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Football (soccer) betting tip - winning by learning from the punting experiences of others


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There is a football betting wisdom that one key to achieving long term profit is in the bets that the punters LEAVE OUT rather than the ones they punted on. This can be interpreted that if you miss a good bet, you do not lose any money. On the other hand, if you back a losing selection, you are definitely some $$$ down.

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Football (soccer) betting tip - winning by learning from the punting experiences of others

  1. 1. Football (Soccer) Betting Tip - Winning by Learning From the Punting Experiences of OthersThere is a football betting wisdom that one key to achieving long term profitis in the bets that the punters LEAVE OUT rather than the ones they puntedon. This can be interpreted that if you miss a good bet, you do not lose anymoney. On the other hand, if you back a losing selection, you are definitelysome $$$ down.Some punters consider losing as a prelude to success, just like the sayingthat "before success comes failure". It is through learning from the mistakesmade that we improve as we will learn to do less of whats wrong and moreof whats right.I have the privilege to be acquainted with many of the purchasers of mybook and the readers of my articles on football betting. These folks haddiscussed their punting problems and experiences with me, and they hadvery kindly allowed me to share these cases in this article. I have decided tohighlight five of the cases and for a clearer understanding, they will bepresented in the format of Question and Answer.1) TRACKING ODDS MOVEMENT BEFORE BETTINGQUESTION : I have been thinking of a strategy where I will first targetsome teams and then watch for movement of the odds. For example Team Ahas opening odds of 2.10 and later the price runs down to 1.90. I willconclude that this will mean something has happened to Team A and that itis now considered to have a better chance of winning. What do you think ofthis strategy?ANSWER : Movement of the price could be due to latest team news whichthe bookmakers consider necessary to adjust the odds. It can also be thatlarge amount of money has been placed on one side of the market, forexample the Home team, and the bookmakers have to improve the odds ofthe Away team to entice the punters to bet on it so as to balance their books.
  2. 2. In your case, you have to decide if the price of 1.90 is of VALUE to you andif it is, the market move should also have given you more confidence in yourselection.Be sure to claim a free copy of The Killer Strategy by clicking IS THIS A REALISTIC LONG TERM PLAN?QUESTION : I will start with a bank of $5000 and attempt to double thebank every year. I know I need to be diligent in doing my analysis andresearch and only bet on selections I am most confident in. I will bet around2 - 5 bets a week, never risking more than 3% of my bank, that is, for thefirst week, maximum total amount to place on the bets is $150. I feelcomfortable knowing that the maximum risk is 3% of my bank. Is my planfeasible or am I just day dreaming?ANSWER : Your plan is realistic BUT it will only work with discipline andpatience especially in implementing money management rules on stakingplan and staking size. A common mistake made by many punters is to startoff by strictly following laid out rules but eventually succumbing toinfluences like greed and impatience. When the going is rosy, they tend tojump on the bandwagon and deviate from the pre-set guideline and doubletheir stake. And when they are down, they will fall into the usual trap ofchasing their losses. You mentioned you are wagering 2 - 5 bets a week. Donot make rash decisions just to meet the targeted bets. You need to have thepatience to WAIT for the right bets which give you VALUE.3) BETTING ON ACCUMULATORSQUESTION : I have been betting on accumulators (combo bets or multiplebets) for a while and I have not made a dime. Most of the time I could get80% - 90% of my predictions right but one to two choices upset it all. I havealways thoroughly researched my bets and not betting blindly. Just last weekin a 9 team accumulator, I could get 8 selections right and one bad resultruined it altogether.ANSWER : If you can correctly forecast 80% - 90% of the games, thenmost of your selections are winning predictions. You should easily bemaking consistent profit if you have betted them individually as SINGLEBETS (that is, a straight bet on one selection to win). When you lumped all
  3. 3. of them together in a large accumulator, one upset result is all it takes to ruinit. You have to understand that in a match there are many unforeseeablecircumstances like bad weather, red card, injuries, etc. The potential profitsfor large accumulators are substantially greater than for single bets, but thechances of winning are correspondingly smaller.4) ARBITRAGE (OR SUREBETS) BETTINGQUESTION : Is it worthwhile concentrating on arbitrage (or surebets)which guarantee a profit every day which is really wonderful?ANSWER : To make arbitrage worthwhile you will need a large bettingfund to start with as you have to open up accounts with a lot of bookmakersand make the necessary deposit in each account. Much time is also needed tocheck the odds offered by the numerous bookmakers. Though arbitragebetting is considered as risk free, sometimes there are annoying TRAPSespecially when you have betted on one side of the arbitrage bet and youcant get on the other side because :* the odds have changed* the bookmakers impose trading limits and you cant bet the amount youwould like* the bookmakers refuse to honour the price on the ground that it was amistake5) LOOKING AT BOOKMAKERS ODDS FIRSTQUESTION : I normally look at the bookmakers odds first before pickingmy bets. But my best friend disagree that this is the right thing to do.ANSWER : I agree with your best friend. Do not be tempted to look at theodds beforehand as it will influence your judgement and decision making.You have to first find a winning selection and work out your estimated odds.You will THEN check the bookmakers prices and bet ONLY if you findVALUE.Do you want to have 101 football tips to propel your punting edge to agreater height? You can have all the details at
  4. 4. CONCLUSIONI hope we have all learned something from the above punting cases. Teachyourself to be a winner and you will be a winner. Learning to win is aprocess. Do not be impatient and expect to make your fortune overnight,unless you know something which majority of the punters do not OR youare exceptionally lucky. Do add this virtue called PATIENCE to yourbetting strategy. It works wonders.Stanley Ong is a Chartered Accountant with extensive experience in footballbetting. Football has been his passion since young.The only 101 football tips ebook available. An all-in ebook covering thefundamentals and intricacies about football betting.Do you want to crack the soccer live betting market and make the big buckswith 10 winning strategies? Be sure to claim a free copy of the MidweekStrategy by visiting