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CARL CASALE
EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT,
NORTH AMERICA COMMERCIAL


JP MORGAN
FARMING TEACH-IN


May 15, 2007

                            1
Forward-Looking Statements

Certain statements contained in this presentation are quot;forward-looking statements,quot; such as statements
concerning the company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance,
regulatory approvals, business and financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are
based on current expectations and currently available information. However, since these statements are
based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the company's actual performance and results may
differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could
cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued competition in seeds, traits and
agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, including those related to
intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are received,
and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and
development activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits, including proceedings related to Solutia Inc.;
developments related to foreign currencies and economies; successful completion and operation of
recent and proposed acquisitions, including Delta and Pine Land Company; fluctuations in commodity
prices; compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates
related to distribution inventory levels; the company's ability to fund its short-term financing needs and to
obtain payment for the products that it sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and
accidents on the agriculture business or the company's facilities; and other risks and factors detailed in
the company's most recent periodic report to the SEC. Undue reliance should not be placed on these
forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation. The company
disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of the
factors that may affect actual results.

Trademarks
Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this
presentation. Mavera™ is a trademark of Renessen. All other trademarks are the property of their
respective owners.


© 2007 Monsanto Company


                                                                                                                2
OVERVIEW


Market Forces Inspiring Changing Global Agricultural
Landscape into Next Decade


                                                               UNITED STATES1
 Expanding ethanol
                                                                        5-YR AVG    2015F
         and export
demands favor U.S.                                     ARABLE ACREAGE   250M        FLAT
   as low-cost corn
                                                                CORN    79M
          producer
                                                            SOYBEANS    74M
       U.S. ramps up
  production of corn;
   Soy crop becomes                                                                  BRAZIL2
increasingly focused                                                                        5-YR AVG       2015F
     on higher-value                                                    ARABLE ACREAGE      900M
      segments over
          commodity                                                                CORN     33M
                                                                             SOYBEANS       53M
                             Brazil and Argentina
                          exploit land availability
                           advantage to become
                                                                             ARGENTINA3
                       commodity soy producer;
                          Also, reacted to market                                    5-YR AVG      2015F
                       incentives to expand corn                   ARABLE ACREAGE     67M
                         production for domestic
                                                                             CORN      7M
                                   use and export
                                                                         SOYBEANS     36M
 1.   USDA Agricultural Baseline Projections to 2015
 2.   Informa Economics Inc and MBA Associados
 3.   Encyclopedia of Nations
                                                                                                                   3
OVERVIEW


Global Demand for Corn and Oilseeds Has Been Growing as Finite Acres
Compete to Meet Feed and Fuel Needs



                            FOCUS: DEMAND

                              Consumption is increasing reflecting greater global demand for bio-fuels and for feed for increased
                              protein requirements in markets such as China


                       WORLD CONSUMPTION OF CORN AND OILSEEDS                                             U.S. CORN USE
                                                                                                     Fuel Alcohol = 25% CAGR
                                    OILSEEDS = 5.6% CAGR     CORN = 4% CAGR
                            1200
METRIC TONS (IN MILLIONS)




                            1000
                                                                                                     7%
                                                                                                                          19% 18%
                             800
                                                                                               19%
                             600
                                                                                                                       12%
                                                                                              14%
                             400
                                                                                                      60%
                                                                                                                               51%
                             200

                               0
                                                                                                                       2006 = 11.6B bu
                                                                                             2001 = 9.8B bu
                                   2003-04     2004-05     2005-06    2006-07
                                                                                                                Feed
                                            WORLD CORN CONSUMPTION
                                                                                                               Food & Industrial
                                            WORLD OILSEEDS CONSUMPTION
                                                                                                                Exports
Sources: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service and USDA                                                            Fuel Alcohol

                                                                                                                                         4
OVERVIEW

     Opportunity in Renewable Fuels is Expected to Accelerate Demand for
     Corn And Oilseeds Beyond the End of the Decade
                                                      U.S. & BRAZIL ETHANOL OUTLOOK
                                                                                                                                                  ETHANOL
                                 30                                                                                    45

                                                                                                                                                  ASSUMPTION
          BILLIONS OF GALLONS




                                                                                                                       40




                                                                                                                              MILLIONS OF ACRES
                                 25
                                                                                                                                                  • MTBE replacement
                                                                                                                       35

                                                                                                                                                    by 2010 is the base
                                 20                                                                                    30
                                                                                                                                                    case
                                                                                                                       25
                                                                                                                                                  • Incremental yield
                                 15
                                                                                                                       20
                                                                                                                                                    gains through
                                 10                                                                                    15
                                                                                                                                                    technological
                                                                                                                                                    innovations allow
                                                                                                                       10
                                  5
                                                                                                                                                    further substitution
                                                                                                                       5

                                  0                                                                                    0
                                       2005   2006   2007   2008   2009    2010    2011   2012   2013   2014    2015

                                                                                    CORN
                                                                    U.S.
                                                                                    SUGARCANE
                                                                    BRAZIL

                                                                                                                                                  BIODIESEL
                                  4                                                                                    20
                                                            GLOBAL BIODIESEL OUTLOOK
                                                                                                                                                  ASSUMPTION
                                                                                                                       18
           BILLIONS OF GALLONS




                                                                                                                            MILLIONS OF ACRES
                                 3.5
                                                                                                                       16
                                                                                                                                                  • In EU, biodiesel to
                                  3
                                                                                                                       14
                                                                                                                                                    represent 5.75% of
                                 2.5                                                                                   12
                                                                                                                                                    transport fuels by
                                  2                                                                                    10
                                                                                                                                                    2010 with the US
                                                                                                                       8
                                 1.5                                                                                                                growing up to 2%
                                                                                                                       6
                                  1
                                                                                                                       4
                                 0.5                                                                                   2
                                  0                                                                                    0
                                        2005     2006       2007        2008      2009    2010     2011        2012

                                                            BIODIESEL                       PALM
                                                                                            SOYBEAN
                                                            RAPESEED & CANOLA

                                                                                                                                                                           5
Source: Proexporter Network, Pro Mar And Monsanto Estimates
OVERVIEW

Advent of New Technologies Has Helped Reduce Yield Volatility

                                                             USDA U.S. CORN YIELD

                         160
 AVERAGE YIELD (BU/AC)




                         140

                         120
                         100

                         80
                         60
                               1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005

                                                                                                   1995-2006: YIELD STABILITY
                                  1975-1995: SIGNIFICANT YIELD VARIABILITY

                                                                                                   • With the advent of improved
                                  • High variability in per-acre yield
                                                                                                     genetics and biotech traits,
                                  • Yield deviation as high as 25 percent from average yield
                                                                                                     there is greater consistency in
                                    trend
                                                                                                     yield because traits insulate
                                  • Variability largely a result of influence of discrete annual
                                                                                                     farmers from extremes of
                                    events, including weather patterns and insect infestations
                                                                                                     weather and insect infestations



                                                                                                                                       6
OVERVIEW


Because of Focus on Per-Acre Productivity, Seed Is Farmers’
Most Important Decision

                                     U.S. CORN PRODUCTION COSTS PER ACRE
                     1996                                   OPERATING COSTS1
                                                                                                     2007F
                                                 17%                SEED                 20%
                                                                  (INCLUDING
                                                                    TRAITS)




                                                 17%            CHEMICALS                14%


                                                 30%            FERTILIZER               31%

                                                                SEED (INCLUDING TRAITS)
                                                                FERTILIZERS & SOIL             AVERAGE YIELD
         AVERAGE YIELD                                                                                         150+ bu/ac
                             130 bu/ac
                                                                CONDITIONERS
                                                                                                   PRICE PER
              PRICE PER
                                                                FUEL & POWER COSTS                             $3.75-$4.00
                             $2.82                                                                   BUSHEL
                BUSHEL
                                                                                                   AVERAGE
              AVERAGE
                                                                CHEMICALS                        ENTERPRISE
            ENTERPRISE                                                                                         443 acres
                             438 acres
                                                                                                       SIZE
                  SIZE
                                                                CUSTOM OPERATIONS &
                                                                TECHNICAL SERVICE
                                                                OTHER

1. Excludes “Overhead” costs, including hired labor and opportunity cost of land, etc.
Source: USDA and CBOT
                                                                                                                             7
TRAINING MODULE


The Business of Farming Requires Sound Analysis of
Markets, Economics and Agronomics

            ENTERPRISE SIZE        1000 acres
   ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS           $260K - $620K
                                                        CRITICAL DECISIONS – FIXED INPUTS
         TYPE OF OPERATION         Midwest Grain Farm
                                                                       • Own
                                                                          • Financing
 U.S. FARMING AS A BUSINESS                                               • Cash Flows
                                                              LAND:
                                                                       • Rent
 • Large farms have annual receipts >$500K
                                                                          • Cash Rent
                                                                          • Share Rent
 • Total value of farm assets > $1.6 trillion
                                                                       • Tractor/Combine/Planter
                                                        FACILITIES &
                                                                       • Custom Applicators/Harvesters
                                                         EQUIPMENT:
 • Average farm size is 443M acres
                                                                       • On Farm Storage
                                                        CRITICAL DECISIONS – VARIABLE INPUTS
 • 94% of U.S. farms are individual or family
                                                                       •   Seed
   run
                                                                       •   Chemicals
                                                           CROPS TO
                                                                       •   Fertilizer
                                                             PLANT:
 • Most college level experience                                       •   Crop Insurance
                                                                       •   Government Programs
 • 2% of the American population feeds the                             • Cash Price
   nation and provides significant exports                                • Timing & Quantity
                                                        MARKETING:
    – One in three U.S. acres is planted for                           • Forward Contract/Hedging
       export                                                             • Timing & Quantity

 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006                                                                 8
TRAINING MODULE


Land Values Directly Correlated to Ability to Generate Crops
with Marketable Cash Value

               ENTERPRISE SIZE        1000 acres
     ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS            $280K - $620K

                                                            VARIABLES TO CONSIDER - LAND:
           TYPE OF OPERATION          Midwest Grain Farm

                                                            ACREAGE PRICE:    • $2000 - $5000/acre (Cornbelt)
  CRITICAL DECISIONS - LAND:
                                                                              • Availability and rate
                                                                 FINANCING:   • Estimated cash flows from
  How many acres ?
                                                                                expanded operation

                                                                   RENTAL
  Rent or own ?                                                               • Cash Rent: $100-$190/acre
                                                            ARRANGEMENTS:     • Share Rent: 40-50% of crop
  Cash rent or share rent ?
                                                                EQUIPMENT     • Planter & combine upgrades
                                                             REQUIREMENTS:    • Precision Farming Technology
  Additional equipment requirements ?
                                                                              • Conservation Reserve Program
                                                               GOVERNMENT
  Participation in government                                                   (CRP)
                                                                 PROGRAMS:
  programs ?                                                                  • Long Term Outlook on
                                                                                Supply/Demand


 “In general, it is wise to rent as aggressively as labor and equipment
   allow and buy as conservatively as an average of the worst years
                              would indicate.”
 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and ispfrmra.org                                                       9
TRAINING MODULE


Equipment Purchases Represent Significant Capital
Investment and Ebb and Flow with Commodity Prices

               ENTERPRISE SIZE       1000 acres
      ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS          $280K - $620K

            TYPE OF OPERATION        Midwest Grain Farm

                                                           VARIABLES TO CONSIDER - EQUIPMENT:

                                                                CURRENT     • Cash Flows to Finance New Equipment
  CRITICAL DECISIONS -                                        COMMODITY        • $2.80 to $4.00/bu corn adds $180K
  EQUIPMENT:                                                     PRICES:         cash/yr for 1000 acres
                                                                            Cost vs. Benefit:
  Rent or own ?
                                                                            • Estimated reduction of inputs (fertilizer
                                                                              and seed)
                                                               PRECISION
                                                              EQUIPMENT:    • Optimization of yield through targeted
  Upgrade to precision equipment ?                                            application of inputs
                                                                            • Yield monitors for use in seed selection
                                                                              choices for next season
  Repair or purchase new ?
                                                                            • Critical with short windows for planting
                                                           DEPENDABILITY:
                                                                              and harvest
  Custom application/harvesting ?                                           • Tractor – 4 wheel drive 200-280 hp   = $175K
                                                                CURRENT     • Combine – Self Propelled             = $225K
                                                              EQUIPMENT
                                                                  COSTS:    • 16 row Planter                       = $75K
                                                                            • Plain Grain Drill                    = $25K

 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and IL Agrinews                                                                     10
TRAINING MODULE

Decision on Crop to Plant Cascades to Multiple Decisions on
Seed, Fertilizer and Options for Weed and Insect Control

                 ENTERPRISE SIZE       1000 acres
       ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS           $280K - $620K

             TYPE OF OPERATION         Midwest Grain Farm


  CRITICAL DECISION – CROPS:
                                                                    VARIABLES TO
                                                                                                                 CORN               SOYBEANS
                                                                    CONSIDER - CROPS:
  What to plant ?                                                       CURRENT COMMODITY
                                                                                                           $3.70-$3.90 /bu         $7.80 - $8.25 /bu
                                                                                   PRICES:

  How many acres ?                                                             AVERAGE YIELDS:             115-175 bu/acre          35-55 bu/acre
                                                                                    FERTILIZER
                                                                                                             $30-$85 /acre           $0-$40 /acre
                                                                                REQUIREMENTS:
  Soil quality and rotation ?
                                                                                      HERBICIDES:            $18-$28 /acre          $13-$26 /acre
  Government subsidies available ?
                                                                                   INSECTICIDES:             $12-$18 /acre             $0 /acre

  Cost and availability of inputs                                                    FUNGICIDES:                $0 /acre               $0 /acre
  required for the crop ?
                                                                                    GOVERNMENT                                      Loan Rate - IL
                                                                                                            Loan Rate - IL
                                                                                      PROGRAMS:               ~$2.00/bu               ~$5.10/bu
  History of production on this farm?


 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006, Univ of IL Farm Business Mgmt, CBOT, and Center for Agricultural and Rural Development                       11
TRAINING MODULE


Growers Hedge Risk on Farm by Purchasing Multiple
Hybrids/Varieties and Brands

        ENTERPRISE SIZE   1000 acres
          ANNUAL GROSS
                                               PURCHASE PATTERNS
                          $280K - $620K
              RECEIPTS

      TYPE OF OPERATION                                       • Plant 3-4 brands and 5-8 different
                          Midwest Grain Farm
                                                                hybrids
                                                              • 60% select germplasm first, then
                                                PURCHASE        make a decision on biotech traits
                                                STRATEGY:     • Decision-making actions: look at
                                                                on-farm comparisons (68%), speak
                                                                with another farmer (58%), speak
                                                                with seed company (58%)
                                                              • Purchase from average of 2-3 seed
                                                PURCHASE        dealers
  FOCUS: SEED PURCHASES
                                                LOGISTICS:    • 61% of purchases are made in
     Farmers manage risk through                                November and December
     diversification on farm
                                               PLANTING MIX
     Number of brands is the practical                        • 38% planted to latest “top-
                                                    YIELD       yielding” hybrids
     tool used to create genetic diversity
                                                STRATEGY:     • 54% planted to consistent
     on-farm
                                                                performing hybrids

                                                              • 28% are first-year hybrids
                                                  AGE-MIX
                                                              • 30% are second-year hybrids
                                                STRATEGY:
                                                              • 42% are third-year or older hybrids

                                                                                                      12
TRAINING MODULE


Decision on Control of Bugs and Weeds Intertwined with
Seed Decision with Advent of Biotech Traits

             ENTERPRISE SIZE        1000 acres
    ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS           $280K - $620K
          TYPE OF OPERATION         Midwest Grain Farm

  FOCUS: COSTS PER ACRE: CENTRAL CORN BELT




                              Conventional
         SEED/TRAIT1              $35.50                $49.00             $45.00       $57.00   $53.00   $58.50   $63.00
            RESIDUAL              $16.00                $12.00             $16.00       $16.00   $12.00   $12.00   $12.00
           HERBICIDE
               POST               $12.00                 $6.00             $12.00       $12.00   $6.00    $6.00    $6.00
           HERBICIDE

                 TOTAL            $63.50                $67.00             $82.50       $85.00   $71.00   $76.50   $81.00
               SOIL               $15.00                $15.00                 --         --     $15.00     --       --
        INSECTICIDE

                                 $78.50                $82.00             $82.50        $85.00   $86.00   $76.50   $81.00
                 TOTAL




1. Prices may vary by area. Based on a seed rate of 29,630 seeds/acre of 2.7acres/bag

                                                                                                                            13
TRAINING MODULE


Economic Indicators and Risk Profile of Grower Impacts Crop
Marketing Decisions

          ENTERPRISE SIZE       1000 acres
            ANNUAL GROSS
                                $280K - $620K
                RECEIPTS

       TYPE OF OPERATION        Midwest Grain Farm
                                                                    CASH MARKETS          LOCAL         REGIONAL        NATIONAL
                                                                    FOR CORN
  HOW GRAIN FARMERS SELL WHAT THEY PRODUCE:                                                                RIVER        SHIPPING
                                                                                                         TERMINAL         YARD
                                                                         TYPE            ELEVATOR
       Direct Cash Basis
                                                                                                                         New
                                                                                                           Quad
                                                                                                                        Orleans,
       Futures Market                                                                                   Cities, IA/IL
                                                                       Location          Peoria, IL                        LA
       Contract with a Processor
                                                                      Price - $/bu         $4.00           $4.05         $4.15
       Consume on Farm to Feed Livestock

       FUTURES MARKETS FOR CORN
                                                            MAY 07                                 DECEMBER 07
       CBOT – 5000 BU = 1 CONTRACT
           FUTURES CONTRACTS – CBOT                  Sells 25 contracts for             Buys 25 contracts for $4.00/bu
                                                            $3.75/bu
                    CASH MARKET – LOCAL                       N/A                         Sells 125K bu for $4.00/bu
                             ELEVATOR
                 ESTIMATED COST PER BU                     $3.25/bu                                   $3.25/bu
                  NET GAIN/(LOSS) PER BU                    $.50/bu                  ($.25) futures +$.75 elevator = $.50/bu
 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006                                                                                           14
TRAINING MODULE – SOYBEANS EXAMPLE


Year End Financial Statements and Yields Measure
Effectiveness of Decision Making for the Crop Year

              ENTERPRISE SIZE       1000 acres
    ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS           $280K - $620K                                                 Soybean Production in IL

          TYPE OF OPERATION         Midwest Grain Farm                                                                     Bushels Per Acre
                                                                             Item                                          35        45           55

                                                                             Gross Receipts                          $    280    $   360    $   440
                                                                              $/bu                                   $    8.00   $   8.00   $   8.00
    $45 - $63/acre Total                                                     Variable Costs
                                                                              Fertilizer                                    25         25         27
       System Costs                                                            Herbicides                                   13         26         26
                                                                               Insecticides                                  0          0          0
                                                                               Seed & Trait                                 32         35         37
                                                                               Drying and Storage                            5          7          8
                                                                               Machinary Repairs                            30         30         30
                                                                              Crop Insurance                                 4          4          4
                                                                               Interest                                      4          4          4
                                                                                 Total Variable Costs                $    113 $      131 $      136

                                                                             Fixed Costs
   FOCUS: SOYBEANS – 1000 ACRES                                                Labor                                        16         16         16
                                                                               Building Repair & Depreciation                8          8          8
       Low input rotation favored when                                        Marchinary Depreciation                       18         18         18
                                                                              Interest on Investment                        22         22         22
       fertilizer costs rise and export                                       Overhead (farm insurance/utiliities)          15         15         15
                                                                              Land (cash rent equivilant)                  100        140        190
       demand drives up commodity price                                         Total Fixed Costs                    $    179 $      219 $      269


       Yield Drives Farm Profitability                                       Total Costs                             $    292    $   350    $   405

                                                                             Net Return/Acre                         $     (12) $     10    $    35

                                                                             Number of Acres                              1000       1000       1000

                                                                             Total Farm Return                       $ (12,000) $ 10,000    $ 35,000

 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and Univ of IL Farm Business Mgmt                                                                             15
TRAINING MODULE – CORN EXAMPLE


Year End Financial Statements and Yields Measure
Effectiveness of Decision Making for the Crop Year

            ENTERPRISE SIZE        1000 acres
   ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS           $280K - $620K
                                                                                                     Corn Production in IL
                                                                                                       (Corn Following Corn)
         TYPE OF OPERATION         Midwest Grain Farm                                                                     Bushels Per Acre
                                                                             Item                                       115        130             155

                                                                             Gross Receipts                          $   460    $     520    $    620
                                                                              $/bu                                   $   4.00   $     4.00   $    4.00
      $78-$82/acre Total                                                     Variable Costs
                                                                              Fertilizer                                   70           76          80

        System Costs                                                           Herbicides                                  28           18          18
                                                                               Insecticides                                15           15           0
                                                                               Seed & Trait                                35           49          63
                                                                               Drying and Storage                          15           17          20
                                                                               Machinary Repairs                           36           36          36
  FOCUS: CORN – 1000 ACRES                                                    Crop Insurance                                6            6           6
                                                                               Interest                                     6            7           7
      Higher Input with Greater Fertilizer                                       Total Variable Costs                $   211 $        224 $       230

      Requirement and Insect Control                                         Fixed Costs
                                                                               Labor                                       22           22          22
      Corn favored with Rising Commodity                                       Building Repair & Depreciation               8            8           8
                                                                              Marchinary Depreciation                      22           22          22
      Prices Driven by Ethanol Demand                                         Interest on Investment                       24           24          24
                                                                              Overhead (farm insurance/utiliities)         15           15          15
      and Low Ending Stocks                                                   Land (cash rent equivilant)                 100          140         190
                                                                                Total Fixed Costs                    $   191 $        231 $       281
      Yield Drives Farm Profitability                                        Total Costs                             $   402    $     455    $    511

                                                                             Net Return/Acre                         $    58    $      65    $    109

                                                                             Number of Acres                             1000         1000        1000

                                                                             Total Farm Return                       $ 58,000   $   65,000   $ 109,000

 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and Univ of IL Farm Business Mgmt                                                                               16

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monsanto 05-15-07

  • 1. CARL CASALE EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT, NORTH AMERICA COMMERCIAL JP MORGAN FARMING TEACH-IN May 15, 2007 1
  • 2. Forward-Looking Statements Certain statements contained in this presentation are quot;forward-looking statements,quot; such as statements concerning the company's anticipated financial results, current and future product performance, regulatory approvals, business and financial plans and other non-historical facts. These statements are based on current expectations and currently available information. However, since these statements are based on factors that involve risks and uncertainties, the company's actual performance and results may differ materially from those described or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, among others: continued competition in seeds, traits and agricultural chemicals; the company's exposure to various contingencies, including those related to intellectual property protection, regulatory compliance and the speed with which approvals are received, and public acceptance of biotechnology products; the success of the company's research and development activities; the outcomes of major lawsuits, including proceedings related to Solutia Inc.; developments related to foreign currencies and economies; successful completion and operation of recent and proposed acquisitions, including Delta and Pine Land Company; fluctuations in commodity prices; compliance with regulations affecting our manufacturing; the accuracy of the company's estimates related to distribution inventory levels; the company's ability to fund its short-term financing needs and to obtain payment for the products that it sells; the effect of weather conditions, natural disasters and accidents on the agriculture business or the company's facilities; and other risks and factors detailed in the company's most recent periodic report to the SEC. Undue reliance should not be placed on these forward-looking statements, which are current only as of the date of this presentation. The company disclaims any current intention or obligation to update any forward-looking statements or any of the factors that may affect actual results. Trademarks Trademarks owned by Monsanto Company and its wholly-owned subsidiaries are italicized in this presentation. Mavera™ is a trademark of Renessen. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners. © 2007 Monsanto Company 2
  • 3. OVERVIEW Market Forces Inspiring Changing Global Agricultural Landscape into Next Decade UNITED STATES1 Expanding ethanol 5-YR AVG 2015F and export demands favor U.S. ARABLE ACREAGE 250M FLAT as low-cost corn CORN 79M producer SOYBEANS 74M U.S. ramps up production of corn; Soy crop becomes BRAZIL2 increasingly focused 5-YR AVG 2015F on higher-value ARABLE ACREAGE 900M segments over commodity CORN 33M SOYBEANS 53M Brazil and Argentina exploit land availability advantage to become ARGENTINA3 commodity soy producer; Also, reacted to market 5-YR AVG 2015F incentives to expand corn ARABLE ACREAGE 67M production for domestic CORN 7M use and export SOYBEANS 36M 1. USDA Agricultural Baseline Projections to 2015 2. Informa Economics Inc and MBA Associados 3. Encyclopedia of Nations 3
  • 4. OVERVIEW Global Demand for Corn and Oilseeds Has Been Growing as Finite Acres Compete to Meet Feed and Fuel Needs FOCUS: DEMAND Consumption is increasing reflecting greater global demand for bio-fuels and for feed for increased protein requirements in markets such as China WORLD CONSUMPTION OF CORN AND OILSEEDS U.S. CORN USE Fuel Alcohol = 25% CAGR OILSEEDS = 5.6% CAGR CORN = 4% CAGR 1200 METRIC TONS (IN MILLIONS) 1000 7% 19% 18% 800 19% 600 12% 14% 400 60% 51% 200 0 2006 = 11.6B bu 2001 = 9.8B bu 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 Feed WORLD CORN CONSUMPTION Food & Industrial WORLD OILSEEDS CONSUMPTION Exports Sources: USDA Foreign Agricultural Service and USDA Fuel Alcohol 4
  • 5. OVERVIEW Opportunity in Renewable Fuels is Expected to Accelerate Demand for Corn And Oilseeds Beyond the End of the Decade U.S. & BRAZIL ETHANOL OUTLOOK ETHANOL 30 45 ASSUMPTION BILLIONS OF GALLONS 40 MILLIONS OF ACRES 25 • MTBE replacement 35 by 2010 is the base 20 30 case 25 • Incremental yield 15 20 gains through 10 15 technological innovations allow 10 5 further substitution 5 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 CORN U.S. SUGARCANE BRAZIL BIODIESEL 4 20 GLOBAL BIODIESEL OUTLOOK ASSUMPTION 18 BILLIONS OF GALLONS MILLIONS OF ACRES 3.5 16 • In EU, biodiesel to 3 14 represent 5.75% of 2.5 12 transport fuels by 2 10 2010 with the US 8 1.5 growing up to 2% 6 1 4 0.5 2 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 BIODIESEL PALM SOYBEAN RAPESEED & CANOLA 5 Source: Proexporter Network, Pro Mar And Monsanto Estimates
  • 6. OVERVIEW Advent of New Technologies Has Helped Reduce Yield Volatility USDA U.S. CORN YIELD 160 AVERAGE YIELD (BU/AC) 140 120 100 80 60 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 1995-2006: YIELD STABILITY 1975-1995: SIGNIFICANT YIELD VARIABILITY • With the advent of improved • High variability in per-acre yield genetics and biotech traits, • Yield deviation as high as 25 percent from average yield there is greater consistency in trend yield because traits insulate • Variability largely a result of influence of discrete annual farmers from extremes of events, including weather patterns and insect infestations weather and insect infestations 6
  • 7. OVERVIEW Because of Focus on Per-Acre Productivity, Seed Is Farmers’ Most Important Decision U.S. CORN PRODUCTION COSTS PER ACRE 1996 OPERATING COSTS1 2007F 17% SEED 20% (INCLUDING TRAITS) 17% CHEMICALS 14% 30% FERTILIZER 31% SEED (INCLUDING TRAITS) FERTILIZERS & SOIL AVERAGE YIELD AVERAGE YIELD 150+ bu/ac 130 bu/ac CONDITIONERS PRICE PER PRICE PER FUEL & POWER COSTS $3.75-$4.00 $2.82 BUSHEL BUSHEL AVERAGE AVERAGE CHEMICALS ENTERPRISE ENTERPRISE 443 acres 438 acres SIZE SIZE CUSTOM OPERATIONS & TECHNICAL SERVICE OTHER 1. Excludes “Overhead” costs, including hired labor and opportunity cost of land, etc. Source: USDA and CBOT 7
  • 8. TRAINING MODULE The Business of Farming Requires Sound Analysis of Markets, Economics and Agronomics ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS $260K - $620K CRITICAL DECISIONS – FIXED INPUTS TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm • Own • Financing U.S. FARMING AS A BUSINESS • Cash Flows LAND: • Rent • Large farms have annual receipts >$500K • Cash Rent • Share Rent • Total value of farm assets > $1.6 trillion • Tractor/Combine/Planter FACILITIES & • Custom Applicators/Harvesters EQUIPMENT: • Average farm size is 443M acres • On Farm Storage CRITICAL DECISIONS – VARIABLE INPUTS • 94% of U.S. farms are individual or family • Seed run • Chemicals CROPS TO • Fertilizer PLANT: • Most college level experience • Crop Insurance • Government Programs • 2% of the American population feeds the • Cash Price nation and provides significant exports • Timing & Quantity MARKETING: – One in three U.S. acres is planted for • Forward Contract/Hedging export • Timing & Quantity Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 8
  • 9. TRAINING MODULE Land Values Directly Correlated to Ability to Generate Crops with Marketable Cash Value ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS $280K - $620K VARIABLES TO CONSIDER - LAND: TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm ACREAGE PRICE: • $2000 - $5000/acre (Cornbelt) CRITICAL DECISIONS - LAND: • Availability and rate FINANCING: • Estimated cash flows from How many acres ? expanded operation RENTAL Rent or own ? • Cash Rent: $100-$190/acre ARRANGEMENTS: • Share Rent: 40-50% of crop Cash rent or share rent ? EQUIPMENT • Planter & combine upgrades REQUIREMENTS: • Precision Farming Technology Additional equipment requirements ? • Conservation Reserve Program GOVERNMENT Participation in government (CRP) PROGRAMS: programs ? • Long Term Outlook on Supply/Demand “In general, it is wise to rent as aggressively as labor and equipment allow and buy as conservatively as an average of the worst years would indicate.” Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and ispfrmra.org 9
  • 10. TRAINING MODULE Equipment Purchases Represent Significant Capital Investment and Ebb and Flow with Commodity Prices ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS $280K - $620K TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm VARIABLES TO CONSIDER - EQUIPMENT: CURRENT • Cash Flows to Finance New Equipment CRITICAL DECISIONS - COMMODITY • $2.80 to $4.00/bu corn adds $180K EQUIPMENT: PRICES: cash/yr for 1000 acres Cost vs. Benefit: Rent or own ? • Estimated reduction of inputs (fertilizer and seed) PRECISION EQUIPMENT: • Optimization of yield through targeted Upgrade to precision equipment ? application of inputs • Yield monitors for use in seed selection choices for next season Repair or purchase new ? • Critical with short windows for planting DEPENDABILITY: and harvest Custom application/harvesting ? • Tractor – 4 wheel drive 200-280 hp = $175K CURRENT • Combine – Self Propelled = $225K EQUIPMENT COSTS: • 16 row Planter = $75K • Plain Grain Drill = $25K Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and IL Agrinews 10
  • 11. TRAINING MODULE Decision on Crop to Plant Cascades to Multiple Decisions on Seed, Fertilizer and Options for Weed and Insect Control ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS $280K - $620K TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm CRITICAL DECISION – CROPS: VARIABLES TO CORN SOYBEANS CONSIDER - CROPS: What to plant ? CURRENT COMMODITY $3.70-$3.90 /bu $7.80 - $8.25 /bu PRICES: How many acres ? AVERAGE YIELDS: 115-175 bu/acre 35-55 bu/acre FERTILIZER $30-$85 /acre $0-$40 /acre REQUIREMENTS: Soil quality and rotation ? HERBICIDES: $18-$28 /acre $13-$26 /acre Government subsidies available ? INSECTICIDES: $12-$18 /acre $0 /acre Cost and availability of inputs FUNGICIDES: $0 /acre $0 /acre required for the crop ? GOVERNMENT Loan Rate - IL Loan Rate - IL PROGRAMS: ~$2.00/bu ~$5.10/bu History of production on this farm? Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006, Univ of IL Farm Business Mgmt, CBOT, and Center for Agricultural and Rural Development 11
  • 12. TRAINING MODULE Growers Hedge Risk on Farm by Purchasing Multiple Hybrids/Varieties and Brands ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS PURCHASE PATTERNS $280K - $620K RECEIPTS TYPE OF OPERATION • Plant 3-4 brands and 5-8 different Midwest Grain Farm hybrids • 60% select germplasm first, then PURCHASE make a decision on biotech traits STRATEGY: • Decision-making actions: look at on-farm comparisons (68%), speak with another farmer (58%), speak with seed company (58%) • Purchase from average of 2-3 seed PURCHASE dealers FOCUS: SEED PURCHASES LOGISTICS: • 61% of purchases are made in Farmers manage risk through November and December diversification on farm PLANTING MIX Number of brands is the practical • 38% planted to latest “top- YIELD yielding” hybrids tool used to create genetic diversity STRATEGY: • 54% planted to consistent on-farm performing hybrids • 28% are first-year hybrids AGE-MIX • 30% are second-year hybrids STRATEGY: • 42% are third-year or older hybrids 12
  • 13. TRAINING MODULE Decision on Control of Bugs and Weeds Intertwined with Seed Decision with Advent of Biotech Traits ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS $280K - $620K TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm FOCUS: COSTS PER ACRE: CENTRAL CORN BELT Conventional SEED/TRAIT1 $35.50 $49.00 $45.00 $57.00 $53.00 $58.50 $63.00 RESIDUAL $16.00 $12.00 $16.00 $16.00 $12.00 $12.00 $12.00 HERBICIDE POST $12.00 $6.00 $12.00 $12.00 $6.00 $6.00 $6.00 HERBICIDE TOTAL $63.50 $67.00 $82.50 $85.00 $71.00 $76.50 $81.00 SOIL $15.00 $15.00 -- -- $15.00 -- -- INSECTICIDE $78.50 $82.00 $82.50 $85.00 $86.00 $76.50 $81.00 TOTAL 1. Prices may vary by area. Based on a seed rate of 29,630 seeds/acre of 2.7acres/bag 13
  • 14. TRAINING MODULE Economic Indicators and Risk Profile of Grower Impacts Crop Marketing Decisions ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS $280K - $620K RECEIPTS TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm CASH MARKETS LOCAL REGIONAL NATIONAL FOR CORN HOW GRAIN FARMERS SELL WHAT THEY PRODUCE: RIVER SHIPPING TERMINAL YARD TYPE ELEVATOR Direct Cash Basis New Quad Orleans, Futures Market Cities, IA/IL Location Peoria, IL LA Contract with a Processor Price - $/bu $4.00 $4.05 $4.15 Consume on Farm to Feed Livestock FUTURES MARKETS FOR CORN MAY 07 DECEMBER 07 CBOT – 5000 BU = 1 CONTRACT FUTURES CONTRACTS – CBOT Sells 25 contracts for Buys 25 contracts for $4.00/bu $3.75/bu CASH MARKET – LOCAL N/A Sells 125K bu for $4.00/bu ELEVATOR ESTIMATED COST PER BU $3.25/bu $3.25/bu NET GAIN/(LOSS) PER BU $.50/bu ($.25) futures +$.75 elevator = $.50/bu Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 14
  • 15. TRAINING MODULE – SOYBEANS EXAMPLE Year End Financial Statements and Yields Measure Effectiveness of Decision Making for the Crop Year ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS $280K - $620K Soybean Production in IL TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm Bushels Per Acre Item 35 45 55 Gross Receipts $ 280 $ 360 $ 440 $/bu $ 8.00 $ 8.00 $ 8.00 $45 - $63/acre Total Variable Costs Fertilizer 25 25 27 System Costs Herbicides 13 26 26 Insecticides 0 0 0 Seed & Trait 32 35 37 Drying and Storage 5 7 8 Machinary Repairs 30 30 30 Crop Insurance 4 4 4 Interest 4 4 4 Total Variable Costs $ 113 $ 131 $ 136 Fixed Costs FOCUS: SOYBEANS – 1000 ACRES Labor 16 16 16 Building Repair & Depreciation 8 8 8 Low input rotation favored when Marchinary Depreciation 18 18 18 Interest on Investment 22 22 22 fertilizer costs rise and export Overhead (farm insurance/utiliities) 15 15 15 Land (cash rent equivilant) 100 140 190 demand drives up commodity price Total Fixed Costs $ 179 $ 219 $ 269 Yield Drives Farm Profitability Total Costs $ 292 $ 350 $ 405 Net Return/Acre $ (12) $ 10 $ 35 Number of Acres 1000 1000 1000 Total Farm Return $ (12,000) $ 10,000 $ 35,000 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and Univ of IL Farm Business Mgmt 15
  • 16. TRAINING MODULE – CORN EXAMPLE Year End Financial Statements and Yields Measure Effectiveness of Decision Making for the Crop Year ENTERPRISE SIZE 1000 acres ANNUAL GROSS RECEIPTS $280K - $620K Corn Production in IL (Corn Following Corn) TYPE OF OPERATION Midwest Grain Farm Bushels Per Acre Item 115 130 155 Gross Receipts $ 460 $ 520 $ 620 $/bu $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $ 4.00 $78-$82/acre Total Variable Costs Fertilizer 70 76 80 System Costs Herbicides 28 18 18 Insecticides 15 15 0 Seed & Trait 35 49 63 Drying and Storage 15 17 20 Machinary Repairs 36 36 36 FOCUS: CORN – 1000 ACRES Crop Insurance 6 6 6 Interest 6 7 7 Higher Input with Greater Fertilizer Total Variable Costs $ 211 $ 224 $ 230 Requirement and Insect Control Fixed Costs Labor 22 22 22 Corn favored with Rising Commodity Building Repair & Depreciation 8 8 8 Marchinary Depreciation 22 22 22 Prices Driven by Ethanol Demand Interest on Investment 24 24 24 Overhead (farm insurance/utiliities) 15 15 15 and Low Ending Stocks Land (cash rent equivilant) 100 140 190 Total Fixed Costs $ 191 $ 231 $ 281 Yield Drives Farm Profitability Total Costs $ 402 $ 455 $ 511 Net Return/Acre $ 58 $ 65 $ 109 Number of Acres 1000 1000 1000 Total Farm Return $ 58,000 $ 65,000 $ 109,000 Source: Agri Business Group, Inc., 2006 and Univ of IL Farm Business Mgmt 16