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Workshop @ CEMADEN

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Workshop @ CEMADEN

  1. 1. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 1 Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM PhD Student, LABES, ICMC, University of São Paulo Member of AGORA Research Group horita@icmc.usp.br http://www.agora.icmc.usp.br | http://www.flaviohorita.com Pró-alertas
  2. 2. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 2 Flávio Horita  PhD candidate in Computer Science, ICMC/USP  Research-stay, ERCIS, Münster University  MSc in Computer Science, UEL in 2013  Specialist in Software Engineering, UNIFIL in 2012  BSc in Information Systems, UNILINS in 2009  Research interests:  Decision Support Systems  Crowdsourcing and Volunteered Geographic Information (VGI)  Disaster and Emergency Management
  3. 3. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 3 Static Sensors Mobile Sensors Citizens as sensors Dynamic Sensor Management Crowd Sensing Social Media Information Fusion and Management Decision Support Citizen Engagement Information Quality Assurance Citizens AGORA Acquisition Integration Application Social Information Sharing Collaborative Mapping Semantic Enrichment & Fusion Collaborative Maps VGI Environmental Modelling Scientists Decision Makers
  4. 4. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 4 Agenda • Introduction • Recap & Research Work • Preliminary Results • Future Directions
  5. 5. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 5 Agenda • Introduction • Recap & Research Work • Preliminary Results • Future Directions
  6. 6. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 6 Source: Elwood (2008); Goodchild & Glennon (2010); Niko et al., (2011); DeLongueville et al. (2012); Horita et al. (2013); Haworth & Bruce (2015) Hard sensors Exploratory teams Social Media Collaborative Platforms Disaster Management & Data sources & Volunteered geographic information A lot of data about disasters Unstructured data Raw data w/ different formats Introduction
  7. 7. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 7 Introduction Disaster Management & Data sources & Volunteered geographic information All these data are not integrated into the decision-making Source: Crowley and Chan (2011); Tapia and Moore (2014); Vieweg et al. (2014); Horita et al. (2015)
  8. 8. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 8 Introduction Business Process Model and Notation Lifecycle
  9. 9. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 9 Introduction BPMN & DMN
  10. 10. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 10 Introduction DMN
  11. 11. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 11 Introduction Integrated Model -oDMN It connects the available data to business processes
  12. 12. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 12 Agenda • Introduction • Recap & Research Work • Preliminary Results • Future Directions
  13. 13. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 13 Recap Objective of First Visit to CEMADEN Model the early warning decision- making process Monitoring Room
  14. 14. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 14 Interviews Participant Observations Recap Research Methods
  15. 15. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 15 • How is the early warning process operated by an emergency agency? • Statement: An early warning process can be modeled by means of the Business Process Modeling and Notation (BPMN) Research Methods Define research question Elaboration of the protocol Collection of data Analyze the collected data Research Work
  16. 16. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 16 Research Methods Define research question Elaboration of the protocol Collection of data Analyze the collected data • Qualitative analysis in the Brazilian context • Background: • Case study approach (Yin, 2009; Runeson & Höst, 2009) • Coding techniques (Saldaña, 2015) • Analytical features • Concepts from Business Process Model and Notation (BPMN) Research Work
  17. 17. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 17 Research Methods Define research question Elaboration of the protocol Collection of data Analyze the collected data • Participatory observations in the monitoring room on January 20th, 2016 • Semi-structured interviews with members of the monitoring room on January 20th-22nd, 2016 and February 1st-5th, 2016. • 10 members (2 geologists, 2 hydrologists, 2 meteorologists, 4 disaster management specialists) • Four different teams Research Work
  18. 18. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 18 • Transcription verbatim of the interviews (Saldaña, 2015) • 8 interviews (2 geologists, 2 hydrologists, 2 meteorologists, 2 disaster management specialists) • Coding each transcription • Use the analytical features • Raise the conceptual elements Research Methods Define research question Elaboration of the protocol Collection of data Analyze the collected data Research Work
  19. 19. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 19 Agenda • Introduction • Recap & Research Work • Preliminary Results • Future Directions
  20. 20. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 20 Preliminary Results Participants Role Experience CEMADEN Temp. Degree Area Metereologist > 3 years > 3 year YES PhD Meteorology Metereologist > 3 years > 3 year YES MSc Meteorology Geologist > 1 year, <= 3 years <= 2 year NO MSc Geography Geologist > 3 years > 3 year YES MSc Geography Hydrologist > 1 year, <= 3 years <= 2 year NO MSc Environmetal Engineering Disaster Management > 3 years > 3 year YES PhD Meteorology Hydrologist > 1 year, <= 3 years <= 2 year NO PhD Civil Engineering Disaster Management > 1 year, <= 3 years > 3 year YES PhD Remote Sensing
  21. 21. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 21 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process
  22. 22. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 22 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process
  23. 23. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 23 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process
  24. 24. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 24 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process Geologists Meteorologists Team Hydrologits Disaster management specialists
  25. 25. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 25 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process
  26. 26. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 26 Agenda • Introduction • Recap & Research Work • Preliminary Results • Future Directions
  27. 27. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 27 Future Directions Contributions to CEMADEN Guidelines Reference Task Model Undestanding the CEMADEN processes Process Improvement 75%
  28. 28. Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning | Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com 28 Preliminary results from a qualitative analysis within the monitoring room at the CEMADEN: an emphasis on the issuing of early warning Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM PhD Student, LABES, ICMC, University of São Paulo Member of AGORA Research Group horita@icmc.usp.br http://www.agora.icmc.usp.br | http://www.flaviohorita.com Pró-alertas

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