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OS16 - 1.1.c Update on Current Global Situation for FMD: New Outbreak and Threats - D. King

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OS16 - 1.1.c Update on Current Global Situation for FMD: New Outbreak and Threats - D. King

  1. 1. www.pirbright.ac.ukThe Pirbright Institute receives strategic funding from BBSRC. FMD Reference Laboratory Global Update Donald King donald.king@pirbright.ac.uk WRLFMD Team: Valerie Mioulet, Nick Knowles, Anna Ludi, Gine8e Wilsden, Bryony Armson, Pip Hamblin, Kasia Bachanek-Bankowska, Lissie Hendry, Antonello Di Nardo, Beatriz Sanz-Bernardo, Veronica Fowler, Emma Howson, Bri8a Wood, Barsha Thapa, Bob Statham, Abid Bin-Tarif, Ashley Gray, Jemma Wadsworth, Clare Browning, Beth Johns, Mark Henstock, Alison Morris, David Paton, Nick Lyons, Dexter Wiseman, Julie Maryan, Sarah Belgrave
  2. 2. •  Seven FMDV serotypes •  Seven endemic pools requiring tailored diagnosPcs and vaccines •  No reported FMD outbreaks in South America since 2012 •  New FMD-free zone (without vaccinaPon) established in northern Kazakhstan and Russian Federa=on FMD: Summary and conjectured global status
  3. 3. New FMD Cases in Russia •  16th October 2916 •  Vyshmanovo, Sobinsky, Vladimirskaya Oblast •  90 cases in ca8le •  Serotype Asia 1
  4. 4. Global Networks OIE/FAO FMD Laboratory Network •  OIE and FAO Reference Centres (+ affiliates) •  Working Groups (nomenclature and PVM) •  MeePng reports available •  Global surveillance and changing paGerns in risk pathways •  Harmonised and improved lab capacity Brussels, Belgium – November 2015
  5. 5. Samples 2014 and 2015 OIE/FAO Network Partners and Affiliates 1612 629 89138 226 3 120 1709 O A Asia-1 SAT-1 SAT-2 SAT-3 FMDV GD NVD •  4526 samples tested •  37.7 % “no virus detected” - NVD •  ConPnued a8empts to improve local sample collecPon and more reliable methods for shipment •  No outbreaks due to serotype C since 2004 •  IniPaPves to improve sample collecPon/tesPng in Pool 4 (East Africa) and Pool 5 (West Africa) •  WRLFMD reports (www.wrlfmd.org)
  6. 6. O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 A/ASIA/G-VII FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Pool 1 Pool 2 Pool 3 Pool 5 Pool 4 A/ASIA/G-VII FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Long-distance “trans-pool” movements •  O/ME-SA/Ind-2001d •  Expanding range of this lineage •  Data from in vivo and field studies regarding suitability of vaccines •  A/ASIA/G-VII •  Emerged in 2015 •  Rapid spread in parts of West EurAsia •  Current gap in the coverage of vaccines from Merial or MSD
  7. 7. •  O/ME-SA/Ind2001d lineage from the Indian sub-conPnent •  Since 2013: FMD Outbreaks in Saudi Arabia, UAE, Bahrain, Libya, Tunisia, Algeria and Morocco (November 2015) •  Transmission links from the Indian sub-conPnent unknown? •  Increasing threats to Europe Recent serotype O cases in North Africa OIE WAHID 2013-15 20132015 O/ALG/1/2014 O/1628-1468/Algeria/2014 (IZSLER) O/TUN/1031/2014* O/TUN/1/2014 O/1636/Algeria/2014 (IZSLER) O/1631-FA002/Algeria/2014 (IZSLER) O/1631-FA001/Algeria/2014 (IZSLER) O/ALG/3/2014 O/ALG/2/2014 O/TUN/2/2014 O/TUN/1054/2014* O/MOR/1/2015 O/MOR/2/2015 O/MOR/3/2015 O/LIB/12/2013 (KM921837) O/LIB/11/2013 (KM921836) O/LIB/7/2013 (KM921835) O/LIB/22/2013 (KM921841) O/LIB/3/2013 (KM921831) O/LIB/6/2013 (KM921834) O/LIB/2/2013 (KM921830) O/LIB/1/2013 (KM921829) O/LIB/4/2013 (KM921832) O/LIB/13/2013 (KM921838) O/LIB/5/2013 (KM921833) O/LIB/17/2013 (KM921840) O/LIB/16/2013 (KM921839) O/SAU/1/2013 (KM921869) d In 99 96 88 88 99 97 2014 Presenta=on by G. Pezzoni
  8. 8. Sequence data indicates that there have been mulPple “escapes” from the Indian sub-conPnent O/ME-SA/Ind-2001d: the new PanAsia? Sri Lanka 2014 2013 Iran (2009) 2013 Libya North Africa Tunisia Algeria Morocco 2014 Bahrain (2015x2) Saudi Arabia (2013) UAE(2014) UAE(2015) Laos (2015) Vietnam (2015) Myanmar (2016) Mauri=us (2016) Presenta=on by K. Bachanek-Bankowska
  9. 9. Vaccine Potency Trial O/ME-SA/Ind2001d •  Experiments hosted by CVI-Lelystad •  Adopted protocol according to European Pharmacopeia •  O-Manisa vaccinaPon (at least 6PD50) with O/ALG/2014 challenge •  EsPmated heterologous potency ~3 PD50 Presenta=on by N.B. Singanallur; Poster by E. Brocchi
  10. 10. X X X X X X X X X New serotype A outbreaks in West EurAsia (A/ASIA/G-VII) •  IniPal reports September 2015 •  Saudi Arabia, Turkey, Iran, Armenia •  OriginaPng from the Indian sub-conPnent •  Impact upon vaccinaPon? A/SAU/2/2015 A/SAU/6/2015 A/SAU/1/2015 (KU127247) A/SAU/3/2015 A/SAU/4/2015 A/PD78/IND/2015* (PD-FMD) A/SAU/5/2015 A/ARM/2/2015 (ARRIAH) A/IRN/12/2015 A/Van/TUR/203/2015* (FMDI) A/IRN/8/2015 A/ARM/1/2015 (ARRIAH) A/ARM/3/2015 (ARRIAH) A/BAN/GA/Sa-197/2013 (KJ754939) A/IND/256/2012(582)* (PD-FMD) A/IND/84/2011(202)* (PD-FMD) A/IND/113/2012(213)* (PD-FMD) A/IND/413/2007* (HQ127707) A/IND/417/2007* (HQ127708) A/IND/360/2007* (HQ127705) A/IND/245/2007* (HQ832590) A/IND/360/07* (FJ617243) A/IND/245/2007* (HQ127704) A/IND/9/2009* (2008) (HQ127716) A/IND/17/2009* (2008) (HQ127719) A/IND/11/2009* (2008) (HQ127717) A/IND/17/2009* (HQ832592) A/IND/64/2004* (HQ127678) A/IND/64/2004* (HQ832581) A/BHU/4/2003 A/BHU/40/2003 A/IND/281/2003* (HQ832579) A/IND/249/2004* (HQ127680) A/IND/249/2004* (HQ832582) A/IND/243/04* (FJ617245) A/IND/818/03* (FJ617249) A/IND/818/2003* (HQ832580) A/IND/161/2003* (HQ832578) A/BHU/27/2003 (FJ755013) A/BHU/42/2003 A/IND/820/03* (FJ617251) A/IND/447/2005* (HQ832583) A/IND/447/2005* (HQ127685) A/BHU/6/2003 A/BHU/7/2003 (FJ755012) A/BHU/41/2002 (EU414525) A/BHU/8/2003 A/BHU/35/2003 A/SAU/16/95 (EU553874) A/IND/40/2000* (1999AF390646) A/IND/154/2013(333)* (PD-FMD) G-VII (G-18) Saudi-86 Iran-96 Iran-99 Sea-97 99 99 72 78 99 99 99 77 85 99 90 99 96 99 77 96 74 88 99 99 78 99 98 94 86 99 71 72 Presenta=on by J. Wadsworth
  11. 11. A/ASIA/G-VII Poor in vitro match to many commercial vaccines A/SAU/1/2015 A/SAU/2/2015 A/IRN/8/2015 A/IRN/12/2015 A/IRN/25/2015 A-Iran-05 0 0 0 0 0 A-Tur-20-06 0.03 0.06 0.01 0.15 0.01 A-22 0.11 0.11 0.13 nd 0 A-Iran-87 0 0.04 nd nd nd A-Iran-96 0.04 0.06 nd nd nd A-Iran-99 0.01 0.01 nd nd nd A-Sau-95* 0.20 0.19 0.26 0.16 nd A-May-97 0.14 0.23 0.15 0.23 nd A-Tur-11 0.01 nd 0.10 0.04 nd A-Tur-14 0 nd 0 0 nd A-IND-40-2000* 0.26 nd 0.03 0.24 nd Recent r-values: * Multiple BVS tested Vaccines
  12. 12. A/ASIA/G-VII (G18) – vaccine trial •  Monovalent vaccines were not immediately available from Merial •  Polyvalent vaccine •  O-3039, O-Manisa, O-PanAsia-2, A-Iran-05, A-Sau-95, Asia-1, SAT 2 •  PPG format •  Challenge at 21 dpv with A/IRN/2015 •  Serological and clinical data analysed in context of informaPon obtained from field cases in Saudi Arabia Funded by:
  13. 13. PPG Study Design Vaccinated x16 2ml full dose s/c Controls x2 unvaccinated Challenge @21 dpv A/IRN/22/2015 10,000 BID50 Four sites on tongue •  Daily observaPon •  Temperature •  Clinical lesion scoring Monitor for 8 days ProtecPon against Podal GeneralisaPon
  14. 14. <8 50 100 150 200 250 300 A-Sau-95 homologous =tre Foot lesions No foot lesions •  Both control animals developed foot lesions •  7/16 vaccinates developed foot lesions •  Only 56% protec=on from generalisaPon •  A-Sau-95 Ptres (measured by VNT) correlated with protecPon •  Use of vaccine in endemic senngs where animals are mulPply- vaccinated TPI Vaccine trial (summary of results) Presenta=on by Nick Lyons
  15. 15. •  Long distance movements •  Important role of the Indian sub-conPnent as a source •  Do we understand these connecPons? •  O/ME-SA/Ind-2001d lineage •  Good evidence from in vivo studies and field studies that vaccines provide appropriate heterologous responses •  A/ASIA/G-VII lineage •  Current gap and vulnerability for emergency vaccina=on in FMD-free countries (un=l 2017?) •  Plan to evaluate two addiPonal vaccines (with CSIRO/CVL) in December 2016 (A22 and A/May/97) •  Maintenance of FMD-free buffer-zone in Thrace dependent upon locally-produced vaccine from Turkey (Pming of previous incursions in 2006 and 2010) Summary O/ME-SA/Ind-2001d and A/ASIA/G-VII
  16. 16. O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 A/ASIA/G-VII A/ASIA/G-VII O/SEA/Mya-98 O/SEA/Mya-98 FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Pool 1 Pool 2 Pool 3 Pool 5 Pool 4 FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Other long-distance “trans-pool” movements •  O/SEA/Mya-98 outbreaks in East Asia •  ConPnued FMD cases in Korea •  A/ASIA/Sea-97 •  New outbreaks in Mongolia (July 2016)? •  O/ME-SA/PanAsia reported in Israel and PAT (Nov/Dec 2015) •  Sequence data shows close relaPonship to FMD viruses found in East Asia (Vietnam and China)
  17. 17. O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 A/ASIA/G-VII A/ASIA/G-VII O/SEA/Mya-98 O/SEA/Mya-98 FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Pool 1 Pool 2 Pool 3 Pool 5 Pool 4 SAT2 andO/EA FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Other long-distance “trans-pool” movements •  SAT 2 (topotype VII) emerged into North Africa in 2012 •  Oman (2015), Mauritania (2014) •  ConPnued cases in Egypt (2015) Other recent samples (2015/16) in Egypt… •  A/AFRICA/G-IV (most related to FMD virus from Ethiopia in 2015) •  O/EA-3 (most closely related to FMD virus from Sudan in 2013)
  18. 18. O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 A/ASIA/G-VII A/ASIA/G-VII O/SEA/Mya-98 O/SEA/Mya-98 FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Pool 1 Pool 2 Pool 3 Pool 5 Pool 4 SAT2 andO/EA O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 O/ME-SA/Ind-2001 A/ASIA/G-VII A/ASIA/G-VII O/SEA/Mya-98 O/SEA/Mya-98 FMD-free (without vaccination) Sporadic Endemic Pool 1 Pool 2 Pool 3 Pool 5 SAT2 andO/EA Pool 4 Long-distance “trans-pool” movements Why now? –  Probably no single factor that underpins these dynamic transboundary pa8erns; –  although these long distance and rapid movements of FMDV are probably exacerbated by the escala=on of regional poli=cal crises, and migra=on of people in North Africa and the Middle East and increased demand for animal products in East Asia.
  19. 19. New FMD lineages in North Africa Outbreaks in FMD-free countries O/ME-SA/Ind-2001d Es=ma=ng the threats to Europe (?) 2010-2011 Outbreaks in Bulgaria •  O/ME-SA/PanAsia-2 •  A/ASIA/Irn-05 •  Asia-1 •  A/ASIA/G-V-II •  Outbreaks in UK in 2001 •  Increased FMD circulaPon in East Asia NRL Workshop 2016 % of total risk
  20. 20. Does the current level of sampling of field cases provide an accurate picture of the true extent of FMD in the region?
  21. 21. •  How much FMD is circulaPng in a region? •  What is the TRUE unbiased prevalence of the different viral lineages? •  How many samples do we need to collect? and how might we design the opPmal surveillance of field cases within each of the pools? •  Are efforts to control FMD having a posiPve impact upon burden of disease? – (in the different regional roadmaps) …. and how should we measure this? Current gaps in global surveillance ………………………………… innova=on challenges?
  22. 22. Acknowledgements •  Support for the WRLFMD and research projects •  CollaboraPng FMD Reference Laboratories and field teams •  Partners within the OIE/ FAO FMD Lab Network

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