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Seeing Around Corners: How to Spot Technology Trends and Make Them Happen - Guided by Supertrends and Wardley Maps
How do we visualise the present to create the future? One way to predict the future is to create it collaboratively guided by Supertrends and Wardley Maps. By mapping the technology and business landscape, we can start anticipating the future by looking at patterns of technology and business evolution, and then, start making informed choices on what to do.
How do we visualise the present to create the future? One way to predict the future is to create it collaboratively guided by Supertrends and Wardley Maps. By mapping the technology and business landscape, we can start anticipating the future by looking at patterns of technology and business evolution, and then, start making informed choices on what to do.
Seeing Around Corners: How to Spot Technology Trends and Make Them Happen - Guided by Supertrends and Wardley Maps
1.
SEEING AROUND CORNERS:
How to Spot Technology Trends and Make Them Happen
@erik_schon
Managing Director, Nordics
Erlang Solutions
Emerging Tech Beat Conference
October 15, 2019
Stockholm
2.
How do you see around corners?
@erik_schon #ETB19
6.
We provide world-class expertise in building
innovative, scalable and resilient systems
evolving the Erlang/Elixir open-source eco-system
@erik_schon #ETB19
We’re hiring!
12.
“The future is
already here –
it's just not
evenly distributed.”
William Gibson
1. How to Spot Technology Trends:
SUPERTRENDS
@erik_schon #ETB19
13.
Trends Spotted by Strategist Simon Wardley 2014
Simon Wardley @swardley@erik_schon #ETB19
War: disruptive industrialization of products into commodities and/or utilities
14.
Trends Spotted by Futurist Lars Tvede 2019:
SUPERTRENDS
TECH SOCIETY
Scientific Activity
Doubling Every 15 Years
Digitalization
Programming
Biology
Artificial Intelligence and
Quantum Computers
Sensors and Internet
Everywhere
New Forms of Organizations and
Ways of Working
Bright Environmentalism
Changed
Labour Markets
and Needs
Granular Markets
Smart Money
Executable Contracts
Increased Access to
Exciting Experiences
Lars Tvede @larstvede@erik_schon #ETB19
15.
Supertrends app
supertrends.com
@SupertrendsApp
SUPERTRENDS:
Crowdsourcing Future Predictions from Community!
@erik_schon #ETB19
Which events?
When?
Significance?
Impact?
Experts?
16.
2. How to make Technology Trends Happen:
WARDLEY MAPS
“As for the future, your task is not
to foresee it, but to enable it.”
Antoine de Saint-Exupéry
@erik_schon #ETB19
18.
Characteristics
of a Map
Visual
Context-specific
Position
Components
Anchor
Movement
X
How can we
do this for
technology
and business?
Simon Wardley @swardley
@erik_schon #ETB19
19.
Wardley Maps
Visualize evolution
and guide choices
Simon Wardley @swardley
What do our customers need?
Where’s our market position?
Where’s competition today/tomorrow?
Where’s technology today/tomorrow?
Where do we focus?
What moves do we make,
e.g. in-house/off-the-shelf/outsource?
What capabilities do we have/need?
How do we work today/tomorrow
How do we organize today/tomorrow?
@erik_schon #ETB19
20.
Wardley Maps
Visualize evolution
and guide choices
Visual
Context-specific
Movement
(Evolution)
Position
Component
Anchor
(User Needs)
Simon Wardley @swardley@erik_schon #ETB19
23.
www.erlang-solutions.com
ESL 2016 | Internal use only
www.erlang-solutions.com
ESL 2019 | Internal use only
The way to predict the future
is to create it collaboratively -
guided by e.g SUPERTRENDS
and WARDLEY MAPS
@erik_schon #ETB19