Megatrends fact sheets 2014 SAMPLE

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Are you looking for refreshing ideas an insights for your planning or innovation session? Get the most out of your session by using i4fi's updated Megatrend Fact Sheets!

These fact sheets can be used as a briefing document prior to your session, or at the start of the session as an eye-opener. I have even seen meetings where the fact sheets were hung all across the room for participants to discuss!

But the vital thing for this to be successful is to keep the fact sheets digestible for everyone. After all they are meant to stimulate ideas, not to be academic papers. This is why we've kept the fact sheets simple and light!

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Megatrends fact sheets 2014 SAMPLE

  1. 1. 56 Megatrend Fact Sheets (briefing document for long-term planning and innovation sessions) 2014 edition @fdemeyer frederic@i4fi.com fredericdemeyer.com Instituteforfutureinsights fdemeyer
  2. 2. Terms of use • This document has been acquired for the internal use of the acquiring company. It can be spread and shown internally in the company. It can be shown but not distributed to people external to the acquiring company.
  3. 3. Before you use this document • The trends discussed in this document are not predictions, but developments that are currently deploying and of which the full extend and long-term impact are relatively unknown. • The categorization in ‘themes’ is not a scientific exercise. Some of the trends discussed under a specific theme could have been included in other themes. • The ‘Major industries impacted’ and ‘Impact certitude’ sections are based on judgment from i4fi. They are meant as ‘eye-opener’ and do not result from any scientific process.
  4. 4. What you will find in the fact sheets ‘Key facts’ about the megatrend 1-2 key graphics or charts relating to the megatrend ‘Sources and further reading’ leads you to +300 valuable reports, articles and infographs, savin g you hours of research • Major industries impacted • 5-10-15 years impact certitude ‘Back to menu’ button for easy navigation
  5. 5. Major changes vs previous release 14 new trends covered, 3 left out 98% new charts and graphics Extended ‘Sources and further reading’ notes. +98% date after 2010 New section: • major industries impacted • 5-10-15 years impact certitude
  6. 6. Using the fact sheets in innovation workshops Step 1: discuss megatrends Step 3: Idea generation on how to prepare for threats or benefit from opportunities, discussion an selection of best idea Step 2: Whiteboard selection & discussion of trends with highest impact Works best with: • 2 teams of 5-6 people per theme; • people from different background and seniority level; • send fact sheets prior to workshop.
  7. 7. List of major sources Institutions-organizations • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Asian Development Bank Conference Board Eurostat The Heritage Foundation London Management School MIT NASA OECD Schwab Foundation UNEP-GRID UNFPO United Nations Vlerick Management School World Bank World Economic Forum World Futurist Society World Health Organization World Resources Forum World Resource Institute World Wildlife Fund (WWF) Consultancies: News and media: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • BBC Business Week CIO Magazine The Economist Energy Bulletin Entrepreneur Magazine The Fast Company Forbes Magazine The Guardian Huffington Post Inc. Magazine Information Week MSNBC PR Newswire Scientific American Thomson Reuters Wall Street Journal Washington Post Wired • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Blogs: • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Accenture AT Kearney Board of Innovation Boston Consultancy Group Eurominotor E&Y Forrester Gallup IDC JWT Intelligence KPMG McKinsey McKinsey Global Institute Nielsen PEW Research PWC Alaklett Brandon Gaille Business Insider Crowdsourcing.org I4fi Inhabitat Mashable Nextnature Quartz Renewable Energy Social Media Today Techcrunch Trendhunter Urban Mining Venturebeat Corporations: • • • • Alcatel-Lucent Cisco Credit Suisse Ericsson • • • • • Intel Microsoft Saatchi SAP Symantec
  8. 8. 56 megatrends (go to presentation mode to navigate from and to this slide) • Demographic trends – – – – – – – – • Growing world population Ageing population Migration patterns Urbanization Gap rich-poor Generation Y Generation Z War for talent Environment and sustainability – – – – – – – – – – – Climate change Scarce resources Peak oil Water shortage Food stress Clean energy Smart cities Bio materials Cradle-to-cradle Micro sustainable innovations Eco activism • Geopolitical trends – – – – – • • – – – – – – – – – – Power shift Globalization 3.0 Rising middle class Energy dependence The Market State Consumer & societal trends – – – – – – – – – – Mass customization Ethical buying ‘Buy local’ Social & Group buying Personalization Sharing economy Radical transparency Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs) Personal Health Digital divide Technology trends • Big Data/ data science Internet of Things (IoT) Augmented Reality Consumerization of IT (BYOD) Technology ‘as a Service’ Home 3D printing Business 3D printing Bioprinting Enhanced Humans Wearable Technologies Business trends – – – – – – – – – – – – Life Cycle Assessment Disintermediation Crowdsourcing & funding Open innovation Gamification Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) Cause Marketing Social Business Innovation Social entrepreneurs Intrapreneurship Businesses get social Virtualization of the corporation
  9. 9. Demographic trends RETURN TO MENU
  10. 10. Growing world population Key facts: Most of the population growth will occur in developing regions, which are projected to increase from 5.9 billion in 2013 to 8.2 billion in 2050. During the same period, the population of developed regions will remain largely unchanged at around 1.3 billion people. Growth is expected to be most rapid in the 49 least developed countries, which are projected to double in size from around 900 million inhabitants in 2013 to 1.8 billion in 2050. Impact: Main sectors impacted F = Finance M = Manufacturing R = Retail U = Utilities T = Transport P = Public Sector M- Food U- Water P- Health Care = opportunity M- Pharma = threat M- FMCG = both Impact certitude 100% 5 years 10 years > 10 years RETURN TO MENU
  11. 11. Ageing population Key facts: • By 2030 one in every 8 inhabitant of the earth will be 65 or older; • In developing countries the portion of 65+ inhabitants will increase from 6% now to 15% in 2050, in the developed world the portion will grow from 16% now to 26% in 2050; • This will put (further) strain on public finances and health provision, and will modify consumption patterns. Impact: Main sectors impacted F = Finance M = Manufacturing R = Retail U = Utilities T = Transport P = Public Sector M- Pharma P- Health Care P- Government = opportunity F- Insurance = threat T- Public Transport = both Impact certitude 100% 5 years 10 years > 10 years RETURN TO MENU
  12. 12. Migration patterns Key facts: • While past and current migration patterns are mainly influenced by economic and political causes, in the next decades this might change: o Ecological immigration (for instance because of increased drought, which will drive populations inland or further North/South); o Diaspora returning home (which already happens for India and a number of East European countries); o Western youngsters migrating to emerging countries for better career opportunities. The green circles represent places where more people are coming in, and the orange circles show countries where more people are leaving. Impact: Main sectors impacted F = Finance M = Manufacturing R = Retail U = Utilities T = Transport P = Public Sector P- Defence P- Government P- Education = opportunity R- Retail = threat M- Construction = both Impact certitude 100% 5 years 10 years > 10 years RETURN TO MENU
  13. 13. Urbanization Key facts: • 50.5% of humans now live in cities. By 2050 this will have grown to 82% in Northern America, 70% in Europe and 65% in Asia and Africa; • The number of megacities (>10 million inhabitants) will grow from 21 to 29 in 2025, when they will account for 10% of urban population; • Africa’s urban population will become the second largest in the world, next to Asia. Impact: Main sectors impacted F = Finance M = Manufacturing R = Retail U = Utilities T = Transport P = Public Sector M- Construction T- Public Transport R- Retail = opportunity P- Health Care = threat M- Technology = both Impact certitude 100% 5 years 10 years > 10 years RETURN TO MENU
  14. 14. Gap rich-poor Key facts: • Of total world income, 42 per cent goes to those who make up the richest 10 per cent of the world’s population, while just 1 per cent goes to those who make up the poorest 10 per cent. • Among developed economies, the USA has one of the highest income inequality levels, with its Gini coefficient reaching 47.4% in 2011, compared to only 34.4% in Germany. Main sectors impacted Impact: F = Finance M = Manufacturing R = Retail U = Utilities T = Transport P = Public Sector P- Health Care P- Government M- FMCG = opportunity M- Food = threat P- Education = both Impact certitude 100% 5 years 10 years > 10 years RETURN TO MENU
  15. 15. How to get the full document • This document is a sample of the 56 Megatrend Fact Sheet document of i4fi. To acquire the full document please go to: http://www.fredericdemeyer.com/2014/01/56megatrends-fact-sheets-2014.html
  16. 16. any additional questions: frederic@i4fi.com megatrend blog: www.fredericdemeyer.com additional services: www.i4fi.com

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