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Presentation @ ISCRAM 2016

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Presentation @ ISCRAM 2016

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This presentation was given at the International Conference on Information System for Crisis Management and Response (ISCRAM) in Rio de Janeiro/Brazil

This presentation was given at the International Conference on Information System for Crisis Management and Response (ISCRAM) in Rio de Janeiro/Brazil

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Presentation @ ISCRAM 2016

  1. 1. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 1 A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita1, João P. Albuquerque1,3, Victor Marchezini2, Eduardo M. Mendiondo2,4 1 ICMC, University of São Paulo, Brazil 2 CEMADEN, Ministry of Science, Techn. & Innovation, Brazil 3 CIM, University of Warwick, UK 4 NIBH/EESC, University of São Paulo, Brazil Pró-alertas A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management
  2. 2. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 2 Introduction Research design Research process Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process Conclusions Future directions Agenda
  3. 3. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 3 Monitoring and early warning in Brazil ANA CPRM IBGE INPE, .. CEMADEN CENAD Civil Defense Monitoring and early warning Alerting municipalities Response agencies tasks data sources National plan for managing risks and resposes to natural disasters (2012) Introduction
  4. 4. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 4 Monitoring and early warning in Brazil Monitoring Room Introduction
  5. 5. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 5 Research Design Research Methods Define research question Elaborate the protocol Collect data with practitioners Analyze the collected data research process • How is the early warning process operated by an emergency agency? • Statement: An early warning process can be modeled by means of the Business Process Modeling and Notation (BPMN)
  6. 6. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 6 Research Design Research Methods Define research question Elaborate the protocol Collect data with practitioners Analyze the collected data Coding technique (Saldaña, 2015) Case study approach (Yin, 2009; Runeson & Höst, 2009) methods research process
  7. 7. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 7 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process
  8. 8. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 8 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process
  9. 9. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 9 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process
  10. 10. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 10 Preliminary results Early warning decision-making process Geologists Meteorologists Team Hydrologits Disaster management specialists
  11. 11. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 11 Conclusions • The role of disaster management specialist is still confusion • They should take care of tasks related to the analysis of community vulnerability, e.g. risk analysis • The analytical features used in the work enable the identification of practitioners' processes • There are a lot of data available from both static and dynamic features • All these data are not integrated in a way that allows a correlation or "what-if" analysis. • VGI data is still not integrated into all these data
  12. 12. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 12 • Brazilian Ministry of Planning, Budget and Management (2012) National plan for managing risks and resposes to natural disasters. http://goo.gl/8eJF0u. • Object Management Group (OMG). (2013) Business Process Model and Notation (BPMN), Version 2.0 (formal/2013-12-09). [Online] http://goo.gl/ev6tUR. • Runeson, P. and Höst, M. (2009) Guidelines for conducting and reporting case study research in software engineering. Empirical Software Engineering, pp. 131-164. • Saldaña, J. (2012) The Coding Manual for Qualitative Researchers. 2 edition. SAGE Publications Ltd. • Yin, R. K. (2009) Case study research: design and methods. 4. ed. Thousand Oaks: SAGE Publications, Inc. References
  13. 13. A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM | horita@icmc.usp.br | www.flaviohorita.com | www.agora.icmc.usp.br 13 A qualitative analysis of the early warning process in disaster management Flávio E. A. Horita, MSc., CSM PhD Student, LABES, ICMC, University of São Paulo Member of AGORA Research Group horita@icmc.usp.br http://www.agora.icmc.usp.br | http://www.flaviohorita.com Pró-alertas

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