Day 17.5
a b
d e
Day 5.9c
7
0.7
0
-0.7
-7
X
X X X
T = 1.2 T = 4.0
T = 5.9 T = 7.5 T = 17.5
10
1
0
-1
-10-10
Relativevorticity
Relative vorticity field evolution in the fully nonlinear dynamics
(for some theory, seeWarn andWarn 1978 or Stewartson 1978)
Vorticity - streamfunction relationship:
Flow - streamfunction relationship:
Mean-flow and eddy vorticity equations:
Shear Eddy-eddy interactions Beta-term
“Rossby number”, ratio of the mean flow vorticity to the planetary rotation rate
Relative amplitude of the eddies to the mean flow (need not to be small !!)
A prototype model for the upper troposphere
Decreasing the amplitude of the eddies (by a factor 3)
Relative vorticity field
A prototype model for the upper troposphere
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20
-0.001
-0.0001
0
0.0001
0.001
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20
-0.001
-0.000
0
0.0001
0.001
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20
-0.001
-0.0001
0
0.0001
0.001
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20
-0.001
-0.0001
0
0.0001
0.001
x10-3
10
1
0
-1
-10Eddy kinetic energy Eddy kinetic energy
Eddy momentum flux convergence Eddy momentum flux convergence
x10-3
10
0
-10
x10-3
10
0
-10
x10-3
10
1
0
-1
-10
Time Time
Time Time
(Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015)
Full QL (CE2)
Decreasing the amplitude of the eddies (by a factor 3)
A prototype model for the upper troposphere
Mean-flow and eddy vorticity equations:
Shear Eddy-eddy interactions Beta-term
“Rossby number”, ratio of the mean flow vorticity to the planetary rotation rate
Relative amplitude of the eddies to the mean flow (need not to be small !!)
A prototype model for the upper troposphere
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-10
-1
0
1
10
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-10
-1
0
1
10
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-10
-1
0
1
10
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-10
-1
0
1
10
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-10
-1
0
1
10
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-10
-1
0
1
10
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40
-10
-1
0
1
10
50
EQ
30N
60N
30S
60S
0 10 20 30 40 50
-10
-1
0
1
10
Full CE2
Ro=
0.06
Ro=
0.04
Ro=
0.03
Ro=
0.02
x10-3 x10-3
x10-3 x10-3
x10-4 x10-4
x10-4 x10-4
Time Time
Decreasing the Rossby number
(= increasing the rotation rate or decreasing both the mean flow and the eddies)
Relative vorticity (full) Eddy kinetic energy
(Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015)
A prototype model for the upper troposphere
Eddy absorption can be linear or nonlinear, QL captures the later
but not for the former (in which case eddies are “reemitted”
from the surf zone).
Eddies need not to be “small” for linear absorption. Smaller is the
Rossby number, larger are the eddies that can be absorbed
linearly. A theory that would describe the transition is missing.
Is this relevant to a baroclinic atmosphere?
A prototype model for the upper troposphere
How is large-scale eddy decay captured in the QL
model?
Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments
Initialize a zonal wavenumber 6 perturbation in the
zonally averaged circulation (fully nonlinear model)
Let it evolve without forcing and dissipation
Experiments run with the full model and the QL
model
Back to the (baroclinic) GCM
(Simmons and Hoskins, 1978; Thorncroft et al., 1993; etc…)
Time (days)
Conversion(m2
s−3
)
0 25 50 75 100
−1
0
1
x 10
−4
EAPE > EKE
ZKE > EKE
Time (days)
Conversion(m2
s−3
)
0 25 50 75 100
−1
0
1
x 10
−4
Baroclinic conversion: eddy
available potential energy
(EAPE) to eddy kinetic energy
(EKE).
Barotropic conversion: Zonal
kinetic energy (ZKE) to eddy
kinetic energy (EKE).
Back to the (baroclinic) GCM
Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments
(Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments
Day 42
Sigma
0 30 60
0.2
0.8 −4
0
4
Day 23
Sigma
0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−1
0
1
Time (days)
Conversion(m2
s−3
)
0 25 50 75 100
−1
0
1
x 10
−4
Time (days)
Conversion(m2
s−3
)
0 25 50 75 100
−1
0
1
x 10
−4
EAPE > EKE
ZKE > EKE
A2 B2
21
PVU
0
A1 B1
Full QL
a
b
c
QGPVFlux(10-5ms-2)
Latitude Latitude
Sigma
Grey arrows: Eliassen-Palm flux
(~ baroclinic equivalent of the
barotropic momentum flux)
Colors: Potential vorticity flux
(~ baroclinic equivalent of
the barotropic momentum flux
convergence)
Potential vorticity on the 300K isentrope
@¯u
@t
= r · F = (
@A
@t
)
r · F = v0q0
F = R cos
0
@
u0v0
f v0✓0/@p
¯✓
1
A
(Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments
Day 46
Sigma
0 30 60
0.2
0.8 −4
0
4
Day 29
Sigma
0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−1
0
1
21
PVU
0
Full QL
a
b
c
Latitude Latitude
Sigma
QGPVFlux(10-5ms-2)
Time (days)
Conversion(m2
s−3
)
0 25 50 75 100
−1
0
1
x 10
−4
Time (days)
Conversion(m2
s−3
)
0 25 50 75 100
−1
0
1
x 10
−4
EAPE > EKE
ZKE > EKE
Potential vorticity on the 300K isentrope
Grey arrows: Eliassen-Palm flux
(~ baroclinic equivalent of the
barotropic momentum flux)
@¯u
@t
= r · F = (
@A
@t
)
r · F = v0q0
F = R cos
0
@
u0v0
f v0✓0/@p
¯✓
1
A
Colors: Potential vorticity flux
(~ baroclinic equivalent of
the barotropic momentum flux
convergence)
(Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
Back to the (baroclinic) GCM
Sigma
30
2010
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−50
0
50
Latitude
Sigma
40
10
10
b
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
−20
−10
0
10
20
Sigma
30
20
10
a
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
100
200
300
Latitude
Sigma
10
10
40
b
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
150
250
350
Full
QL
Eddy momentum flux Eddy kinetic energy
Example of a baroclinic flow in which QL works
Latitude
Sigma
40
40
−10
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
Latitude
Sigma
40
40
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
Latitude
Sigma
10
10
20
20
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
Latitude
Sigma
30 30
−60 −30 0 30 60
0.2
0.8
Full
QL
Earth-like Reduced surface friction
Also works in many other situations (e.g., the reversed insolation
experiment)
Conclusive remarks
Eddy-eddy interactions do matter for eddy absorption in the
upper troposphere.They have to be parametrized in some
way to achieve direct statistical simulations.
Eddy absorption can be linear in some regimes (without the
requirement of small-amplitude waves). In what case QL
dynamics and the second order cumulant expansion capture
the dynamics.
QL maybe more promising for giant plants, e.g. to study the
long-term evolution of jets.

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How turbulent is the atmosphere at large scales

  • 1. Quasi-linear approaches to large-scale atmospheric flows (or: how turbulent is the atmosphere?) Farid Ait-Chaalal(1), in collaboration with: Tapio Schneider(1,3) and Brad Marston(2) (1)ETH, Zurich, Switzerland, (2)Brown University, Providence, USA (3)Caltech, Pasadena, USA 

  • 2. The general circulation Superposition of a mean flow and turbulent eddies Source: EUMETSAT, https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m2Gy8V0Dv78 March 2013 brightness temperature (clouds)
  • 3. Relative vorticity (s-1) at 725 hPa in an idealized dry GCM The general circulation
  • 4. FMS GFDL pseudospectral dynamical core Radiation: Newtonian relaxation of temperatures toward a fixed profile Convection: Relaxation of the vertical lapse rate toward 
 0.7 ⨉ (dry adiabatic) Uniform surface, no seasonal cycle Run at T85 (256 x 128 in physical space) with 30 vertical sigma- levels 600 days average after 1400 days spin-up (Held and Suarez, 1994; Schneider andWalker, 2006) An idealized dry general circulation model (GCM) Convenient to play with:We can change rotation rate, pole-to- equator temperature contrast, surface friction, convection, etc….
  • 5. Contours: Zonal flow (m/s)
 Green line: Tropopause Sigma 30 20 10 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −1 −0.5 0 0.5Sigma 4020 10 10 b 0.2 0.8 −0.5 0 0.5 Latitude Mid-latitude jet Surface westerlies Surface easterlies
 (trade winds) An idealized dry GCM:The mean zonal flow
  • 6. Sigma 30 30 20 10 20 10 −10 295 320 350 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −30 −20 −10 0 10 20 30 Colors: Eddy momentum flux (EMF) convergence
 Contours: Zonal flow (m s-1)
 Dotted lines: Potential temperature (K)
 Green line: Tropopause Eddy momentum flux (EMF) Friction on surface westerlies balances vertically averaged 
 convergence of momentum Friction on easterlies (trade winds) balances vertically averaged 
 divergence of momentum (Held 2000, Schneider 2006) u0v0 cos EMFconvergence(10-6ms-2) Eddy zonal wind Eddy meridional wind Overbar: zonal-time mean Eddy momentum flux An idealized dry GCM:The mean zonal flow a = a + a0
  • 7. Sigma 53 1 3 1 −5 −3 −1 −3 −1 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −30 −20 −10 0 10 20 30 Colors: Eddy momentum flux (EMF) convergence 
 (10-6 m s-2) Contours: Mass stream function (1010 kg s-1)
 Dotted lines: Potential temperature (K)
 Green line: Tropopause Ferrel cell (Coriolis torque on the upper branch balances locally 
 EMF convergence) Hadley cell (Coriolis torque on the upper branch balances locally 
 EMF divergence) (Held 2000, Schneider 2006,Walker and Schneider 2006, Korty and Schneider 2007, Levine and Schneider 2015, etc…) An idealized dry GCM:The mean meridional flow Streamfunction(1010kgs-1) Eddy momentum flux
  • 8. Heating the poles and cooling the equator Warm pole Cold tropics Near surface temperature Near surface relative vorticity Westerlies Easterlies (Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
  • 9. Heating the poles and cooling the equator Reversed insolation Latitude Sigma 2 2 −2 −10 −20 −40 −40 −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −10 −5 0 5 10 Latitude Sigma 295 320 350 e −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −1 0 1 Earth-Like EMF(m2s-2)Streamfunction(1010kgs-1) Latitude Sigma 30 20 10 5 −5 −5 −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −40 −30 −20 −10 0 10 20 30 40 Latitude Sigma 295 320 350 f −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −6 0 6 Contours: Zonal mean flow (m/s) Dotted lines: Potential temperature (K) Green line:Tropopause (Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015) EMF(m2s-2)Streamfunction(1010kgs-1)
  • 10. Large-scale eddies and the general circulation Large-scale motion in the atmosphere is controlled by eddy— mean-flow interactions (e.g., Held 2000, Schneider 2006). Atmospheric flows look linear from macroturbulent 
 scalings and do not exhibit nonlinear cascades of energy over a wide range of parameters (Schneider and Walker 2006, Schneider andWalker 2008, Chai andVallis 2014) What happens if we retain eddy-mean flow interactions and neglect eddy-eddy interactions, in other words if we make a quasi-linear (QL) approximation?
  • 11. Why is the QL approximation interesting? QL dynamics ~ closing the equations for statistical moments at the second order Is it possible to build statistical models to “solve climate” based on QL dynamics as a closure strategy? "More than any other theoretical procedure, numerical integration is also subject to the criticism that it yields little insight into the problem. The computed numbers are not only processed like data but they look like data, and a study of them may be no more enlightening than a study of real meteorological observations. An alternative procedure which does not suffer this disadvantage consists of deriving a new system of equations whose unknowns are the statistics themselves...." Edward Lorenz, The Nature and Theory of the General Circulation of the Atmosphere (1967)
  • 12. The QL approximation Take for example the meridional advection of a scalar (zonal mean/ eddy decomposition) a = a + a0 @a @t = v @a @y v @a0 @y v0 @a @y v0 @a0 @y @a @t = v @a @y v @a0 @y v0 @a @y v0 @a0 @y becomes Equation for the mean flow: Equation for the eddies: @a0 @t = ¯v @a0 @y v0 @¯a @y (v0 @a0 @y v0 @a0 @y ). QL @¯a @t = ¯v @¯a @y v0 @a0 @y . Removing eddy-eddy interactions in the GCM: Eddy-eddy interactions (O’Gorman and Schneider 2007; Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015) @a @t = v @a @y = ¯v @¯a @y ¯v @a0 @y v0 @¯a @y v0 @a0 @y
  • 13. The QL approximation conserves invariants consistent with the order of truncation, for example zonal momentum and energy (Marston et al., 2014).
 
 In the literature Stochastic structural stability (S3T) theory to study coherent structures in stable flows: Farrell, Ioannou, Bakas, Krommes, Parker, etc… Cumulant expansions of second order (CE2): Marston, Srinivasan,Young, etc… Some attempts to recover atmospheric statistics from linearized GCMs with a stochastic forcing: Whitaker and Sardeshmuck, 1998; Zhang and Held 1999; Delsole 2001
 
 Here: we look at unstable planetary baroclinic flows with large-scale forcing and dissipation. The QL approximation
  • 14. Full The QL approximation: Mean zonal flow Contours: Zonal flow (m/s)
 Green line: Tropopause Sigma 30 20 10 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −1 −0.5 0 0.5 Latitude Sigma 40 20 10 10 b −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −1 −0.5 0 0.5 (O’gorman and Schneider, 2007) QL
  • 15. Eddy Momentum Flux Divergence Colors: Eddy momentum flux (EMF)
 Contours: Zonal flow (m/s)
 Dotted lines: Potential temperature (K)
 Green line: Tropopause The QL approximation:The eddy momentum flux EMF(m2s-2)EMF(m2s-2) Full Sigma 30 2010 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −50 0 50 Latitude Sigma 40 10 10 b −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −20 −10 0 10 20 (Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015) QL
  • 16. Eddy Momentum Flux Divergence Colors: Eddy kinetic energy (EKE)
 Contours: Zonal mean flow (m/s)
 Dotted lines: Potential temperature (K)
 Green line: Tropopause EKE(m2s-2)EKE(m2s-2) Full Sigma 30 20 10 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 100 200 300 Latitude Sigma 10 10 40 b −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 150 250 350 (Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015) QL 0.5 (u02 + v02) The QL approximation:The eddy kinetic energy
  • 17. How is large-scale eddy decay captured in the QL model? Why is the eddy momentum flux not maximum in the upper troposphere in the QL model ? 
 Why are weak momentum fluxes associated with high EKE in the QL model? The QL approximation: Summary
  • 18. 5/29/13 7:28 PMMac App Store - GCM MacMac Screenshots Description Idealized General Circulation Models (GCMs) of planetary atmospheres, solved by a variety of methods. GCM Support What's New in Version 1.0.4 New wave lifecycle model, better organized menu. Bug fixes to CE3 (now conserves 3rd Casimir) and the calculation of the eddy diffusivity. Free Category: Education Updated: May 23, 2013 Version: 1.0.4 Size: 1.4 MB Language: English Seller: Brad Marston © 2013 M3 Research Rated 4+ Requirements: OS X 10.8.3 or later, 64-bit processor Customer Ratings We have not received enough ratings to display an average for the current version of this application. All Versions: 8 Ratings GCM By Brad Marston Open the Mac App Store to buy and download apps. GCM, by Brad Marston Solves one-layer and two-layers models of the atmosphere in spectral space and on the geodesic grid Solves for averages and equal-time two-point correlations (direct statistical simulations, CE2 at the second order, CE3 at the their order) Length nondimensionalized with planet radius Time nondimensionalized with day length
  • 19. A prototype model for the upper troposphere Two-dimensional flow (barotropic) Wavenumber 6 perturbation in a westerly jet Initial value problem: how does the perturbation decay when eddy- eddy interactions are suppressed? Relative vorticity field Vorticity of the eddies about 6 times larger than that of the mean flow. Rossby number of order 0.2 in mid-latitudes. Jet relative vorticity Jet + eddies relative vorticity
  • 20. “Earth-like” parameters, large-amplitude eddies An prototype model for the upper troposphere Relative vorticity field
  • 21. “Earth-like” parameters, large-amplitude eddies EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -0.01 -0.001 0 0.001 0.01 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -0.01 -0.001 0 0.001 0.01 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -0.01 -0.001 0 0.001 0.01 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -0.01 -0.001 0 0.001 0.01 x10-3 10 1 0 -1 -10Eddy kinetic energy Eddy kinetic energy Eddy momentum flux convergence Eddy momentum flux convergence x10-3 10 0 -10 x10-3 10 0 -10 x10-3 10 1 0 -1 -10 Time Time Time Time (Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015) Full QL (CE2) An prototype model for the upper troposphere
  • 22. The QL dynamics d T = 1.2 T = 4.0 T = 5.9 T = 17.5 a b c e V 10 0 -1 -10T = 7.5 X X 1 Relativevorticity Relative vorticity field evolution in the QL approximation
  • 23. The fully nonlinear dynamics Day 1.2 Day 4.0 Day 7.5 Day 17.5 a b d e Day 5.9c 7 0.7 0 -0.7 -7 X X X X T = 1.2 T = 4.0 T = 5.9 T = 7.5 T = 17.5 10 1 0 -1 -10-10 Relativevorticity Relative vorticity field evolution in the fully nonlinear dynamics (for some theory, seeWarn andWarn 1978 or Stewartson 1978)
  • 24. Vorticity - streamfunction relationship: Flow - streamfunction relationship: Mean-flow and eddy vorticity equations: Shear Eddy-eddy interactions Beta-term “Rossby number”, ratio of the mean flow vorticity to the planetary rotation rate Relative amplitude of the eddies to the mean flow (need not to be small !!) A prototype model for the upper troposphere
  • 25. Decreasing the amplitude of the eddies (by a factor 3) Relative vorticity field A prototype model for the upper troposphere
  • 26. EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 -0.001 -0.0001 0 0.0001 0.001 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 -0.001 -0.000 0 0.0001 0.001 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 -0.001 -0.0001 0 0.0001 0.001 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 -0.001 -0.0001 0 0.0001 0.001 x10-3 10 1 0 -1 -10Eddy kinetic energy Eddy kinetic energy Eddy momentum flux convergence Eddy momentum flux convergence x10-3 10 0 -10 x10-3 10 0 -10 x10-3 10 1 0 -1 -10 Time Time Time Time (Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015) Full QL (CE2) Decreasing the amplitude of the eddies (by a factor 3) A prototype model for the upper troposphere
  • 27. Mean-flow and eddy vorticity equations: Shear Eddy-eddy interactions Beta-term “Rossby number”, ratio of the mean flow vorticity to the planetary rotation rate Relative amplitude of the eddies to the mean flow (need not to be small !!) A prototype model for the upper troposphere
  • 28. EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10 -1 0 1 10 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10 -1 0 1 10 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10 -1 0 1 10 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10 -1 0 1 10 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10 -1 0 1 10 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10 -1 0 1 10 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 -10 -1 0 1 10 50 EQ 30N 60N 30S 60S 0 10 20 30 40 50 -10 -1 0 1 10 Full CE2 Ro= 0.06 Ro= 0.04 Ro= 0.03 Ro= 0.02 x10-3 x10-3 x10-3 x10-3 x10-4 x10-4 x10-4 x10-4 Time Time Decreasing the Rossby number (= increasing the rotation rate or decreasing both the mean flow and the eddies) Relative vorticity (full) Eddy kinetic energy (Ait-Chaalal et al., 2015) A prototype model for the upper troposphere
  • 29. Eddy absorption can be linear or nonlinear, QL captures the later but not for the former (in which case eddies are “reemitted” from the surf zone). Eddies need not to be “small” for linear absorption. Smaller is the Rossby number, larger are the eddies that can be absorbed linearly. A theory that would describe the transition is missing. Is this relevant to a baroclinic atmosphere? A prototype model for the upper troposphere How is large-scale eddy decay captured in the QL model?
  • 30. Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments Initialize a zonal wavenumber 6 perturbation in the zonally averaged circulation (fully nonlinear model) Let it evolve without forcing and dissipation Experiments run with the full model and the QL model Back to the (baroclinic) GCM (Simmons and Hoskins, 1978; Thorncroft et al., 1993; etc…)
  • 31. Time (days) Conversion(m2 s−3 ) 0 25 50 75 100 −1 0 1 x 10 −4 EAPE > EKE ZKE > EKE Time (days) Conversion(m2 s−3 ) 0 25 50 75 100 −1 0 1 x 10 −4 Baroclinic conversion: eddy available potential energy (EAPE) to eddy kinetic energy (EKE). Barotropic conversion: Zonal kinetic energy (ZKE) to eddy kinetic energy (EKE). Back to the (baroclinic) GCM Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments (Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
  • 32. Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments Day 42 Sigma 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −4 0 4 Day 23 Sigma 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −1 0 1 Time (days) Conversion(m2 s−3 ) 0 25 50 75 100 −1 0 1 x 10 −4 Time (days) Conversion(m2 s−3 ) 0 25 50 75 100 −1 0 1 x 10 −4 EAPE > EKE ZKE > EKE A2 B2 21 PVU 0 A1 B1 Full QL a b c QGPVFlux(10-5ms-2) Latitude Latitude Sigma Grey arrows: Eliassen-Palm flux (~ baroclinic equivalent of the barotropic momentum flux) Colors: Potential vorticity flux (~ baroclinic equivalent of the barotropic momentum flux convergence) Potential vorticity on the 300K isentrope @¯u @t = r · F = ( @A @t ) r · F = v0q0 F = R cos 0 @ u0v0 f v0✓0/@p ¯✓ 1 A (Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
  • 33. Baroclinic wave lifecycle experiments Day 46 Sigma 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −4 0 4 Day 29 Sigma 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −1 0 1 21 PVU 0 Full QL a b c Latitude Latitude Sigma QGPVFlux(10-5ms-2) Time (days) Conversion(m2 s−3 ) 0 25 50 75 100 −1 0 1 x 10 −4 Time (days) Conversion(m2 s−3 ) 0 25 50 75 100 −1 0 1 x 10 −4 EAPE > EKE ZKE > EKE Potential vorticity on the 300K isentrope Grey arrows: Eliassen-Palm flux (~ baroclinic equivalent of the barotropic momentum flux) @¯u @t = r · F = ( @A @t ) r · F = v0q0 F = R cos 0 @ u0v0 f v0✓0/@p ¯✓ 1 A Colors: Potential vorticity flux (~ baroclinic equivalent of the barotropic momentum flux convergence) (Ait-Chaalal and Schneider, 2015)
  • 34. Back to the (baroclinic) GCM Sigma 30 2010 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −50 0 50 Latitude Sigma 40 10 10 b −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 −20 −10 0 10 20 Sigma 30 20 10 a −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 100 200 300 Latitude Sigma 10 10 40 b −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 150 250 350 Full QL Eddy momentum flux Eddy kinetic energy
  • 35. Example of a baroclinic flow in which QL works Latitude Sigma 40 40 −10 −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 Latitude Sigma 40 40 −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 Latitude Sigma 10 10 20 20 −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 Latitude Sigma 30 30 −60 −30 0 30 60 0.2 0.8 Full QL Earth-like Reduced surface friction Also works in many other situations (e.g., the reversed insolation experiment)
  • 36. Conclusive remarks Eddy-eddy interactions do matter for eddy absorption in the upper troposphere.They have to be parametrized in some way to achieve direct statistical simulations. Eddy absorption can be linear in some regimes (without the requirement of small-amplitude waves). In what case QL dynamics and the second order cumulant expansion capture the dynamics. QL maybe more promising for giant plants, e.g. to study the long-term evolution of jets.