Sectoral and Economy-wide Analysis of the Ethiopian Livestock

Editor's Notes

1. This growth rates compare very favourably to those very close to zero reported in 702, 80s and 90sAlso the above rates were spread between the intensive and extensive margin. The pctage of farmers engaged in crop agriculture only dropped feom 18 pct in 2000/01 to 9 pct in 200/08Measured growth rates are consistent with the history of disasters in Ethiopia2002 and 2003 saw a prolonged drought. Livestock number quickly picked up after that2008 was characterised by poor belg and deyr rainy seasons, while 2009 also had a poor belg and an erratic performance and early cessation of kremt rainsIf supply side story, we should find further evidence in birth and death ratesHas demand played a role as well?
2. Cattle stock growth from 2 pct in 2003/04 to 10pct in 2006/07Economic growth above 10pct consistently and unitary income elasticitiesSo, roughly, for most years demand growth > supply growthHigh births rates may thus also have been the result of increased investment in livestock productivity from livestock holders
3. BeefShoatsPoultryDairyFeedXXXXXXXXXXDiseaseXXXXXXXXMarketing, processing, etcXXXXXXXBreed qualityXXXXXXXXOthers: labor, credit, extension . . .XXXX