1.
Open Session of the EuFMD - Cascais –Portugal 26-28 October 2016
Transboundary High Risk Area Coordinated
Epidemio-surveillance programme (THRACE) in
Bulgaria, Greece, and Turkey
A. Skrypnyk, M. Masiulis, A. Zdravkova,
S. Khomenko, A. Bulut, S. Antoniou, F. Rosso,
K. Sumption & T. Alexandrov
Open Session of the EuFMD:: OS’16
26-28 October 2016 - Cascais – Portugal
OS16-FMD-General@fao.org

2.
Materials and methods
• A co-ordination framework established between
Bulgaria, Greece, and Turkey to implement the
programme, share the results of activities and
facilitate communication and a risk-based
surveillance designed and implemented by local
veterinary consultants.
• Different types of surveillance activities such as
active clinical surveillance and sampling on farms,
abattoir inspections, as well as opportunistic
clinical surveillance and positive/negative case
reporting. Target number of FMD susceptible
animals, calculated based on the prevalence
estimated for every country, is clinically inspected
and sampled on a regularly basis.
• Calculation of FMD confidence of freedom based
on deterministic model, which uses quantitative
analysis of risk-based surveillance, combination of
evidence from surveillance activities and Bayesian
accumulation of historical surveillance evidence.
• Data entered in Google Fusion software

3.
OS16
The epidemiological data was collected from three
countries and entered into database developed
for THRACE using Google Fusion software which
provides geographical location. It allows creating
“heat maps” showing density of susceptible
animals population by species and epi-units
visited most frequently. Database includes
possibilities for new infections (TADs) to be
entered and used for models to calculate the
confidence of freedom.
Surveillance area in Thrace. Heat map shows how
frequently are the epiunits inspected over the 1st
quarter 2016 (the more red – the more times
inspected)

4.
OS16
• THRACE programme showed high efficiency
of co-ordinated surveillance network in
maintaining the confidence on FMD freedom
in Thrace region.
• Based on combination of surveillance
activities, the targeted risk-based surveillance
resulted in FMD confidence of freedom for
over 33 months with the 99% probability (as
of 1st cycle 2016).
• Google Fusion database is fast, user friendly,
robust and permits online update of
surveillance data. It is powerful tool to
combine capabilities of database with
mapping of surveillance activities and can be
effectively used for visualization of work
conducted by field consultants, thus allowing
timely modification of the surveillance
strategy and activities.
Results and discussions

5.
Thank you!