Frederic Guarino  @fredericg  fredericguarino.tumblr.com     Blown to bits – the entertainment      industry landscape in ...
From an integrated studio-anchored industry
to a fragmented landscape
1890s to 1948 – the first incarnation of the entertainment industry          From vaudeville to the Hollywood studio system
1948 to 2000 – the second incarnation of the entertainment industry  Rise of “free” home entertainment with radio&tv and t...
1948 to 2000 – the second incarnation of the entertainment industry  Cable and pay tv + VCRs increase home entertainment
Since 2000 – the third incarnation of the entertainment industry  Revenge of the geeks ?
Since 2000 – the third incarnation of the entertainment industry  Fragmentation is the new normal
The landscape: Box office and home video revenues are flat or decreasing US Box office at $10 billion                     ...
The landscape: Video On Demand via cable or web is increasing 2010 numbers: Comcast $385m Apple $280m Time Warner Cable $1...
The landscape: Game-changer in Video On Demand and beyond=Netflix                                        20 million + subs...
What’s next ? Netflix is the new HBO                                                                20 million + subscribe...
What’s next: Netflix will accelerate the launch of other web-based pay tv subscriptionservices       Prediction #2: One of...
What’s next: Cordcutting is a reality for the tech set       Prediction #3: Increased cordcutting yields punitive bandwidt...
What’s next: DVRs and time-shifting become the new normal                                                              200...
What’s next: What do YOU think ?                         ?      Prediction #5: what’s your prediction ?
What this means to content producers: innovate, innovate, innovate
Q&A
The impact of digital on content           creation
Le web, nouveau laboratoire de           talents
Les joueurscanadiens
Le cas Netflix
Nos clients en tantqueproducteurs          de contenus –les canaux de distribution digitaux
les aggrégateurs de contenus -     boitiersintelligents –
les réseaux de distribution web
L’impact du digital sur les exploitants         de salles de cinéma
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix
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Blown to bits - the entertainment industry landscape in the age of Netflix

  1. 1. Frederic Guarino @fredericg fredericguarino.tumblr.com Blown to bits – the entertainment industry landscape in the age of NetflixOct 2011
  2. 2. From an integrated studio-anchored industry
  3. 3. to a fragmented landscape
  4. 4. 1890s to 1948 – the first incarnation of the entertainment industry From vaudeville to the Hollywood studio system
  5. 5. 1948 to 2000 – the second incarnation of the entertainment industry Rise of “free” home entertainment with radio&tv and the fight for attention
  6. 6. 1948 to 2000 – the second incarnation of the entertainment industry Cable and pay tv + VCRs increase home entertainment
  7. 7. Since 2000 – the third incarnation of the entertainment industry Revenge of the geeks ?
  8. 8. Since 2000 – the third incarnation of the entertainment industry Fragmentation is the new normal
  9. 9. The landscape: Box office and home video revenues are flat or decreasing US Box office at $10 billion Home entertainment at $16 billion Global b.o ix $31.8 billion
  10. 10. The landscape: Video On Demand via cable or web is increasing 2010 numbers: Comcast $385m Apple $280m Time Warner Cable $160m
  11. 11. The landscape: Game-changer in Video On Demand and beyond=Netflix 20 million + subscribers 18.2 million + subscribers 17.3 million + subscribers
  12. 12. What’s next ? Netflix is the new HBO 20 million + subscribers 27 million + subscribers Prediction #1: Netflix will overtake HBO by end of year 2011
  13. 13. What’s next: Netflix will accelerate the launch of other web-based pay tv subscriptionservices Prediction #2: One of the pay tv players will offer its content via the web by Xmas 2011
  14. 14. What’s next: Cordcutting is a reality for the tech set Prediction #3: Increased cordcutting yields punitive bandwidth caps
  15. 15. What’s next: DVRs and time-shifting become the new normal 2007: 13.5% 2010: 35% 2011: 40% 2013: 50% Prediction #4: Increased DVR use drastically changes Nielsen rating system in 2011
  16. 16. What’s next: What do YOU think ? ? Prediction #5: what’s your prediction ?
  17. 17. What this means to content producers: innovate, innovate, innovate
  18. 18. Q&A
  19. 19. The impact of digital on content creation
  20. 20. Le web, nouveau laboratoire de talents
  21. 21. Les joueurscanadiens
  22. 22. Le cas Netflix
  23. 23. Nos clients en tantqueproducteurs de contenus –les canaux de distribution digitaux
  24. 24. les aggrégateurs de contenus - boitiersintelligents –
  25. 25. les réseaux de distribution web
  26. 26. L’impact du digital sur les exploitants de salles de cinéma

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