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4.11.24 Mass Incarceration and the New Jim Crow.pptx
Daily i-forex-report-1 by epic research 15.03.13
1. DAILY I FOREX REPORT
15THMARCH 2013
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
2. HEADLINES
Dollar Holds 10,500 and its
Bull Trend as Dow Breaks
16-Year Record
EUR/USD And NZD/USD
Break Lower, Which Looks
Better
TRADING TIPS ECB Maintains Economic
Recovery Forecast Ahead
SELL EURUSD BELOW Of The EU Summit
1.2920 tgs SNB Reveals Continued
1.2900/1.2880 sl 1.2950 Determination to Maintain the 1.20
Franc Ceiling
THE TAKEAWAY: The SNB maintains a 1.20
BUY USDJPY ABOVE Franc cap with ‘utmost determination’ -> SNB
leaves interest rate at 0.00% -> No significant
96.50 tgt 96.70/96.90 changes to Franc trading
The Swiss National Bank will maintain the France ceiling
SL 96.20 against the Euro with utmost determination and is willing to
buy unlimited quantities of foreign currencies, according to
the announcement made after today’s quarterly meting.
The SNB also left the target interest rate at 0.00%, as was
expected. The SNB last changed the interest rate in August
SELL GBPUSD BELOW 2011, cutting the rate from a previous 0.25% level.
1.4915 tgt The SNB forecasts inflation at -0.2% for 2013, following a
previous forecast of -0.1% for the current year. The 2014
1.4895/1.4875 SL inflation forecast was also lowered to 0.2% from 0.4%. The
SNB also forecasted a 1-1.5% GDP growth in 2013. The
central bank said the downside risks to the Swiss economy
1.4945 remain significant as it sees a risk of Euro-Area tensions
returning.
WWW.EPICRESEARCH.CO +91 9752199966
8. ECONOMIC CALENDER
Date Time Currency Event Importance Actual Forecast Previous Notes
JPY Japanese
Mon Parliament May Vote
High
Mar 11 on BoJ Governor
Nominations
GBP Lloyds
00:01 Employment Low -44 -45
Confidence (FEB)
JPY Machine Tool
06:00 Medium -21.5% -26.4%
Orders (YoY) (FEB P)
EUR German Trade
07:00 Medium 13.7B 13.9B 12.1B
Balance (euros) (JAN)
EUR German Current
07:00 Low 11.3B 10.5B 20.2B
Account (euros) (JAN)
EUR German Imports
07:00 Low 3.3% 0.7% -1.5%
s.a. (MoM) (JAN)
EUR German Exports
07:00 Low 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
s.a. (MoM) (JAN)
EUR German Labor
07:00 Costs Workday Adj Low 2.9% 2.9%
(YoY) (4Q)
EUR German Labor
07:00 Costs Seas. Adj. (QoQ) Low 0.8% 0.2%
(4Q)
CHF Retail Sales
08:15 Medium 1.9% 4.7%
(Real) (YoY) (JAN)
EUR Italian Gross
Domestic Product s.a.
09:00 Medium -0.9% -0.9% -0.9%
and w.d.a. (QoQ) (4Q
F)
EUR Italian Gross
Domestic Product s.a.
09:00 Medium -2.8% -2.7% -2.7%
and w.d.a. (YoY) (4Q
F)
JPY Domestic
23:50 Corporate Goods Price Low 0.3% 0.4%
Index (MoM) (FEB)
JPY Domestic
23:50 Corporate Goods Price Low -0.1% -0.2%
Index (YoY) (FEB)
JPY Tertiary Industry
23:50 Medium -0.2% 1.4%
Index (MoM) (JAN)
9. JPY BSI Large All
23:50 Medium -5.5
Industry (QoQ) (1Q)
JPY BSI Large
23:50 Manufacturing (QoQ) Medium -10.3
(1Q)
EUR Germany Second
Tue Quarter Manpower
00:01 Low
Mar 12 Employment Outlook
(Table)
GBP RICS House Price
00:01 Medium -1% -4%
Balance (FEB)
AUD NAB Business
00:30 Low -2
Conditions (FEB)
AUD NAB Business
00:30 Medium 3
Confidence (FEB)
AUD RBA Credit Card
00:30 Low $A49.9B
Balances (JAN)
AUD RBA Credit Card
00:30 Low $A22.4B
Purchases (JAN)
JPY Consumer
05:00 Medium 43.3
Confidence (FEB)
EUR German
07:00 Wholesale Price Index Low 0.3%
(MoM) (FEB)
EUR German
07:00 Wholesale Price Index Low 2.3%
(YoY) (FEB)
EUR German
07:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 0.6% 0.6%
(MoM) (FEB F)
EUR German
07:00 Consumer Price Index High 1.5% 1.5%
(YoY) (FEB F)
EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
07:00 Medium 0.8% 0.8%
EU Harmonised (MoM)
(FEB F)
EUR German
Consumer Price Index -
07:00 High 1.8% 1.8%
EU Harmonised (YoY)
(FEB F)
EUR Italian Consumer
Price Index - EU
09:00 Low 0.1%
Harmonized (YoY)
(FEB F)
GBP Industrial
09:30 Production (MoM) Low 0.1% 1.1%
(JAN)
GBP Industrial
09:30 Medium -1.1% -1.7%
Production (YoY) (JAN)
GBP Manufacturing
09:30 Production (MoM) Low 0.0% 1.6%
(JAN)
GBP Manufacturing
09:30 Medium -1.0% -1.5%
Production (YoY) (JAN)
GBP Visible Trade
09:30 Balance (Pounds) Medium -£8950 -£8897
(JAN)
10. GBP Trade Balance
09:30 Non EU (Pounds) Medium -£3200 -£3201
(JAN)
GBP Total Trade
09:30 Balance (Pounds) Low -£4500 -£4239
(JAN)
USD NFIB Small
11:30 Business Optimism Low 90.0 88.9
(FEB)
USD JOLTs Job
14:00 Low 3617
Openings (JAN)
GBP NIESR Gross
15:00 Domestic Product Medium 0.0%
Estimate (FEB)
USD Monthly Budget
18:00 Medium
Statement (FEB)
NZD Food Prices
21:45 Low 1.9%
(MoM) (FEB)
AUD Westpac
23:30 Consumer Confidence Medium 7.7%
(MAR)
AUD Westpac
23:30 Consumer Confidence Low 108.3
Index (MAR)
Wed AUD Australia
Low 7%
Mar 13 Manpower Survey (2Q)
NZD New Zealand
Medium 15%
Manpower Survey (2Q)
AUD Home Loans
00:30 Medium 0.5% -1.5%
(JAN)
AUD Investment
00:30 Low -2.4%
Lending (JAN)
AUD Value of Loans
00:30 Low -2.7%
(MoM) (JAN)
EUR French Non-Farm
06:30 Low -0.2% -0.2%
Payrolls (QoQ) (4Q F)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Industrial Production Low -0.1% 0.70%
s.a. (MoM) (JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Industrial Production Medium -2.0% -2.3%
w.d.a. (YoY) (JAN)
USD MBA Mortgage
11:00 Low 14.80%
Applications (MAR 8)
USD Import Price Index
12:30 Low 0.5% 0.6%
(MoM) (FEB)
USD Import Price Index
12:30 Low -0.6% -1.3%
(YoY) (FEB)
USD Advance Retail
12:30 High 0.5% 0.1%
Sales (FEB)
USD Retail Sales Less
12:30 Medium 0.5% 0.2%
Autos (FEB)
11. USD Retail Sales Ex
12:30 Medium 0.2% 0.2%
Auto & Gas (FEB)
USD Retail Sales
12:30 Low 0.2% 0.1%
"Control Group" (FEB)
USD Business
14:00 Medium 0.4% 0.1%
Inventories (JAN)
USD DOE U.S. Crude
14:30 Low 3833K
Oil Inventories (MAR 8)
USD DOE Cushing OK
14:30 Crude Inventory (MAR Low 257K
8)
USD DOE U.S.
14:30 Gasoline Inventories Low -616K
(MAR 8)
USD DOE U.S.
14:30 Distillate Inventory Low -3830K
(MAR 8)
NZD Reserve Bank of
20:00 New Zealand Rate High 2.50% 2.50%
Decision (MAR 14)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Bonds (Yen) Low
(MAR 8)
JPY Japan Buying
23:50 Foreign Stocks (Yen) Low
(MAR 8)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Bonds (Yen) Low ¥657.8B
(MAR 8)
JPY Foreign Buying
23:50 Japan Stocks (Yen) Low ¥269.6B
(MAR 8)
AUD Consumer
Thu
Mar 14
00:00 Inflation Expectation Medium 2.2%
(MAR)
CNY China Manpower
Low 14%
Survey (2Q)
JPY Japan Manpower
Low 11
Survey (2Q)
CNY Actual FDI (YoY)
Medium -4.8% -7.3%
(FEB)
AUD Employment
00:30 High 10.0K 10.4K
Change (FEB)
AUD Unemployment
00:30 High 5.5% 5.4%
Rate (FEB)
AUD Full Time
00:30 Employment Change Medium -9.8K
(FEB)
AUD Part Time
00:30 Employment Change Medium 20.2K
(FEB)
AUD Participation Rate
00:30 Low 65.0% 65.0%
(FEB)
NZD Non Resident
02:00 Low 66.7%
Bond Holdings (FEB)
12. JPY Tokyo
04:00 Condominium Sales Low -5.4%
(YoY) (FEB)
JPY Industrial
04:30 Production (MoM) (JAN Low 1.0%
F)
JPY Industrial
04:30 Production (YoY) (JAN Medium -5.1%
F)
JPY Capacity
04:30 Utilization (MoM) (JAN Low 2.9%
F)
JPY Machine Tool
06:00 Medium
Orders (YoY) (FEB F)
CHF Swiss National
08:30 Bank Rate Decision High 0.00% 0.00%
(MAR 14)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Employment (QoQ) Low -0.2%
(4Q)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Employment (YoY) Low -0.7%
(4Q)
CAD Capacity
12:30 Low
Utilization Rate (4Q)
USD Current Account
12:30 Low -$112.8B -$107.5B
Balance (4Q)
CAD New Housing
12:30 Price Index (MoM) Low 0.2%
(JAN)
CAD New Housing
12:30 Price Index (YoY) Low 2.3%
(JAN)
USD Producer Price
12:30 Medium 0.6% 0.2%
Index (MoM) (FEB)
USD Producer Price
12:30 Index Ex Food & Medium 0.1% 0.2%
Energy (MoM) (FEB)
USD Producer Price
12:30 High 1.7% 1.4%
Index (YoY) (FEB)
USD Producer Price
12:30 Index Ex Food & High 1.8%
Energy (YoY) (FEB)
USD Initial Jobless
12:30 Medium 340K
Claims (MAR 10)
USD Continuing Claims
12:30 Low 3094K
(MAR 3)
USD EIA Natural Gas
14:30 Storage Change (MAR Low -146
8)
USD Fed Releases
20:30 Comprehensive Capital Low
Analysis and Review
NZD Business NZ
Performance of
21:30 Medium 55.2
Manufacturing Index
(FEB)
13. Fri EUR ECB Publishes
Medium
Mar 15 Monthly Report
NZD ANZ Consumer
00:00 Confidence Index Low 121
(MAR)
NZD ANZ Consumer
00:00 Confidence (MoM) Low 2.3%
(MAR)
CHF Producer & Import
08:15 Low -0.1%
Prices (MoM) (FEB)
CHF Producer & Import
08:15 Low 0.8%
Prices (YoY) (FEB)
EUR Itally General
09:30 Government Debt Medium 1988.4B
(JAN)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Consumer Price Index Medium 0.4% -1.0%
(MoM) (FEB)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Consumer Price Index High 1.8% 1.8%
(YoY) (FEB)
EUR Euro-Zone
10:00 Consumer Price Index - High 1.3% 1.3%
Core (YoY) (FEB)
EUR Euro-Zone Labor
10:00 Low 2.0%
Costs (YoY) (4Q)
USD Empire
12:30 Low 8 10.04
Manufacturing (MAR)
USD Consumer Price
12:30 Medium 0.4% 0.0%
Index (MoM) (FEB)
USD Consumer Price
12:30 Index Ex Food & Medium 0.2% 0.3%
Energy (MoM) (FEB)
USD Consumer Price
12:30 High 1.8% 1.6%
Index (YoY) (FEB)
USD Consumer Price
12:30 Index Ex Food & High 2.0% 1.9%
Energy (YoY) (FEB)
USD Consumer Price
12:30 Index Core Index s.a. Medium 232.138 232.108
(FEB)
USD Consumer Price
12:30 Low 230.28
Index n.s.a. (FEB)
USD Total Net TIC
13:00 Low $25.2B
Flows (JAN)
USD Net Long-term
13:00 Medium $64.2B
TIC Flows (JAN)
CAD Existing Home
13:00 Low 1.3%
Sales (MoM) (FEB)
USD Industrial
13:15 Medium 0.3% -0.1%
Production (FEB)
USD Capacity
13:15 Low 79.3% 79.1%
Utilization (FEB)
14. USD Manufacturing
13:15 Low 0.3% -0.4%
(SIC) Production (FEB)
USD U. of Michigan
13:55 Medium 78 77.6
Confidence (MAR P)
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